{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.678Z", "seo": { "title": "Malaysia exports to Brunei: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Malaysia to Brunei, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MYS", "country_name": "Malaysia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "BRN", "country_name": "Brunei" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "all_history_lane_count": 40, "current_lane_count": 39, "current_product_count": 39, "first_observed_last_year": 2023, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1646411553.8684757, "attention_trade_usd": 253812665.3696549, "critical_trade_usd": 64347402.673485, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1479491959.1580732, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 100122624.04709697, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 258498768.32584417, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 22, "high_volatility_lane_count": 16, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 18, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 29, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 2.1007230685541374, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 5.724886228164425, "product_concentration_hhi": 6892.706716022546, "top1_product_share_pct": 82.84003485422001, "top3_product_share_pct": 89.6150747209485, "top_product_hs6": "270900", "top_product_trade_usd": 1363887905.0685506, "top_product_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "top_attention_product_hs6": "271019", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 1486.3974609375, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.8294042348861694, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.8059946277939398, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.28654773359596, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.8584464271365659, "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.4281013064593944, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 5.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 14006.569576, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 31723, "buyer_population_latest": 441.532, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.6363175751219714, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.731441922235355, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.889474911383159, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 56.65599999999999, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 15.416112986651868, "critical_trade_share_pct": 3.908342511463293, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 14006.569576, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 31723, "buyer_population_2024": 441.532 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 311141774.22590506, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 360892653.6794353, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.989778157338819, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 298114309.6126469, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.395295644491448, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 255638824.8042822, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.248052991335758, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.339566652456796 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 233324259.6725307, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.728942150643814, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.530963798925889 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 246669793.53871378, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.719736938162123, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.118998084892513 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 287075944.7764814, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.380664473790162, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.941743373413753 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 270203059.9929972, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.877498651662183, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.013094294388876 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 324771344.3461741, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.195287334862577, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.60252957252039 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 340288196.0992259, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.777777357263502, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.831924574940195 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 362715920.75340533, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.590803005003343, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.312684098042224 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 376366867.6411772, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.763536725770722, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.037544495476687 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 415694450.50640965, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.449268053724325, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.899526296102576 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 484011213.33723533, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.434369702939367, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.093818456788073 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 466998124.8700339, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.5150194868207585, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.456968415319554 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 518522365.2877007, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.033072227432616, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.64596504697701 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 610081897.8888943, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.657778859816787, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.021674501548137 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 708829049.737144, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.185884582045595, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.92348580940579 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 797735090.0837553, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.542663196377246, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.441971280106914 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 814598929.5411983, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.113964857139794, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.116373120739674 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 724823047.6977568, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.02086911579977, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.7465451927574529 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 543336927.8415846, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.038679500137796, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.016039170022363 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 542945565.2370158, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.07202945069892941, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.648409230544145 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 545411594.377779, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.454194545209452, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.044117805920182 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 566181284.8898249, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.808076455679399, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.3822897373297671 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 772885674.9516327, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.50851689702728, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.491486550538022 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 1660072944.8163598, "yoy_growth_pct": 114.78893950521818, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.92198320795531 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 2010832125.653923, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.129142664051127, "cagr_3y_pct": 52.57150671693316 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 1715211858.6546526, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.701389699706269, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.437010789840713 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "export_value_usd": 2035969924.2897313, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.70078404697302, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.040483514343743 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "hs_code": "270900", "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3640592450.7823744, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.3190657043727216, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 81552510.08741778, "current_below_peak_pct": 55.75133694944299, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.31117695655273, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 93261948.87550315, "current_below_peak_pct": 15.592976079368393, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7614388861650505, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "hs_code": "230990", "hs_description": "Dog or cat food: (not put up for retail sale), used in animal feeding", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29884656.258977856, "current_below_peak_pct": 48.399202077782896, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5365418381700369, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "hs_code": "721410", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, forged, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or hot-extruded, but including those twisted after rolling", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16055719.204051988, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 3.262121993389749, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "hs_code": "220299", "hs_description": "Non-alcoholic beverages: other than non-alcoholic beer, n.e.c. in item no. 2202.10, not including fruit, nut or vegetable juices of heading no. 2009", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22864482.497032695, "current_below_peak_pct": 30.58586738462662, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.76662737926496, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "hs_code": "843143", "hs_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: parts of the machinery of item no. 8430.41 or 8430.41", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20987166.347254645, "current_below_peak_pct": 36.05375905571571, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9219022057867541, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "hs_code": "870322", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 81430795.97669263, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1993894310744149, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16438592.118394708, "current_below_peak_pct": 2.1450041548081313, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6354522568180777, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "hs_code": "190190", "hs_description": "Food preparations: of flour, meal, starch, malt extract or milk products, for uses n.e.s. in heading no. 1901", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11637642.197942588, "current_below_peak_pct": 63.869125350912306, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5882872297849395, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MYS", "importer_iso3": "BRN", "distance_km": 1486, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 14006.569575999998, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 31722.66013788355, "importer_population": 441.532, "importer_biz_entry_days": 5.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 372701.35882, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 11371.098672341353, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.8059946277939398, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.28654773359596, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.8584464271365659, "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.4281013064593944 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MYS-BRN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MYS-BRN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MYS-BRN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MYS-BRN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MYS-BRN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }