{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:00.028Z", "seo": { "title": "Nicaragua exports to Ecuador: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Nicaragua to Ecuador, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "NIC", "country_name": "Nicaragua" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ECU", "country_name": "Ecuador" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "all_history_lane_count": 24, "current_lane_count": 5, "current_product_count": 5, "first_observed_last_year": 2000, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 15880131.494083207, "attention_trade_usd": 1104664.5124197889, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 2050277.0020523411, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1280227.422119849, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1104664.5124197889, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 2, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.880485507043738, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 30.510491654401108, "product_concentration_hhi": 3879.444416413016, "top1_product_share_pct": 49.984375720909846, "top3_product_share_pct": 92.93975997774103, "top_product_hs6": "030343", "top_product_trade_usd": 7937584.590977085, "top_product_description": "Fish: frozen, skipjack tuna (stripe-bellied bonito) (Katsuwonus pelamis), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99", "top_attention_product_hs6": "720449", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 1620.769287109375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.9506000280380249, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 11.845334240202018, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.845334240202018, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 48.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 106165.866, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 5935, "buyer_population_latest": 17888.474, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.990587628199348, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.0708328763464845, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.9010945888597854, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.951999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 25.912, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 6.95626804369584, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 106165.866, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 5935, "buyer_population_2024": 17888.474 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 540170.7917330572, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 29619.219901972894, "yoy_growth_pct": -94.51669354299146, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 51861.90581452596, "yoy_growth_pct": 75.09544811162132, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 24788.31417026789, "yoy_growth_pct": -52.20323321915996, "cagr_3y_pct": -64.19816405119856 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 248388.83174477288, "yoy_growth_pct": 902.0400340201453, "cagr_3y_pct": 103.16683555637044 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 13097.197110340188, "yoy_growth_pct": -94.72713929272072, "cagr_3y_pct": -36.791333166418404 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 228342.84538426527, "yoy_growth_pct": 1643.4481855968208, "cagr_3y_pct": 109.62680037690484 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 108161.62502337953, "yoy_growth_pct": -52.63191853400948, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.20386751605943 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 75879.0198161621, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.84663479329146, "cagr_3y_pct": 79.6033568463689 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 46703.37798275055, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.450209167300265, "cagr_3y_pct": -41.08123590132466 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 70939.7321495243, "yoy_growth_pct": 51.89422096133005, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.116205387474533 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 266575.872011924, "yoy_growth_pct": 275.7779511346965, "cagr_3y_pct": 52.01964316829042 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 656597.2760931553, "yoy_growth_pct": 146.30784141776553, "cagr_3y_pct": 141.35164379735548 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 2439446.2155791707, "yoy_growth_pct": 271.52853117122476, "cagr_3y_pct": 225.18754323981221 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 699053.7765881541, "yoy_growth_pct": -71.34375121190423, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.899677101805885 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 3574917.568640499, "yoy_growth_pct": 411.3937851946765, "cagr_3y_pct": 75.92287689065638 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 8038396.116932541, "yoy_growth_pct": 124.85542568718455, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.807921995349204 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 1719309.6845301017, "yoy_growth_pct": -78.61128439654213, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.983652166577215 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 12722365.449856417, "yoy_growth_pct": 639.9693937822215, "cagr_3y_pct": 52.674771300222375 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 6433585.603273384, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.430900812977406, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.15442145383679 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 4381875.223739909, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.890620659334544, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.59515618306799 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 8238287.056127735, "yoy_growth_pct": 88.00825298481223, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.485344122834753 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 7423823.381363109, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.886323081675318, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.887769279170184 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 7801734.943727374, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.090524692612974, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.20216984945593 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 25019600.0932279, "yoy_growth_pct": 220.69277248830096, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.81531093639288 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 23586813.6114881, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.726656207137437, "cagr_3y_pct": 47.01011410729223 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 34597897.30779326, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.68321833408709, "cagr_3y_pct": 64.29316821700972 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 29697696.091218445, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.163291985582694, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.880048513314118 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 25618894.928684615, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.734402662097157, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.7930389859871285 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "export_value_usd": 18071578.68360916, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.45996018206459, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.465469859925456 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "030343", "hs_description": "Fish: frozen, skipjack tuna (stripe-bellied bonito) (Katsuwonus pelamis), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 62798770.679704346, "current_below_peak_pct": 11.353223619465867, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7754362207141092, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "030342", "hs_description": "Fish: yellowfin tunas (thunnus albacares), frozen (excluding fillets, livers, roes and other fish meat of heading no. 0304)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 59309335.42385728, "current_below_peak_pct": 48.44734256207964, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.846815920567794, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "720449", "hs_description": "Ferrous waste and scrap: n.e.s. in heading no. 7204", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 41588477.0128371, "current_below_peak_pct": 91.89745371613056, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.172626639517481, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "051191", "hs_description": "Animal products: of fish or crustaceans, molluscs or other aquatic invertebrates and dead animals of chapter 3, unfit for human consumption", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23269039.11010239, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6237661058751498, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "hs_code": "470710", "hs_description": "Paper or paperboard: waste and scrap, of unbleached kraft paper or paperboard or of corrugated paper or paperboard", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12102071.722856354, "current_below_peak_pct": 90.6702261276328, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8847198732266102, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "NIC", "importer_iso3": "ECU", "distance_km": 1730, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 106165.866, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5934.8754958080835, "importer_population": 17888.474, "importer_biz_entry_days": 48.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 33, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 14013.022092, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2090.7534611217898, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 11.845334240202018, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.845334240202018, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NIC-ECU/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NIC-ECU/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NIC-ECU/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NIC-ECU/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NIC-ECU/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }