{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.891Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Namibia exports to Zambia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Namibia to Zambia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "NAM",
    "country_name": "Namibia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "ZMB",
    "country_name": "Zambia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
    "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
    "all_history_lane_count": 67,
    "current_lane_count": 53,
    "current_product_count": 53,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2009,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 167365460.48163402,
    "attention_trade_usd": 158256212.40814203,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 162545702.51246142,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 3197301.7059426797,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 143339082.80066982,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 167365460.48163402,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 13,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 42,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 15,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 33,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.4660264925150566,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 5.1757189633432175,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 5406.103393814892,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 73.0562792780421,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 82.41805932104887,
    "top_product_hs6": "030355",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 122270978.22444373,
    "top_product_description": "Fish: frozen, jack and horse mackerel (Trachurus spp.), excluding fillets, livers, roes, and other fish meat of heading 0304",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "030355",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 1415.0057373046875,
    "shares_land_border": 1,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 21203.05908,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1121,
    "buyer_population_latest": 18920.656,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6556563915409939,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -1.1688252989154657,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.8578853777657898,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 36.05800000000001,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 34.70399999999999,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 94.557271227123,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 21203.05908,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1121,
    "buyer_population_2024": 18920.656
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 1371239.713607781,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 1415810.6099915998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.2504088046393376,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 1700853.9542052434,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.132872447914107,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 2176330.3092111666,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.955154752137346,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.646167933141886
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 6029117.858146148,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 177.03137858386322,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 62.08750490989776
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 7861846.066560234,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.397949609457786,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 66.57858579088003
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 7454236.756277887,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.184651376170823,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 50.73917151500091
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 9413061.26265001,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.278002301475322,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.009183605414744
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 15807480.782955999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 67.93134923787592,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.215504854519157
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 26337038.130567193,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 66.61122978535843,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 52.307486125034174
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 21139080.51022702,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.73630290001114,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.953889643534403
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 24718447.286051884,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.932462006061133,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.069872676237562
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 43596887.42864032,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 76.37389162886925,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.294036298764937
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 58544279.51716384,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.28545699045491,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.43201399279981
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 80724102.09807311,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.88555049927065,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 48.36359407178386
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 108016851.68670851,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.80991411397425,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.31481358870507
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 97592154.2377782,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.65099175373676,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.570544162003944
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 101986033.40663743,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.5022873028848,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.105011161602471
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 114199341.61186936,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.975471343742905,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.8725932715596416
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 79844891.07530056,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.082879683605945,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.471477000533488
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 69466988.2012612,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.997579099021017,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.014199478105681
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 105157087.75302623,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 51.37706481294819,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.712214781336153
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 132913056.39412539,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.39476732779753,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.515049992909226
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 183781178.5549919,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.27172705292994,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.30594679940826
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 205771289.55437753,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.965377070865625,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.078330665630276
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "hs_code": "030355",
      "hs_description": "Fish: frozen, jack and horse mackerel (Trachurus spp.), excluding fillets, livers, roes, and other fish meat of heading 0304",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 122355376.6814923,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2802964346175012,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "hs_code": "271012",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 445487431.811011,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 32.890460479163075,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.011962300928487,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "hs_code": "854140",
      "hs_description": "Electrical apparatus: photosensitive, including photovoltaic cells, whether or not assembled in modules or made up into panels, light emitting diodes",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 52634920.62670693,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.7587004278103624,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "hs_code": "850300",
      "hs_description": "Electric motors and generators: parts suitable for use solely or principally with the machines of heading no. 8501 or 8502",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15671191.058786873,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.233117269233096,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "hs_code": "847490",
      "hs_description": "Machines, for sorting, screening, separating, washing, crushing etc mineral substances, for agglomerating, shaping or moulding solid fuels, ceramic pastes etc, for forming foundry moulds of sand: parts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 93587125.35121182,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.172004514224876,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1016166187.1347258,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 37.012322217094514,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.7662176465211425,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "hs_code": "250300",
      "hs_description": "Sulphur of all kinds: other than sublimed, precipitated and colloidal sulphur",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 43093144.16734773,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6624954049526683,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "hs_code": "220300",
      "hs_description": "Beer: made from malt",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38541528.19575641,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 83.2071745605888,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3374598691408803,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "hs_code": "843149",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of machines handling earth, minerals or ores and n.e.c. in heading no. 8431",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 87359216.14616519,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.3761277875425955,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "hs_code": "870120",
      "hs_description": "Tractors: road, for semi-trailers",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 150117391.03351834,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 43.83001696194337,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8740204824634631,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
    "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
    "distance_km": 1419,
    "shares_land_border": 1,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 21203.05908,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1120.6302297341065,
    "importer_population": 18920.656,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 34,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 12236.250784,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4729.270937300954,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NAM-ZMB/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NAM-ZMB/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NAM-ZMB/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NAM-ZMB/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NAM-ZMB/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}