{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:02.846Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Nigeria exports to Zimbabwe: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Nigeria to Zimbabwe, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "NGA",
    "country_name": "Nigeria"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "ZWE",
    "country_name": "Zimbabwe"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
    "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
    "all_history_lane_count": 7,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1997,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 35133.6710333893,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 35133.6710333893,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.522830289179989,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 43.13905937374492,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "870899",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 35133.6710333893,
    "top_product_description": "Vehicle parts and accessories: n.e.c. in heading no. 8708",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 4060.80615234375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.22259998321533203,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 33.586451310303026,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 33.586451310303026,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 27,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 26217.726717,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1737,
    "buyer_population_latest": 15092.171,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.484738370653396,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.7134131471191925,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.7245315575260545,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 11.168,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -4.618,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 26217.726717,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1737,
    "buyer_population_2024": 15092.171
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 755435.0926317023,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 784871.537909998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.896621372955833,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 840452.286347473,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.081508979861684,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 352446.4508775623,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -58.0646686786633,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.441036705135588
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 296640.9875832443,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.8337424466517,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.69901855320047
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 287211.42002479656,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.1787810697608165,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -30.08620441238703
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 167801.66843923918,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.57555837273047,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.91498266921417
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 288256.9925069905,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 71.7843423060886,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9511210989220253
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 451149.62824797025,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 56.50951753998803,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.24464794573841
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 617978.8850971587,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36.978697621245146,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 54.42790767389327
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 680642.4632635195,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.140084018648743,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.16182224288213
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 265781.8425875231,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -60.951328056559674,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.169594283653822
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 521367.16760610405,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 96.16357631143129,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.509093803559207
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 124546.73346059296,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -76.11151196335233,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -43.22753291135945
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 316879.90215635486,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 154.42650589998559,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.036763235292564
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 334017.3740167046,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.408191476874991,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.793146690757796
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 219447.13659353455,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.30068204100074,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.781158875051563
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 54484502.68136441,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24728.07637735641,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 456.0656890557891
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 341177.5810793131,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.37380802927653,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.7095084258489148
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 166712.1688995516,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -51.13624747201775,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.754288694182877
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 226288.3212597632,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.735935027099195,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -83.92578708871116
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 411244.7528796141,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 81.73485515743157,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.42409391928036
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 373390.6056459474,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.204773305581359,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.837437126782707
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 566592.2864607542,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 51.74251250391728,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.790536979668786
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 220925.21856486297,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -61.00807867595888,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.707906528837015
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 197470.0198687914,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.616804567824921,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.131523590152156
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 349034.41952935635,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 76.75311916273249,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.912479899472132
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 318093.52837258787,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.864710591720348,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.919734073865063
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 613207.7291229725,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 92.77592105071462,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 45.893345564311126
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "export_value_usd": 411380.8346560336,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.91329917768609,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.631131736151751
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
      "hs_code": "870899",
      "hs_description": "Vehicle parts and accessories: n.e.c. in heading no. 8708",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29593255.78689555,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 43.13905937374492,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.522830289179989,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
    "importer_iso3": "ZWE",
    "distance_km": 4056,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 26217.726717,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1737.1739769579872,
    "importer_population": 15092.171,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 27,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 76.6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 440776.971536,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2085.030695738767,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 33.586451310303026,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 33.586451310303026,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NGA-ZWE/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NGA-ZWE/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NGA-ZWE/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NGA-ZWE/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NGA-ZWE/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}