{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:02.794Z", "seo": { "title": "New Caledonia exports to Singapore: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from New Caledonia to Singapore, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "NCL", "country_name": "New Caledonia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "SGP", "country_name": "Singapore" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "all_history_lane_count": 21, "current_lane_count": 3, "current_product_count": 3, "first_observed_last_year": 2006, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 292888.367133453, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 94324.82753248901, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 94324.82753248901, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 184863.215658551, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 94324.82753248901, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 1, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6716456463742959, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 25.522669299877975, "product_concentration_hhi": 5042.8383381637595, "top1_product_share_pct": 63.1172953258055, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "841583", "top_product_trade_usd": 184863.215658551, "top_product_description": "Air conditioning machines: n.e.s. in heading no. 8415 and not incorporating a refrigerating unit", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 7271.89013671875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 1.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 396986.899888, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 72794, "buyer_population_latest": 5453.566, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.791336242259628, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.573928477882984, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.1423129294040102, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.51, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 51.083999999999996, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Declining buyer demand is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 396986.899888, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 72794, "buyer_population_2024": 5453.566 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 145472.8864155167, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 50409.35231067274, "yoy_growth_pct": -65.34793970699967, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 13261.368255067711, "yoy_growth_pct": -73.6926430370739, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 98699.56113341714, "yoy_growth_pct": 644.2637836084523, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.129238813641397 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 96762.45971919945, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.962624141356828, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.279241523656236 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 935123.5368251198, "yoy_growth_pct": 866.411498362907, "cagr_3y_pct": 313.13648580073385 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 390585.89113608404, "yoy_growth_pct": -58.23162654399868, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.173518945478754 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 160330.83116290421, "yoy_growth_pct": -58.95119746989443, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.332320584206553 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 5114212.744477257, "yoy_growth_pct": 3089.7874584589154, "cagr_3y_pct": 76.1854069769178 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 535698.8941887666, "yoy_growth_pct": -89.52529116495481, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.105288852122053 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 207258.01746151544, "yoy_growth_pct": -61.31072516485669, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.93432964186822 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 251881.316932238, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.530312803946615, "cagr_3y_pct": -63.34450783534117 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 198927.56726981766, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.023293949454036, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.122757540233746 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 496962.53777473205, "yoy_growth_pct": 149.8208491639931, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.84560159912 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 3999554.5983575494, "yoy_growth_pct": 704.8000189846313, "cagr_3y_pct": 151.34594986434502 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 9057365.95761775, "yoy_growth_pct": 126.45936528375516, "cagr_3y_pct": 257.0828409093489 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 819547.8212588831, "yoy_growth_pct": -90.95158763492826, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.145417884974968 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 4512715.415917816, "yoy_growth_pct": 450.634788948126, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.105922997375133 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 10588744.306395886, "yoy_growth_pct": 134.6424121726342, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.345061716677657 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 9971911.285867121, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.825365148879658, "cagr_3y_pct": 130.00363623705104 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 1169924.9135255124, "yoy_growth_pct": -88.26779661403917, "cagr_3y_pct": -36.236323818120056 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 1514861.396105279, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.483642804076805, "cagr_3y_pct": -47.69906185601096 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 846482.8770266792, "yoy_growth_pct": -44.121430567641795, "cagr_3y_pct": -56.05124361076263 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 1553356.4069783892, "yoy_growth_pct": 83.5071268582118, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.91012654614407 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 970749.506643462, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.506324866436955, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.78594080287263 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 692138.9611315652, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.700560093534534, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.489931938367832 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 3548445.0325381793, "yoy_growth_pct": 412.6781227193008, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.70097487357475 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 641555.9551923242, "yoy_growth_pct": -81.92008191448795, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.895126566284487 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 457086.29043262824, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.75348023297455, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.91668233622526 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 1145949.8591189974, "yoy_growth_pct": 150.70755415446078, "cagr_3y_pct": -31.391828575862778 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "hs_code": "841583", "hs_description": "Air conditioning machines: n.e.s. in heading no. 8415 and not incorporating a refrigerating unit", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33452999.9785919, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer demand is declining in both recent and longer-term observations", "risk_driver_labels": [ "declining_buyer_demand", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "hs_code": "999999", "hs_description": "Commodities not specified according to kind", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 58591677.53522138, "current_below_peak_pct": 79.25053383801416, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9704022064925464, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "hs_code": "620349", "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: men's or boys', of textile materials (other than wool, fine animal hair, cotton or synthetic fibres), (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12947472.738299266, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7926344229129404, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "NCL", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "distance_km": 7270, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 396986.89988800004, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 72794.00302260944, "importer_population": 5453.566, "importer_biz_entry_days": 1.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.4, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 9435.529927, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 34610.556551243484, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NCL-SGP/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NCL-SGP/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NCL-SGP/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NCL-SGP/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NCL-SGP/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }