{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.837Z", "seo": { "title": "Nicaragua exports to Honduras: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Nicaragua to Honduras, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "NIC", "country_name": "Nicaragua" }, "importer": { "iso3": "HND", "country_name": "Honduras" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "all_history_lane_count": 76, "current_lane_count": 54, "current_product_count": 54, "first_observed_last_year": 1999, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 340443585.6747222, "attention_trade_usd": 328984327.75569236, "critical_trade_usd": 24189476.19827295, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 265611933.5417386, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 43892694.611343645, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 334216971.77087367, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 18, "high_volatility_lane_count": 39, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 27, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 33, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2279730252619996, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 25.43320943582919, "product_concentration_hhi": 2179.2417036188053, "top1_product_share_pct": 43.04067579680198, "top3_product_share_pct": 61.63552130014096, "top_product_hs6": "610910", "top_product_trade_usd": 146529219.98126495, "top_product_description": "T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of cotton, knitted or crocheted", "top_attention_product_hs6": "610910", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 242.82403564453125, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.9603000283241272, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.466390004262625, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.772604024242424, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.22530152158989902, "tariff_advantage_pp": 8.547302502652524, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 42, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 28488.668302000002, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2831, "buyer_population_latest": 10062.994, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.313320948476278, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.487754088318409, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.7143444105730765, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.909999999999997, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 7.446000000000001, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 96.63402149395213, "critical_trade_share_pct": 7.105281819403951, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 28488.668302000002, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2831, "buyer_population_2024": 10062.994 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 14155677.908550706, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 17848669.86183244, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.08841467812002, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 25062075.3668233, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.414246892514896, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 20024503.084850222, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.100379590437754, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.256205605174642 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 23769695.00717002, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.70304549606161, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.02023903738114 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 31199376.270212878, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.256948230937454, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.574571963976773 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 32850623.13029199, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.292563690305618, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.93986366336926 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 35956921.30886653, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.455827264689475, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.794116560056846 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 41362719.41074555, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.034096093610838, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.855310863651233 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 55910402.250658214, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.171001924339976, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.394137245832322 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 65063121.836455695, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.370333993956777, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.857089032706178 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 37260100.09639065, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.73238196278288, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.4219769590648985 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 107334546.7252048, "yoy_growth_pct": 188.0683262995372, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.284118561306634 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 66112120.86381027, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.40555265671466, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.5345636468812032 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 101101085.31574282, "yoy_growth_pct": 52.923675711461684, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.4774290345252 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 58344200.33283642, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.291222541652154, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.388244138137267 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 53363249.11315726, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.53718311548416, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.891987046133419 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 78404055.81112917, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.92519123952263, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.125658967156413 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 71947764.7356165, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.234639150639723, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.235818596367549 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 133809346.4690369, "yoy_growth_pct": 85.98124203127173, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.8568044191742 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 151167153.5596047, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.972043843427894, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.462819632636347 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 128644565.4445058, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.899128272742345, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.373733947117547 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 151527482.6024025, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.78770605569644, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.23213962904716 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 197641080.98184547, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.432498176216537, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.346930159352551 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 227361655.69913617, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.037650355707544, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.904349932035473 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 167240051.3077234, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.443159118690918, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.3434512985279774 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 320724798.5406883, "yoy_growth_pct": 91.77511369603168, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.512781710583525 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 471750069.1610072, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.088741284581204, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.54543415109878 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 351312704.26104116, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.529909325537602, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.07111415219343 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "export_value_usd": 392156340.844423, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.626006144381606, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.9322980439497695 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "hs_code": "610910", "hs_description": "T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of cotton, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 257566730.95124784, "current_below_peak_pct": 30.452597611776582, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3768506731470147, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "hs_code": "610990", "hs_description": "T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of textile materials (other than cotton), knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 70143324.66633673, "current_below_peak_pct": 22.464161021997008, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.069569130629452, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "hs_code": "551429", "hs_description": "Fabrics, woven: dyed, containing less than 85% by weight of synthetic staple fibres (other than polyesters), mixed mainly or solely with cotton, exceeding 170g/m2", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31064795.40070009, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6263364229836746, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "hs_code": "071333", "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: kidney beans, including white pea beans (phaseolus vulgaris), shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25402919.51287167, "current_below_peak_pct": 11.157306511662114, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9425914301338749, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "hs_code": "611030", "hs_description": "Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, waistcoats and similar articles: of man-made fibres, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 71875905.98352076, "current_below_peak_pct": 58.526971314030774, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4892301655993114, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "hs_code": "080310", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: plantains, fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15422636.971500093, "current_below_peak_pct": 25.517022923038983, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.220971673799231, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "hs_code": "220300", "hs_description": "Beer: made from malt", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 111380397.86142704, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7327596306100785, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "hs_code": "611020", "hs_description": "Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, waistcoats and similar articles: of cotton, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37456213.63923839, "current_below_peak_pct": 51.947392834446205, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4640978334060342, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "hs_code": "240120", "hs_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11383672.708117459, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0654428679728671, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "hs_code": "520513", "hs_description": "Cotton yarn: (not sewing thread), single, of uncombed fibres, 85% or more by weight of cotton, less than 232.56 but not less than 192.31 decitex (exceeding 43 but not exceeding 52 metric number), not for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 97996433.55103792, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.782640335208572, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "HND", "distance_km": 239, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 28488.668302000002, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2831.033020788843, "importer_population": 10062.994, "importer_biz_entry_days": 42, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 28.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 14013.022092, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2090.7534611217898, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.466390004262625, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.772604024242424, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.22530152158989902, "tariff_advantage_pp": 8.547302502652524 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NIC-HND/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NIC-HND/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NIC-HND/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NIC-HND/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NIC-HND/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }