{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.845Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Nigeria exports to Tunisia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Nigeria to Tunisia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "NGA",
    "country_name": "Nigeria"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "TUN",
    "country_name": "Tunisia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
    "importer_iso3": "TUN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 8,
    "current_lane_count": 3,
    "current_product_count": 3,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2006,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 13291301.64685553,
    "attention_trade_usd": 13171962.171527945,
    "critical_trade_usd": 13171962.171527945,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 42939.51315983014,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 13214901.684687775,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 13291301.64685553,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.36675820448072705,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 64.05958544112963,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 9821.665659657612,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 99.10212349024658,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "270900",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 13171962.171527945,
    "top_product_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "270900",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 3450.512939453125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 26.974269389898996,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 26.974269389898996,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 9,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 46840.042941,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3924,
    "buyer_population_latest": 11935.764,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.1414499246600345,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.4502902984167916,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.6681079620458386,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.352000000000004,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 10.254000000000001,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.10212349024658,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 99.10212349024658,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 46840.042941,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3924,
    "buyer_population_2024": 11935.764
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 26094.73057759169,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 63575.66489975938,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 143.63411115021694,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 101321.47378227187,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 59.37147325478518,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 172202.04165053033,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 69.95611613444608,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 87.56932966223093
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 6210.237758354258,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -96.39363291002239,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -53.945461062551225
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 85904.45930122222,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1283.2716659786518,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.353461145275973
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 1644.7424781290647,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -98.08538172347745,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -78.78287487530359
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 153731.9339486651,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9246.869555137835,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 191.44187642219111
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 7134.072510342606,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -95.35940755632149,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -56.37113280700517
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 13131.313687502656,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 84.06476340779496,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 99.86500359915598
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 633381.909594333,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4723.4466456858445,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 60.31242667115188
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 80892.22127186698,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -87.22852357376664,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 124.65861680572097
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 1196300.1408802972,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1378.8815563114613,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 349.9635411180801
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 792251.1897026337,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.77488118327431,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.745485310456179
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 26394316.78156937,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3231.5591222370153,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 588.4428405641655
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 83061.8599082265,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.68530399708536,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -58.89886333891678
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 795019.9360373395,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 857.1419866058167,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.1163573383766936
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 3200026.5875160974,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 302.5089739844967,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -50.50655082453594
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 1573937.028470034,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -50.81487651976839,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 166.60107753581167
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 21411986.884852838,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1260.4093745520836,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 199.75031614890634
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 37742451.477750435,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 76.26786192574224,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 127.62790757109829
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 22038452.0379576,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.608318550930655,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 141.02637995635655
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 803423.2123812287,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -96.35444807558414,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -66.52177153291454
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 1354439.2807995859,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 68.58353852949135,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -67.0155070978993
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 1405355.5769557862,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.7592158524922814,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -60.04832014479273
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 229725.07608723606,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -83.65359771903026,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -34.11983529007679
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 667244.9693527593,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 190.45369391862948,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.021553086667446
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 733030.9672672522,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.859347156758114,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.503184421820063
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 37259882.82913107,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4982.988917649187,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 445.3529837472975
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "export_value_usd": 13544323.092866011,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -63.649045395610884,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 172.78720686726925
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "hs_code": "270900",
      "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 524163423.19575846,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 64.31970021744011,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3658882580472695,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "hs_code": "180100",
      "hs_description": "Cocoa beans: whole or broken, raw or roasted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23602372.38412989,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
      "importer_iso3": "TUN",
      "hs_code": "120740",
      "hs_description": "Oil seeds: sesamum seeds, whether or not broken",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16874201.811936606,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 98.24553219146448,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2861727845401247,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "NGA",
    "importer_iso3": "TUN",
    "distance_km": 3433,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 46840.042941,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3924.343924779344,
    "importer_population": 11935.764,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 9,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 2.9,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 440776.971536,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2085.030695738767,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 26.974269389898996,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 26.974269389898996,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NGA-TUN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NGA-TUN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NGA-TUN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NGA-TUN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NGA-TUN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}