{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.882Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Niger exports to France: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Niger to France, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "NER",
    "country_name": "Niger"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "FRA",
    "country_name": "France"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "NER",
    "importer_iso3": "FRA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 58,
    "current_lane_count": 8,
    "current_product_count": 8,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 290057999.1558579,
    "attention_trade_usd": 226395643.1417382,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 63626353.997359,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 226484269.9382365,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 226520271.9549972,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 6,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9845397304466462,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 53.99086749175176,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 6554.604693405033,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 78.05185300891779,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 99.79880251032365,
    "top_product_hs6": "284410",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 226395643.1417382,
    "top_product_description": "Uranium: natural uranium and its compounds, alloys, dispersions (including cermets), ceramic products and mixtures containing natural uranium or natural uranium compounds",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "284410",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 3932.63818359375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.09438322484493256,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.9159837616559595,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868686,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.6058717002540365,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.3145414266146505,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 2937472.7579530003,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 43519,
    "buyer_population_latest": 67499.344,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.025953008194504,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.671974083461248,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.34476684401285596,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.700000000000003,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.02,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 78.05185300891779,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 2937472.7579530003,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 43519,
    "buyer_population_2024": 67499.344
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 129307857.86852564,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 10184016.699983276,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -92.12420894765891,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 22162172.063378405,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 117.61720072017164,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 148194467.43921,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 568.6820543374989,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.649146597538478
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 138032793.55115595,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.85698600200605,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 138.42642752193103
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 135385159.2778368,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.9181197490855117,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 82.80423214219425
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 142280795.60426348,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.093347279132332,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.3482565432126559
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 109718152.58882718,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.886182831030332,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.367069596413433
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 135319584.9013169,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.33381642728898,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.016147748836314868
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 204027545.35356563,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 50.77458706539386,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.766691802177421
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 154178855.98513928,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.432333037209276,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.007931623029755
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 162055144.6888109,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.108540112939219,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.194181524768294
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 260544955.14828253,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 60.77549136042444,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.492059786822438
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 176022282.78428566,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.44072498578717,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.515557950906057
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 501982715.0475748,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 185.18134585423587,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 45.77240313572835
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 268196001.90630084,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -46.57266199277741,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.9694235863314749
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 655349893.8315538,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 144.35483347007994,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 54.98935163412666
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 784060464.9507008,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.639977412162324,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.025539776547348
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 1126522230.3553243,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 43.67797902246691,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 61.34759227531455
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 789821652.6816666,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.888498300424715,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.418859619035122
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 776357441.5117368,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.7047153777330681,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.32856259464324467
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 493384274.8448913,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.448825184934805,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.058032307046417
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 506601300.17519623,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.67885013855782,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.759270502980481
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 190456078.43539974,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -62.40513429998404,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -37.399513854843015
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 195674677.80221233,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.7400539849835592,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.528917054484403
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 165647265.96774936,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.345578779904589,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -31.107386979194107
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 318110597.1163939,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 92.04095839307627,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.648185171911823
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 160734050.33544314,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.47227417367931,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.346412009727775
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 173332701.62476185,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.83819686185101,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.5232264393576944
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 291052792.5882755,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 67.91568461118156,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.919677307294233
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "284410",
      "hs_description": "Uranium: natural uranium and its compounds, alloys, dispersions (including cermets), ceramic products and mixtures containing natural uranium or natural uranium compounds",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 934058586.6122246,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 69.15151165081585,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8962546318041842,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "270900",
      "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26499813984.17787,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2949177116201962,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "852869",
      "hs_description": "Projectors: n.e.c. in subheading 8528.62, whether or not colour",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22138921.51047678,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7239203832977381,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "847780",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: for working rubber or plastics n.e.s. in heading no. 8477",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 163086432.89322856,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0830635161936417,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "842911",
      "hs_description": "Bulldozers and angledozers: self-propelled, track laying",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20044254.32058869,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1246930645140385,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "842920",
      "hs_description": "Graders and levellers",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16467504.799417183,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 55.085404523285064,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0072110350027126,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "091011",
      "hs_description": "Spices: ginger, neither crushed nor ground",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20994929.71867524,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8108898512810023,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NER",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "831190",
      "hs_description": "Tubes, plates and similar products: of agglomerated base metal powder, other, including parts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24953543.10305892,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9861427329738475,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "NER",
    "importer_iso3": "FRA",
    "distance_km": 3919,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 1,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 2937472.757953,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 43518.5378683532,
    "importer_population": 67499.344,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 4,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.7,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 14950.949874999998,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 594.9251088603988,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.9159837616559595,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868686,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.6058717002540365,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.3145414266146505
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NER-FRA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NER-FRA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NER-FRA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NER-FRA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NER-FRA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}