{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:02.850Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "New Caledonia exports to Luxembourg: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from New Caledonia to Luxembourg, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "NCL",
    "country_name": "New Caledonia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "LUX",
    "country_name": "Luxembourg"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
    "importer_iso3": "LUX",
    "all_history_lane_count": 14,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2000,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 25627.54267934636,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "842952",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 25627.54267934636,
    "top_product_description": "Mechanical shovels, excavators and shovel loaders: with a 360 degree revolving super structure",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 16535.31640625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 86710.80333699999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 135683,
    "buyer_population_latest": 639.07,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.9490070751361035,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.101286267407822,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.7749260109831688,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.124,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 54.153999999999996,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "concentrated_product_mix"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 86710.80333699999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 135683,
    "buyer_population_2024": 639.07
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 1374.210564333797,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 6209.905696576448,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 351.8889504816858,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 443.4189776831868,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -92.85948934896635,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 2352.608450806949,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 430.5610650899647,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.62780201264147
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 3847.86095541315,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 63.557218970854535,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.74664968639754
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 54117.98131963649,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1306.443266706496,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 396.03132548287095
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 4834.848695447266,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -91.06609563484778,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.138693711196815
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 7454.631605222145,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 54.18541664482275,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.66243492931064
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 1115.7566726384564,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -85.03270541421735,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -72.57946221585193
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 36883.23838771179,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3205.670429063455,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 96.85602859663416
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 1529814.5056075838,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4047.722847778097,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 489.8444935351141
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 394.0290116294822,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.97424334713881,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -29.316252167231426
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 15331.636992202932,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3790.991916762654,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -25.368902640343784
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 401.59206760296,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -97.38063151503525,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -93.59702041550958
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 12193.37591801348,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2936.2591549165368,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 213.95344623195732
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 33731.78076123394,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 176.64021012754483,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.06194580515187
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 4944.639564512888,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -85.34130291100585,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 130.91377322713043
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 5359.513039439369,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.390368388102143,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.9672924321686
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 7638.099925812876,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 42.51481187947361,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -39.04883341887153
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 11886.186101357815,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 55.61705419941649,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.95819756491356
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 19599.246876621884,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 64.89096426298569,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 54.06524675265618
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 19854.526513588087,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.302497175392503,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 37.4964228599584
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 4481.4154627864955,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -77.4287467408528,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.757811464092942
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 13482.21647714353,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 200.8472789255838,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.724408239487483
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 27749.95051018911,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 105.82632356655708,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.806630513853666
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "hs_code": "842952",
      "hs_description": "Mechanical shovels, excavators and shovel loaders: with a 360 degree revolving super structure",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23845728.13285582,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
    "importer_iso3": "LUX",
    "distance_km": 16518,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 86710.803337,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 135682.79427449263,
    "importer_population": 639.07,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 16.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 9435.529927,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 34610.556551243484,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NCL-LUX/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NCL-LUX/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NCL-LUX/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NCL-LUX/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NCL-LUX/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}