{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.668Z", "seo": { "title": "Malaysia exports to Myanmar: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Malaysia to Myanmar, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MYS", "country_name": "Malaysia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MMR", "country_name": "Myanmar" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "all_history_lane_count": 140, "current_lane_count": 108, "current_product_count": 108, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 682278507.9214807, "attention_trade_usd": 665915469.8256315, "critical_trade_usd": 93152981.4301473, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 612405714.7235744, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 157295983.0702213, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 639439463.9730372, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 682278507.9214807, "critical_lane_count": 4, "high_attention_lane_count": 27, "high_volatility_lane_count": 73, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 87, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 93, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3185824647871818, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 40.40358852805678, "product_concentration_hhi": 2708.7341563726436, "top1_product_share_pct": 46.212365834700705, "top3_product_share_pct": 74.98396923492096, "top_product_hs6": "271019", "top_product_trade_usd": 315297040.0922121, "top_product_description": "", "top_attention_product_hs6": "271019", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 1635.265869140625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.710708880969699, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.881800151919194, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.4239629722222225, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.457837179696971, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 65067.808984999996, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1187, "buyer_population_latest": 54806.015, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -0.26699315940599266, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -0.9569924159110843, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.6966663001618523, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 29.234, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 31.125999999999998, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted", "attention_trade_share_pct": 97.60170694139288, "critical_trade_share_pct": 13.653219374289263, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 65067.808984999996, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1187, "buyer_population_2024": 54806.015 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 183086070.27902552, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 216186184.05385262, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.078990785253126, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 379970438.402237, "yoy_growth_pct": 75.76074070838183, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 320837135.43831813, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.562606189200512, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.561814501339693 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 249748094.25170296, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.15736064639009, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.928005009745728 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 252092572.85555348, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.9387373348633821, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.782544247051163 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 261339273.03871518, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.6679780282380614, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.608643645235035 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 252697023.91180283, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.3069079233384424, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.3920481824775335 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 172725957.1329955, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.647015679424506, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.841162974840735 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 160335745.2919408, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.173335175971529, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.02812033646077 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 204168175.5628974, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.337902843278084, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.861485497515263 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 138716683.12379986, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.05763692536604, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.048365865901451 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 167887419.97946674, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.029004009296415, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.5459483970517551 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 241731154.9015445, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.98407869458543, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.790871049885382 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 179321784.54965666, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.81767764991102, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.935170830727968 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 284292054.26200306, "yoy_growth_pct": 58.537377361019225, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.19247984191974 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 471218330.72575974, "yoy_growth_pct": 65.75149521818354, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.91938856232785 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 600840590.637107, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.50789845371806, "cagr_3y_pct": 49.63806056218445 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 637388256.1546179, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.082755740379864, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.8819565295964 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 821305766.5221823, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.854863357091666, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.344865313058634 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 672372906.4550385, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.133667890559167, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.820626886103806 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 805253271.7924558, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.762897056338026, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.104261317646033 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 971109339.5823996, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.596758013880034, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.743679840383931 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 810354964.2766817, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.55368440538798, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.4196184034924775 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 841933852.2180619, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.8969204032170524, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.4958982000675913 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 869790104.2796465, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.3086034001599707, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.606271929444893 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 737977172.397951, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.154567893234649, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.07052129822617 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 1223568862.6353414, "yoy_growth_pct": 65.80036732837276, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.270499298832817 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 957014332.7082591, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.785004348097992, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.236829836254085 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "export_value_usd": 758705116.5756984, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.72165581589197, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.9276190891572389 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2228385044.7370386, "current_below_peak_pct": 27.313813942785398, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2815631144270727, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "hs_code": "271012", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1254031718.1453671, "current_below_peak_pct": 33.48377061688899, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3893555312862724, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "hs_code": "151190", "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 527124924.3116523, "current_below_peak_pct": 83.43550870757234, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7433234697213786, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "hs_code": "721391", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, in irregularly wound coils, n.e.s. in heading no. 7213, of circular cross-section measuring less than 14mm in diameter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 40350019.290433414, "current_below_peak_pct": 71.45103479504799, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7706659339712383, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "hs_code": "721420", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or hot-extruded, containing indentations, ribs, grooves or other deformations produced during the rolling process or twisted after rolling", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 99313821.03766534, "current_below_peak_pct": 46.90552827803742, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.033253245429749, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "hs_code": "721410", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, forged, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or hot-extruded, but including those twisted after rolling", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19019142.86812155, "current_below_peak_pct": 77.10366903164865, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1920146828403975, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "hs_code": "310560", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the two fertilizing elements phosphorus and potassium", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 102330172.06658393, "current_below_peak_pct": 78.45801745751815, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8417341874370894, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "hs_code": "310590", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: n.e.s. in heading no. 3105", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 70639571.01168618, "current_below_peak_pct": 12.059821667009198, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.209198405758492, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "hs_code": "190190", "hs_description": "Food preparations: of flour, meal, starch, malt extract or milk products, for uses n.e.s. in heading no. 1901", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 40958487.23658843, "current_below_peak_pct": 57.649589529719634, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4723678243258063, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 226529702.8115306, "current_below_peak_pct": 81.4571941778747, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4313081025432217, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "MMR", "distance_km": 1628, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 65067.808984999996, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1187.2384625118248, "importer_population": 54806.015, "importer_biz_entry_days": 7, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 13.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 372701.35882, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 11371.098672341353, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.710708880969699, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.881800151919194, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.4239629722222225, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.457837179696971 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MYS-MMR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MYS-MMR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MYS-MMR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MYS-MMR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MYS-MMR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }