{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:02.788Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Namibia exports to Saint Vincent and the Grenadines: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Namibia to Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "NAM",
    "country_name": "Namibia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "VCT",
    "country_name": "Saint Vincent and the Grenadines"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
    "importer_iso3": "VCT",
    "all_history_lane_count": 2,
    "current_lane_count": 2,
    "current_product_count": 2,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2024,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 363590.30915926705,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 363590.30915926705,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 136818.2831043951,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 363590.30915926705,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 363590.30915926705,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 2,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 2,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2278100936948229,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 30.170841300026353,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 5306.04400978826,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 62.37020633999813,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "999999",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 226772.02605487197,
    "top_product_description": "Commodities not specified according to kind",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 9415.5205078125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 10,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 889.775243,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 7997,
    "buyer_population_latest": 111.269,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.912688779903651,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.642979019585148,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.6912813766318804,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.303999999999995,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -2.2600000000000002,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 889.775243,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 7997,
    "buyer_population_2024": 111.269
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 346631.701645582,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 287844.7869401142,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.95947440075034,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 22096.966870391698,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -92.32330482504484,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 322351.3786854412,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1358.8037379798411,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.3916246271260766
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 194844.97798580033,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.555097055770595,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.196812417992597
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 10207.944358903238,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -94.76099180772975,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.696016019824604
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 3258.3118895062876,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -68.08062647143615,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -78.37840605318053
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 11406.647187651839,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 250.07843246645797,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -61.170994797185216
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 16918.93903296211,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 48.325259426604795,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.34364562516848
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 281567.58967363276,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1564.2154045538684,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 342.10965905964554
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 286861.1547729088,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.8800335313492011,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 192.9799571636342
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 306528.31494480977,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.855985847045187,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 162.6429961913066
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 481318.9540980013,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 57.022673153265615,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.56849616078824
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 775325.2025166786,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 61.08345535023636,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.29559613150384
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 481224.0434607676,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.932619512595345,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.223042441031165
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 111821.09603676821,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -76.7631942841849,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -38.525227981200636
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 714727.5990914103,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 539.1706256003774,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.6762389459854985
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 61128.40023011677,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -91.44731498995903,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -49.73119389658302
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 53595.8434085723,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.322515873453742,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.74073076254456
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 180554.63797798555,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 236.8817924956976,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -36.784627887843115
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 75388.34448632957,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -58.24624317015803,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.239239484568327
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 554198.4774091472,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 635.1248806234787,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 117.8602877451155
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 576133.7482121506,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.958017153989646,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 47.22160755913536
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 769933.9307536245,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.638054209265064,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 116.96170458931681
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "export_value_usd": 384955.2776067498,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -50.00151802246864,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.437816284650392
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "hs_code": "999999",
      "hs_description": "Commodities not specified according to kind",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17502076.308752313,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.232566058102072,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "VCT",
      "hs_code": "271012",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15707534.578794565,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 80.17806733842413,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2199272314047453,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
    "importer_iso3": "VCT",
    "distance_km": 9403,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 889.775243,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7996.613998508119,
    "importer_population": 111.269,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 10,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 13.9,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 12236.250784,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4729.270937300954,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NAM-VCT/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NAM-VCT/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NAM-VCT/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NAM-VCT/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NAM-VCT/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}