{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.661Z", "seo": { "title": "Malaysia exports to Italy: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Malaysia to Italy, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MYS", "country_name": "Malaysia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ITA", "country_name": "Italy" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "all_history_lane_count": 582, "current_lane_count": 327, "current_product_count": 327, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1418051199.3865602, "attention_trade_usd": 1246421196.6484184, "critical_trade_usd": 158334924.26033413, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 771431997.4948877, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 380364741.5763437, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 14532183.761955563, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 465430860.9496144, "access_friction_trade_usd": 1418051199.3865602, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 4, "high_attention_lane_count": 99, "high_volatility_lane_count": 189, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 166, "declining_demand_lane_count": 5, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 72, "access_friction_lane_count": 327, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1883552061277278, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 30.204074945263372, "product_concentration_hhi": 503.0433080682409, "top1_product_share_pct": 16.85443034918672, "top3_product_share_pct": 30.296738344500007, "top_product_hs6": "151190", "top_product_trade_usd": 239004451.71641472, "top_product_description": "Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified", "top_attention_product_hs6": "151190", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 9717.921875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.07829999923706055, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.9254715177181816, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868688, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.6398549576199513, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.280558169248737, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 11, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 2099880.198259, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 35551, "buyer_population_latest": 59066.223, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.3456337761183397, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.6164129413341017, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.26132844935394806, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 21.387999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.601999999999997, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 87.89676967852868, "critical_trade_share_pct": 11.1656704869915, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 2099880.198259, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 35551, "buyer_population_2024": 59066.223 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 625067310.7385584, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 670474849.0938503, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.264423778879081, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 569614055.7494978, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.043188194257596, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 571102423.6005677, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.2612940878208292, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.964852126443185 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 570279183.65222, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.1441492654080334, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.252372777794934 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 599673443.3460841, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.1543630797840745, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.7289838305464045 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 519089217.8963347, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.438018031964539, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.132966110767288 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 498627554.39534926, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.9418394363705977, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.376878126158179 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 625409416.1988566, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.42616441589289, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.4105643929304579 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 760477883.1259389, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.596807375879944, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.574681249704646 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 747342949.2848463, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.7271947196020432, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.44088890572981 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1078003131.0858428, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.244771709884276, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.899821215979085 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1173979781.4077952, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.903188455981347, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.573431941136873 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1017329481.5046854, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.343526216035873, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.827421615490351 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 849211221.154777, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.525448579476176, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.643974718039315 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1053021150.3094826, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.999910043294072, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.5596393956554118 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1182306024.5546312, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.277519231893109, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.137123505018204 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 934605832.5353147, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.95059881916985, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.2454498667855214 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 967643239.4224186, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.534902708394516, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.7791551401354253 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 875119662.2424464, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.561744805368456, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.542236409138194 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 932966497.6090881, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.610162913996498, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.05850217956200332 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 986300004.0764854, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.716551087748067, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6386006498749319 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1074264402.2932189, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.918624947091857, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.073314760019578 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1323600157.7441785, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.209905766094984, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.364792425576908 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1230614209.993516, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.025229424960122, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.655848994648018 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1249687177.4808831, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.5498738217452956, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.171171036918576 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1763726334.135341, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.13342650203524, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.041912501618366 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1896502102.511378, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.5281389071695015, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.50757536931453 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1401747001.923477, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.08776968571448, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.9017288715673004 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1452445970.0841868, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.6168415620750904, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.267630578931682 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "151190", "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: palm oil and its fractions, other than crude, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 748890641.8211211, "current_below_peak_pct": 23.956737438190697, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6547964910621535, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "760110", "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, (not alloyed)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1477045710.2372344, "current_below_peak_pct": 23.929249510445686, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3022316418234372, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "382319", "hs_description": "Industrial monocarboxylic fatty acids: acid oils from refining: (other than stearic acid, oleic acid or tall oil fatty acids)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 478061435.96225595, "current_below_peak_pct": 64.51328373169652, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.152143834294013, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "270900", "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38899590405.9718, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6469536562988722, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "382600", "hs_description": "Biodiesel and mixtures thereof: not containing or containing less than 70% by weight of petroleum oils or oils obtained from bituminous minerals", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 829842186.4650131, "current_below_peak_pct": 24.157703755698563, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.700301344439669, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "152200", "hs_description": "Degras: residues resulting from the treatment of fatty substances or animal or vegetable waxes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 160036207.81651855, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9006549925854161, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "841590", "hs_description": "Air conditioning machines: with motor driven fan and elements for temperature control, parts thereof", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1032225814.1218058, "current_below_peak_pct": 11.52174789974429, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.477771451920395, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "760511", "hs_description": "Aluminium: (not alloyed), wire, maximum cross-sectional dimension exceeds 7mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 257684329.53410485, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9000119089245697, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 9642180556.59046, "current_below_peak_pct": 66.49341739507332, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3464210279602713, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "401511", "hs_description": "Rubber: vulcanised (other than hard rubber), surgical gloves", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 137613094.97543448, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7930597235149387, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "distance_km": 9714, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 2099880.198259, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35551.286193786254, "importer_population": 59066.223, "importer_biz_entry_days": 11, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 13.8, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 372701.35882, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 11371.098672341353, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.9254715177181816, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868688, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.6398549576199513, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.280558169248737 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MYS-ITA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MYS-ITA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MYS-ITA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MYS-ITA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MYS-ITA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }