{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.837Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "New Caledonia exports to India: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from New Caledonia to India, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "NCL",
    "country_name": "New Caledonia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "IND",
    "country_name": "India"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
    "importer_iso3": "IND",
    "all_history_lane_count": 43,
    "current_lane_count": 7,
    "current_product_count": 7,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1998,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 24895890.269673318,
    "attention_trade_usd": 24440359.71714525,
    "critical_trade_usd": 24440359.71714525,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 24440359.71714525,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 24606060.38865774,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 24895890.269673318,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 7,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8799486223074563,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 51.3330300473513,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 9638.354416049124,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 98.17025803217422,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 99.44816622379652,
    "top_product_hs6": "720260",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 24440359.71714525,
    "top_product_description": "Ferro-alloys: ferro-nickel",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "720260",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 11110.2607421875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 17.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 3173397.590817,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2277,
    "buyer_population_latest": 1393409.058,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.63597808578098,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.710094876388561,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.8758701905197341,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 35.896,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 30.939999999999998,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 98.17025803217422,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 98.17025803217422,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 3173397.590817,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2277,
    "buyer_population_2024": 1393409.058
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 944408.9402127559,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 149373.4037639855,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -84.1833979536095,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 31235.987250467682,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -79.08865536744312,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 2077980.3642890693,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6552.520208907297,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.065001388916723
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 3524137.098179316,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 69.59434067535159,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 186.80926242196088
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 2138424.2862564693,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.32062724343929,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 309.0843641552556
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 4370489.969316294,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 104.37899052144064,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.12372682533106
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 8205820.063711444,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 87.75515151211151,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.54287848655113
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 12370101.35822269,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 50.74789920055554,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 79.51185166554235
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 5395686.291274441,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -56.381228132073424,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.276728599168769
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 12335180.42316767,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 128.61189026343757,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.553361774708119
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 9401312.693014044,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.784554659965075,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.74183190623995
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 13725151.648580609,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 45.99186408063562,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.50759648725468
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 6594828.68449061,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -51.950777278496474,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.83801302885333
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 6106728.4050021805,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.401257907370962,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.395584325003252
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 9854303.10845038,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 61.36796095890662,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.456048611013635
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 20703836.859977555,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 110.09945231158306,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 46.42518212494453
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 28701865.84604947,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.63066078120452,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 67.50733980771903
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 19887562.10097573,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.709863227539756,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.372296388541727
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 44042261.98586018,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 121.45631406324742,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.609463444184314
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 35367016.34830165,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.697547869688727,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.208552170006777
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 24483006.348617144,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.77446480782132,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.17522373526156
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 22441125.736587547,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.339991351368203,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.128530578825632
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 20446696.367980715,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.887385561746374,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.694263518439
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 27657439.269371975,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.26605360405899,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.147553874862164
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 4532992.758564031,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -83.61022249957935,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -41.32585153809906
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 7422725.135412279,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 63.748885797109956,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.66323509559443
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 52052328.80427785,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 601.2563156346315,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.464679209907825
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 25509394.26313266,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -50.9927896616295,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 77.87095641752784
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "720260",
      "hs_description": "Ferro-alloys: ferro-nickel",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 343163692.55813086,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 52.289798434193244,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8874285164129336,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "400400",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: waste, parings and scrap of rubber (other than hard rubber) and powders and granules obtained therefrom",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 174683281.73156667,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8222583009001633,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "842790",
      "hs_description": "Fork-lift and other works trucks: fitted with lifting or handling equipment, not self-propelled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 48277887.89757442,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "842549",
      "hs_description": "Jacks and hoists: (other than hydraulic), of a kind used for raising vehicles",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15508158.61756514,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9997793055393149,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "850239",
      "hs_description": "Electric generating sets: (excluding those with spark-ignition or compression-ignition internal combustion piston engines), other than wind powered",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12094004.99110283,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "831130",
      "hs_description": "Rods and wire: coated rods and cored wire, of base metal, for soldering, brazing or welding by flame",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22148008.82155,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "846593",
      "hs_description": "Machine-tools: grinding, sanding or polishing machines, for working wood, cork, bone, hard rubber, hard plastics or similar hard materials",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14878704.606838264,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "NCL",
    "importer_iso3": "IND",
    "distance_km": 11100,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 3173397.5908170003,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2277.434305882774,
    "importer_population": 1393409.058,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 17.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 7.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 9435.529927,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 34610.556551243484,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NCL-IND/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NCL-IND/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NCL-IND/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NCL-IND/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NCL-IND/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}