{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:00.084Z", "seo": { "title": "Nigeria exports to Bahrain: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Nigeria to Bahrain, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "NGA", "country_name": "Nigeria" }, "importer": { "iso3": "BHR", "country_name": "Bahrain" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "all_history_lane_count": 9, "current_lane_count": 1, "current_product_count": 1, "first_observed_last_year": 2000, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 494599.702986914, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 494599.702986914, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7996589913652137, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 52.52989418778596, "product_concentration_hhi": 10000, "top1_product_share_pct": 100, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "760120", "top_product_trade_usd": 494599.702986914, "top_product_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, alloys", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 5456.24462890625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.248370053939396, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.248370053939396, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.3, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 38868.663032, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 22232, "buyer_population_latest": 1748.295, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.09682223752612, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6976782015584613, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.3757875899532923, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.208000000000006, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 45.017999999999994, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 38868.663032, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 22232, "buyer_population_2024": 1748.295 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 68468.69413432154, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 42056.8774067519, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.57502623864137, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 39589.30299515114, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.867231624772518, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 33960.99127953902, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.216748691689451, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.841764574581067 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 35568.16780279148, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.732419351436201, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.4325910634836045 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 82516.35268023949, "yoy_growth_pct": 131.99494879172101, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.73817955548632 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 3856.1383454001743, "yoy_growth_pct": -95.32681920595405, "cagr_3y_pct": -51.57636179664578 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 47011.59492121976, "yoy_growth_pct": 1119.1366260833956, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.74409556571587 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 7768.429837136131, "yoy_growth_pct": -83.47550247943263, "cagr_3y_pct": -54.508414357613745 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 67357.6222473881, "yoy_growth_pct": 767.0686825977671, "cagr_3y_pct": 159.4645604480923 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 1878846.517058234, "yoy_growth_pct": 2689.359918551889, "cagr_3y_pct": 241.89711768785065 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 1602.5517434412566, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.91470555317363, "cagr_3y_pct": -40.912864287090265 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 7955414.664043882, "yoy_growth_pct": 496321.7034865119, "cagr_3y_pct": 390.6351867645136 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 53169452.276900634, "yoy_growth_pct": 568.3429402770269, "cagr_3y_pct": 204.73590515120756 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 159720053.91123798, "yoy_growth_pct": 200.39815546610035, "cagr_3y_pct": 4536.416709837044 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 24135163.40388146, "yoy_growth_pct": -84.88908386088185, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.764633105009196 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 17242434.788718164, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.55886450743812, "cagr_3y_pct": -31.296509528143844 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 653117.7869805465, "yoy_growth_pct": -96.2121487192291, "cagr_3y_pct": -84.00893625679402 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 5869148.772798618, "yoy_growth_pct": 798.6355738269664, "cagr_3y_pct": -37.58222381628361 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 1524558.2070149602, "yoy_growth_pct": -74.02420238381524, "cagr_3y_pct": -55.44992159673869 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 6607829.106019727, "yoy_growth_pct": 333.4258328488264, "cagr_3y_pct": 116.2830226332336 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 8684050.733238427, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.420631404151543, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.950371282611652 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 6192923.140773837, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.686239509515243, "cagr_3y_pct": 59.55750132592461 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 6554921.413947695, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.845353881279136, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.2676094783743532 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 1130912.0563543946, "yoy_growth_pct": -82.74713021047032, "cagr_3y_pct": -49.31234954449207 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 894915.5860438265, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.867800372676705, "cagr_3y_pct": -47.523830368160425 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 2122533.015743452, "yoy_growth_pct": 137.17689677599446, "cagr_3y_pct": -31.330747220652068 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 3319423.4176295535, "yoy_growth_pct": 56.38971893527276, "cagr_3y_pct": 43.17854338143123 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 4554632.7952994155, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.2115642466589, "cagr_3y_pct": 72.01134788341037 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "hs_code": "760120", "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, alloys", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25829573.580317836, "current_below_peak_pct": 52.52989418778596, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7996589913652137, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "NGA", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "distance_km": 5456, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 38868.663032000004, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 22232.325226577894, "importer_population": 1748.295, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.3, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 440776.971536, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2085.030695738767, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.248370053939396, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.248370053939396, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NGA-BHR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NGA-BHR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NGA-BHR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NGA-BHR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NGA-BHR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }