{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.681Z", "seo": { "title": "Malaysia exports to Papua New Guinea: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Malaysia to Papua New Guinea, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MYS", "country_name": "Malaysia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "PNG", "country_name": "Papua New Guinea" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "all_history_lane_count": 49, "current_lane_count": 39, "current_product_count": 39, "first_observed_last_year": 2017, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 108331202.5442949, "attention_trade_usd": 102327165.54630204, "critical_trade_usd": 56238929.954777636, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 103557048.21105596, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 95157395.20349567, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 108104047.82180463, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 2, "high_attention_lane_count": 14, "high_volatility_lane_count": 34, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 34, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 38, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.4005825079195533, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 55.97124237671364, "product_concentration_hhi": 2130.826147985788, "top1_product_share_pct": 42.523141600693684, "top3_product_share_pct": 61.035850771057696, "top_product_hs6": "271019", "top_product_trade_usd": 46065830.6556448, "top_product_description": "", "top_attention_product_hs6": "271019", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 5228.75732421875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.13500000536441803, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.264865000989907, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.264865000989907, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 41, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 26594.277245999998, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2916, "buyer_population_latest": 9119.005, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.140334920164524, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.142267314450886, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.9371957372452453, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.46, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 48.532, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 94.45770299140001, "critical_trade_share_pct": 51.91387950464451, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 26594.277245999998, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2916, "buyer_population_2024": 9119.005 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 40710324.37184667, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 45247710.38923252, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.145541302843775, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 43922971.46252651, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.9277479795336903, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 39348418.69129342, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.4149437501876, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.1277902898807146 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 39347573.01832817, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.00214919174232886, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.550472988960596 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 34032125.414675474, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.508959246804753, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.152828462895645 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 28178352.47660277, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.20072686247335, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.533021367358419 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 31562367.208035138, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.009271068073279, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.085419003203053 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 38847552.001084834, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.081870713407817, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.510083460628933 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 38830728.73442729, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.04330586044927198, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.28073391288651 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 61950367.13745577, "yoy_growth_pct": 59.5395429252674, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.2058935789228 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 66830451.277350545, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.877409554437054, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.822096023210676 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 91577818.48470664, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.030076461182304, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.1082327985887 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 112598927.50078028, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.954367513770958, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.038479993555704 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 128443050.9209422, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.07129159383167, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.330803321893633 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 171165907.8472349, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.26210068973603, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.180602704116104 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 468845090.437894, "yoy_growth_pct": 173.91265955621077, "cagr_3y_pct": 60.87863505069178 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 574750051.3418849, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.588476036952265, "cagr_3y_pct": 64.7869448361617 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 427826216.9756077, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.56308329564304, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.71151816174256 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 433015839.8189513, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.2130212309171107, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.6151341799513284 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 352958589.66064686, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.488295992076708, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.00078551452816 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 335840544.94528306, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.849873389346326, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.752364340782814 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 336313908.3748196, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.1409488629830591, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.07922408838827 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 347799641.5863776, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.4151823417178706, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.48960314744099787 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 300816525.16671306, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.5086730409974, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.604627012920525 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 240420699.52474037, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.07729648778478, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.585282358026692 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 302866497.3796709, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.973553017012406, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.506450813196827 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 460263124.59150565, "yoy_growth_pct": 51.96897926102524, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.230690339613172 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 452162915.96994805, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.7599082326542503, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.435769322304733 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "export_value_usd": 224182287.3908209, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.42001909645314, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.541367020738766 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 519988746.8254843, "current_below_peak_pct": 57.099249565525454, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.44324255945732, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "hs_code": "310210", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, urea, whether or not in aqueous solution", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10604864.397596737, "current_below_peak_pct": 59.64330573914254, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.566107813864755, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "hs_code": "848310", "hs_description": "Transmission shafts (including cam shafts and crank shafts) and cranks", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14579080.303355852, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2514248215599975, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "hs_code": "151190", "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17155205.490877, "current_below_peak_pct": 77.34963962286115, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4521481052240015, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "hs_code": "252210", "hs_description": "Quicklime: excluding calcium oxide and hydroxide of heading no. 2825", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10344743.956117846, "current_below_peak_pct": 61.86801811681371, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5198790835284146, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "hs_code": "842952", "hs_description": "Mechanical shovels, excavators and shovel loaders: with a 360 degree revolving super structure", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38503651.91368231, "current_below_peak_pct": 68.46102317710347, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1412193398770571, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 65368894.7174335, "current_below_peak_pct": 52.53034025835921, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6868714537829637, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "hs_code": "847990", "hs_description": "Machines and mechanical appliances: parts, of those having individual functions", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13932822.899007997, "current_below_peak_pct": 71.1174680021414, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9053429633036492, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "hs_code": "843149", "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of machines handling earth, minerals or ores and n.e.c. in heading no. 8431", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 51822411.853619814, "current_below_peak_pct": 67.98225665184958, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.168356396580714, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "hs_code": "392390", "hs_description": "Plastics: articles for the conveyance or packing of goods n.e.c. in heading no. 3923", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12791367.978212716, "current_below_peak_pct": 55.20332419140787, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1750705018070338, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "PNG", "distance_km": 5234, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 26594.277246, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2916.357348855495, "importer_population": 9119.005, "importer_biz_entry_days": 41, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 18.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 372701.35882, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 11371.098672341353, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.264865000989907, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.264865000989907, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MYS-PNG/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MYS-PNG/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MYS-PNG/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MYS-PNG/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MYS-PNG/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }