{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:00.049Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Namibia exports to Pakistan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Namibia to Pakistan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "NAM",
    "country_name": "Namibia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "PAK",
    "country_name": "Pakistan"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
    "importer_iso3": "PAK",
    "all_history_lane_count": 13,
    "current_lane_count": 2,
    "current_product_count": 2,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2005,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 1682834.39166789,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 624391.8832820387,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 1682834.39166789,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 2,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8110916475979533,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 31.75894895269786,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 5332.635056992373,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 62.8964153351304,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "720449",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 1058442.508385851,
    "top_product_description": "Ferrous waste and scrap: n.e.s. in heading no. 7204",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 8624.2607421875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 346343.170486,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1538,
    "buyer_population_latest": 225199.936,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.97495743635785,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.2398006628906222,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.713907734019493,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 16.71,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 7.442,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 346343.170486,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1538,
    "buyer_population_2024": 225199.936
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 321814.66593994224,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 215744.18643291778,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.96011360986873,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 190128.05538524923,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.873381837629948,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 915713.8030952842,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 381.6300262682476,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 41.704826548013486
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 153027.09384694375,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -83.28876409532285,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.818163874964004
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 241.0021122412714,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.84251016850499,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -89.17756762213706
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 280229.84682281484,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 116176.92563220023,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.61164170795682
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 65624.06376749717,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -76.58205772456841,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.589538840078784
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 525110.1931709687,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 700.1793290817957,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1196.412470359329
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 576156.4884515695,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.721063491902315,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.157512225101744
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 174722.46165880034,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -69.67447817373889,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.599566871452005
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 493651.83643748704,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 182.53484511996803,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.0381970765724344
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 1475424.5310486807,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 198.87957911719815,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.81241663564454
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 181856.05152196987,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -87.67432371530973,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.3428248792340058
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 10512341.557239793,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5680.583856990762,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 177.17851821768528
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 2694971.4285478615,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -74.36373795625153,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.239731818856946
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 1592943.3353983706,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -40.89201397371769,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 106.13774614558791
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 424814.7455444914,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -73.33145906045353,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -65.68373286528569
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 977087.8430816837,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 130.00327868312002,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.693933226444102
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 2126931.5751394243,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 117.68069167979758,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.116161426439096
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 7795179.225550668,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 266.4988247231075,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 163.7599432226573
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 1547338.6892716018,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -80.15005627837513,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.560282573887775
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "export_value_usd": 1717732.1202112646,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.012031956615399,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.874781222603121
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "hs_code": "720449",
      "hs_description": "Ferrous waste and scrap: n.e.s. in heading no. 7204",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 953590624.4340684,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 11.59344846206945,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7410538174324313,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "hs_code": "720441",
      "hs_description": "Ferrous waste and scrap: turnings, shavings, chips, milling waste, sawdust, fillings, trimmings and stampings, whether or not in bundles",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 250942861.44168767,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 65.94264591231341,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9298167922180867,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "NAM",
    "importer_iso3": "PAK",
    "distance_km": 7532,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 346343.170486,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1537.9363628504764,
    "importer_population": 225199.936,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 16.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.7,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 12236.250784,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4729.270937300954,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NAM-PAK/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NAM-PAK/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NAM-PAK/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NAM-PAK/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/NAM-PAK/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}