{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.863Z", "seo": { "title": "Nigeria exports to Uruguay: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Nigeria to Uruguay, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "NGA", "country_name": "Nigeria" }, "importer": { "iso3": "URY", "country_name": "Uruguay" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "URY", "all_history_lane_count": 6, "current_lane_count": 3, "current_product_count": 3, "first_observed_last_year": 2012, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 458489616.00109655, "attention_trade_usd": 458489616.00109655, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 4428742.56957198, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 4428742.56957198, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 456706955.04517424, "access_friction_trade_usd": 458489616.00109655, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 3, "high_volatility_lane_count": 2, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 3, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7621422544769987, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 5.076315740260565, "product_concentration_hhi": 9808.22894930455, "top1_product_share_pct": 99.03405826107927, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "270900", "top_product_trade_usd": 454060873.4315246, "top_product_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "top_attention_product_hs6": "270900", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 7752.99853515625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.678823294949494, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.678823294949494, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 6.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 59319.547636, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 17021, "buyer_population_latest": 3485.152, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.406280845583722, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.472294361527985, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.06258848955915663, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.342000000000002, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 18.974, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 100, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 59319.547636, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 17021, "buyer_population_2024": 3485.152 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 20501587.34321944, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 62821730.5690634, "yoy_growth_pct": 206.42373937860305, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 18421711.480498217, "yoy_growth_pct": -70.67621137840796, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 2005.907163481977, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.98911117913444, "cagr_3y_pct": -95.39204976102232 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 55547349.88164483, "yoy_growth_pct": 2769088.4695811304, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.019174090769795 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 33597267.4161778, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.51598503301461, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.177525973731036 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 4229.93050471871, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.98740989720288, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.235263234922826 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 26150960.36761733, "yoy_growth_pct": 618136.1705102379, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.206836464334533 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 90572630.66298537, "yoy_growth_pct": 246.34533259872637, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.17599726626519 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 130788141.81858645, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.40139461692383, "cagr_3y_pct": 3038.6655873690606 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 73957.50821241985, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.94345243598995, "cagr_3y_pct": -85.85841105861972 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 127085.4919993165, "yoy_growth_pct": 71.835821772555, "cagr_3y_pct": -88.80477058760003 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 1952000.20422634, "yoy_growth_pct": 1435.974070302878, "cagr_3y_pct": -75.37910535633083 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 113469392.69363078, "yoy_growth_pct": 5712.9805748971985, "cagr_3y_pct": 1053.3615966963882 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 73304809.66277781, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.39684321682941, "cagr_3y_pct": 732.4257356893987 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 457364923.8473513, "yoy_growth_pct": 523.9221218244139, "cagr_3y_pct": 516.4923123414554 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 447368043.1925803, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.185755866601513, "cagr_3y_pct": 57.97756269186638 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 534856812.6191946, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.55632968377956, "cagr_3y_pct": 93.95531588937165 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 334057757.82639855, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.54258150129617, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.942565884092414 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 179316436.55522704, "yoy_growth_pct": -46.321726601418035, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.26873010338854 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 221841396.27557385, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.71503724771471, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.423553454558736 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 308658263.96392226, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.1346561759391, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.6015342522980323 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 222735113.27453524, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.83763168558163, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.495313128568726 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 105157535.19695108, "yoy_growth_pct": -52.78807474448912, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.029090042313182 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 360824266.88984066, "yoy_growth_pct": 243.12735289396775, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.34306323555096 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 327917123.4475147, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.119991769392954, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.760581362961455 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 421833109.8252792, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.64015925438439, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.89128922507745 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "URY", "export_value_usd": 458509618.4413426, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.694554258970943, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.31391098112746 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "URY", "hs_code": "270900", "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 944326151.919971, "current_below_peak_pct": 4.329414609394406, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.757458637174623, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "URY", "hs_code": "310210", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, urea, whether or not in aqueous solution", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 103064796.53981233, "current_below_peak_pct": 93.410703495407, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2583330511058608, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "URY", "hs_code": "180320", "hs_description": "Cocoa: paste, wholly or partly defatted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18776917.177035846, "current_below_peak_pct": 64.2006154036573, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2185868838445049, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "URY", "distance_km": 7731, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 59319.547636, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17020.64863627182, "importer_population": 3485.152, "importer_biz_entry_days": 6.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 24.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 440776.971536, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2085.030695738767, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.678823294949494, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.678823294949494, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NGA-URY/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NGA-URY/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NGA-URY/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NGA-URY/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NGA-URY/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }