{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.798Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Namibia exports to South Africa: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Namibia to South Africa, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "NAM",
    "country_name": "Namibia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "ZAF",
    "country_name": "South Africa"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
    "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
    "all_history_lane_count": 149,
    "current_lane_count": 124,
    "current_product_count": 124,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2009,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 1164501782.062548,
    "attention_trade_usd": 1136095821.6847048,
    "critical_trade_usd": 163240414.4953127,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 888693969.244954,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 188123641.68630323,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1103361106.308925,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 1164501782.062548,
    "critical_lane_count": 6,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 24,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 97,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 60,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 59,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2830409071175923,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 13.028058002657438,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 4679.503900817598,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 67.82343008385719,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 77.2154456252053,
    "top_product_hs6": "710813",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 789805051.9824632,
    "top_product_description": "Metals: gold, semi-manufactured",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "710813",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 1272.1334228515625,
    "shares_land_border": 1,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 40,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 419946.428126,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 6994,
    "buyer_population_latest": 60041.996,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5997022185294298,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -0.829491262325488,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4411476748953822,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.936,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 19.216,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 97.56067695083034,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 14.018047632884144,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 419946.428126,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 6994,
    "buyer_population_2024": 60041.996
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 125976074.01835781,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 129643885.51867075,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.911514371989754,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 115374482.14406683,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.006615018915733,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 92467955.0368468,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.854067105252003,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.794214114509304
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 234496397.39174974,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 153.59747309033403,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.84135274054664
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 273245020.4181974,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.52418692032791,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.295093557620014
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 263718615.15442204,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.4863966593774776,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 41.81315238229652
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 330929057.89494514,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.48566497710736,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.167293967434588
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 336196615.97370714,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.5917484285813854,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.155309209069127
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 1283054580.2729487,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 281.6381603238066,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 69.44735013979839
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 1208567208.6592891,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.80547178264339,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 53.99689625391923
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 950724777.2020922,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.33455463707572,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 41.412290987068914
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 774370846.6193906,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.54941985436598,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.491325943197342
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 1225299038.872542,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 58.2315558781342,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.45936501665351237
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 637065524.3241413,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -48.00734317801011,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.492939194306995
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 725506791.2949355,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.882601332825374,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.1492491378628187
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 584111446.789346,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.489182761916968,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.88198340124051
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 1076327018.6417804,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 84.2674072829713,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.102272048118984
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 1037087612.7072258,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.6456769415740276,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.648303337113664
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 908667730.9461275,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.382741842405142,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.86967693997452
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 733742755.0702611,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.25070847335254,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.989762171922946
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 974974401.5260041,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.87686928270157,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.037636322061065
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 1236236696.9177065,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.79683640747712,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.806569239653818
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 1083024914.1686761,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.39340193759264,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.858346827438051
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 1248030974.935821,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.235666198298192,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.578553181348791
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "710813",
      "hs_description": "Metals: gold, semi-manufactured",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 824574747.7909762,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4461542952810227,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "220300",
      "hs_description": "Beer: made from malt",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 105031591.03735863,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 57.949494213462785,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8003640374809604,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "010229",
      "hs_description": "Cattle: live, other than pure-bred breeding animals",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 78083598.1445595,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 66.91846046545687,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6899887201946349,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "010410",
      "hs_description": "Sheep: live",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38319157.754478455,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0.4977110828970112,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6113350299289221,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "710231",
      "hs_description": "Diamonds: non-industrial, unworked or simply sawn, cleaved or bruted, but not mounted or set",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 478481107.3276533,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 48.997926544677746,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6169579210059868,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "030474",
      "hs_description": "Fish fillets: frozen, hake (Merluccius spp., Urophycis spp.)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20757880.571012165,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 29.460829403362233,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7045202602604754,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "010221",
      "hs_description": "Cattle: live, pure-bred breeding animals",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38823321.217377186,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 61.51755435580676,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2806726714023253,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "250100",
      "hs_description": "Salt (including table salt and denatured salt): pure sodium chloride whether or not in aqueous solution: sea water",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22477885.85132932,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 59.423543719428665,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5963009176592282,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "440290",
      "hs_description": "Wood: charcoal of wood other than bamboo (including shell or nut charcoal), whether or not agglomerated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18968595.231671855,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 3.31132916946235,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6260536945068969,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "190219",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: pasta, uncooked (excluding that containing eggs), not stuffed or otherwise prepared",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 70016201.21654008,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 18.670988487114464,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4554052582904855,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
    "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
    "distance_km": 1182,
    "shares_land_border": 1,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 1,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 419946.428126,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6994.21165355662,
    "importer_population": 60041.996,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 40,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 12236.250784,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4729.270937300954,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NAM-ZAF/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NAM-ZAF/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NAM-ZAF/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NAM-ZAF/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NAM-ZAF/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}