{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:00.023Z", "seo": { "title": "Nigeria exports to Estonia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Nigeria to Estonia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "NGA", "country_name": "Nigeria" }, "importer": { "iso3": "EST", "country_name": "Estonia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "all_history_lane_count": 8, "current_lane_count": 4, "current_product_count": 4, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 12538307.612954738, "attention_trade_usd": 1267202.18958984, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 6077133.868871864, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 7683971.021633217, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 2, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0574289862711574, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 19.349998533054237, "product_concentration_hhi": 4193.021520657465, "top1_product_share_pct": 51.17731220291238, "top3_product_share_pct": 99.64584604708838, "top_product_hs6": "180400", "top_product_trade_usd": 6416768.832043377, "top_product_description": "Cocoa: butter, fat and oil", "top_attention_product_hs6": "180320", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 6166.3291015625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.24379998445510864, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.2089916505977012, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.9200703481839083, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.7678174550421457, "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.1522528931417628, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 36262.924354, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 27281, "buyer_population_latest": 1329.254, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.235608076538068, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.522533158466936, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.6757560652948857, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 30.938, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 31.318, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 10.106644602342909, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 36262.924354, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 27281, "buyer_population_2024": 1329.254 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 19743.35354513525, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 55447.83865259731, "yoy_growth_pct": 180.84306207574153, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 1222435.5361795009, "yoy_growth_pct": 2104.6585870344634, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 949305.4349241607, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.34310875066332, "cagr_3y_pct": 263.63165418417526 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 1601053.5326614322, "yoy_growth_pct": 68.6552582298593, "cagr_3y_pct": 206.7894426018628 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 380818.39431798423, "yoy_growth_pct": -76.21451209785911, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.21025757946683 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 1328669.2233917858, "yoy_growth_pct": 248.89838390588451, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.858837784471344 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 3256079.0313293654, "yoy_growth_pct": 145.06317855525754, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.696036289632996 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 2081199.7497826072, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.082640201367845, "cagr_3y_pct": 76.14295687901063 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 386490.4428387026, "yoy_growth_pct": -81.4294402601637, "cagr_3y_pct": -33.7416482801694 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 411575.67725773127, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.490518687805613, "cagr_3y_pct": -49.81372970325333 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 77754.36684528377, "yoy_growth_pct": -81.10812393887079, "cagr_3y_pct": -66.56995139080168 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 424244.1312886726, "yoy_growth_pct": 445.62097088750886, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.1554935721473276 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 326927.58775106026, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.938807248082902, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.3879943683782585 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 443971.29647052864, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.80111104254424, "cagr_3y_pct": 78.73517695464365 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 593296.9008376419, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.63406723682771, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.828391658319726 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 12062309.185052162, "yoy_growth_pct": 1933.098296657555, "cagr_3y_pct": 232.90958196521555 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 2572345.3431862183, "yoy_growth_pct": -78.67451991386594, "cagr_3y_pct": 79.60763461346852 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 11826335.157167662, "yoy_growth_pct": 359.7491230520025, "cagr_3y_pct": 171.1394438963856 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 6836662.421782994, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.19120013997358, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.24303408696616 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 7892765.86389128, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.447646482343892, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.311498775476466 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 7122884.398216711, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.754267121956705, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.54956237899895 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 16579250.089809913, "yoy_growth_pct": 132.76034205975185, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.35079755507624 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 8696798.397927461, "yoy_growth_pct": -47.54407858728927, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.2864603496199685 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 8751182.00568305, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.6253290609627982, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.103486080192156 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 1926981.2998511805, "yoy_growth_pct": -77.98033113012856, "cagr_3y_pct": -51.19800915341044 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 139724.50100474095, "yoy_growth_pct": -92.74904738226927, "cagr_3y_pct": -74.76687408511627 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 6102982.3164136605, "yoy_growth_pct": 4267.868392821516, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.320112855734566 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 14905950.88390984, "yoy_growth_pct": 144.24044034702578, "cagr_3y_pct": 97.77014346617001 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 12646315.098633299, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.159286400948059, "cagr_3y_pct": 348.98359923126054 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "180400", "hs_description": "Cocoa: butter, fat and oil", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 324266346.633165, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9122803732231962, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "180100", "hs_description": "Cocoa beans: whole or broken, raw or roasted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 141579339.57787722, "current_below_peak_pct": 37.82249702609113, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2440041029058269, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "180320", "hs_description": "Cocoa: paste, wholly or partly defatted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16266535.422600884, "current_below_peak_pct": 47.89496718116917, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1212913864010268, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "180631", "hs_description": "Chocolate and other food preparations containing cocoa: in blocks, slabs or bars, filled, weighing 2kg or less", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18063318.308385946, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "EST", "distance_km": 6152, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 36262.924354, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 27280.658439997173, "importer_population": 1329.254, "importer_biz_entry_days": 3.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 440776.971536, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2085.030695738767, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.2089916505977012, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.9200703481839083, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.7678174550421457, "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.1522528931417628 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NGA-EST/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NGA-EST/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NGA-EST/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NGA-EST/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NGA-EST/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }