{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:00.004Z", "seo": { "title": "Nigeria exports to Congo, Rep. of the: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Nigeria to Congo, Rep. of the, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "NGA", "country_name": "Nigeria" }, "importer": { "iso3": "COG", "country_name": "Congo, Rep. of the" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "COG", "all_history_lane_count": 16, "current_lane_count": 2, "current_product_count": 2, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 2428504.0555410357, "attention_trade_usd": 1954640.2476867794, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 2428504.0555410357, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1954640.2476867794, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2428504.0555410357, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 2428504.0555410357, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 2, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.6046517040831099, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 67.62954496206052, "product_concentration_hhi": 6858.9655002027885, "top1_product_share_pct": 80.48741953825207, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "890110", "top_product_trade_usd": 1954640.2476867794, "top_product_description": "Cruise ships, excursion boats and similar vessels, principally designed for the transport of persons, ferry boats of all kinds", "top_attention_product_hs6": "890110", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 1767.2899169921875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 18.933137335757575, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 18.933137335757575, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 49.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 12523.961677, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2214, "buyer_population_latest": 5657.017, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.378765721360643, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -0.04968454334934869, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.429657428908505, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.43, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 38.572, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened", "attention_trade_share_pct": 80.48741953825207, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 12523.961677, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2214, "buyer_population_2024": 5657.017 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 1944513.0173576681, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 905931.5482168943, "yoy_growth_pct": -53.41087767836426, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 624689, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.04456940156811, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 42464877.532899, "yoy_growth_pct": 6697.762972118767, "cagr_3y_pct": 179.51578608513543 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 10185256.999999987, "yoy_growth_pct": -76.01486783493226, "cagr_3y_pct": 124.02279051488945 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 363394.9999999988, "yoy_growth_pct": -96.43214697478916, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.522065203734527 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 2676769.9999999865, "yoy_growth_pct": 636.6006686938442, "cagr_3y_pct": -60.20207828057676 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 4182870.7830388234, "yoy_growth_pct": 56.26560306036173, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.669426164955354 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 8358339.206572073, "yoy_growth_pct": 99.82303159983832, "cagr_3y_pct": 184.38958111108553 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 13491389.145759244, "yoy_growth_pct": 61.41231903044937, "cagr_3y_pct": 71.45436164884251 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 14926257.847690687, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.63544077210512, "cagr_3y_pct": 52.812482252435224 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 34574950.82468715, "yoy_growth_pct": 131.63843997265806, "cagr_3y_pct": 60.52666863041223 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 147398672.7337334, "yoy_growth_pct": 326.3163626207908, "cagr_3y_pct": 121.8940385487663 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 52027537.89992614, "yoy_growth_pct": -64.70284505620299, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.6214962872821 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 77643408.88920853, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.23521662423074, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.952665013363557 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 87392949.21290995, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.556816429342144, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.990653275306544 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 701582666.8944749, "yoy_growth_pct": 702.7909267431324, "cagr_3y_pct": 138.02095437793662 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 207697455.47170103, "yoy_growth_pct": -70.39586847390846, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.81685272569906 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 230955568.07898477, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.198072963610617, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.25600829183679 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 5819527.307723127, "yoy_growth_pct": -97.48023944340112, "cagr_3y_pct": -79.75724495349871 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 10843186.720467655, "yoy_growth_pct": 86.32418316995611, "cagr_3y_pct": -62.62551186313017 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 7193156.521625599, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.66196942779045, "cagr_3y_pct": -68.53722500127407 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 105787200.33813527, "yoy_growth_pct": 1370.6645131396108, "cagr_3y_pct": 162.9350429820338 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 20724851.295096718, "yoy_growth_pct": -80.40892354760086, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.101823310065672 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 30413615.97372753, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.74950155576303, "cagr_3y_pct": 61.70229450189466 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 26870734.2922195, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.648998542522893, "cagr_3y_pct": -36.669127646380794 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 20867422.99800522, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.34144861442271, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.2287849423389554 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 3851515.7671689023, "yoy_growth_pct": -81.54292570032686, "cagr_3y_pct": -49.78256330831907 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 8130824.559254225, "yoy_growth_pct": 111.10713419799589, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.86458385636561 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 4603812.992345696, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.37827659673466, "cagr_3y_pct": -39.57505206576284 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "COG", "hs_code": "890110", "hs_description": "Cruise ships, excursion boats and similar vessels, principally designed for the transport of persons, ferry boats of all kinds", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11361805.848881943, "current_below_peak_pct": 84.02498843924201, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6484085027889759, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "COG", "hs_code": "330300", "hs_description": "Perfumes and toilet waters", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25912527.146514446, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4241593380429491, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "COG", "distance_km": 1775, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 12523.961677, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2213.880862829297, "importer_population": 5657.017, "importer_biz_entry_days": 49.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 62.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 440776.971536, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2085.030695738767, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 18.933137335757575, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 18.933137335757575, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NGA-COG/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NGA-COG/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NGA-COG/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NGA-COG/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NGA-COG/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }