{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:06.141Z", "seo": { "title": "Malawi exports to Portugal: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Malawi to Portugal, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MWI", "country_name": "Malawi" }, "importer": { "iso3": "PRT", "country_name": "Portugal" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "all_history_lane_count": 13, "current_lane_count": 2, "current_product_count": 2, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 14906395.198338373, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 516509.51146699797, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 516509.51146699797, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 516509.51146699797, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9302562954566148, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 36.68860816928055, "product_concentration_hhi": 9331.00880641302, "top1_product_share_pct": 96.53498042555202, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "240120", "top_product_trade_usd": 14389885.686871374, "top_product_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 7371.3037109375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.012799999676644802, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.9159724444842423, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868689, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.6058515285368647, "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.314561598331824, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 6.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 249886.464355, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 24262, "buyer_population_latest": 10299.423, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.462941650481978, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.644844908749368, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7817840835313117, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.083999999999996, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 19.34, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 249886.464355, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 24262, "buyer_population_2024": 10299.423 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 2476564.149470013, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 16051681.5082554, "yoy_growth_pct": 548.143174958358, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 11560172.909891497, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.981545709425603, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 12100860.682880847, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.677159911048645, "cagr_3y_pct": 69.68973041428754 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 7428338.806715464, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.61313669014985, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.65058088331401 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 8026924.505533623, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.058136743534327, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.44869834730785 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 7516653.49988283, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.356992709960341, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.676350448087415 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 7180098.986235715, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.477451483593875, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.1265755772308261 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 15781563.082599493, "yoy_growth_pct": 119.79589853639658, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.275731047073656 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 3658089.496635861, "yoy_growth_pct": -76.82048680799424, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.34193377925152 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 11413499.490095217, "yoy_growth_pct": 212.00711465893792, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.70679180172052 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 6420009.352485309, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.75073694043902, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.90392298835479 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 22361902.93120551, "yoy_growth_pct": 248.31573761724798, "cagr_3y_pct": 82.8457248603463 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 27394022.409238692, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.50309150126475, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.8892352562576 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 20813927.68711225, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.02018449071317, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.003775289605684 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 9309053.478800865, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.27488315160753, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.332389081572938 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 16048170.355954846, "yoy_growth_pct": 72.39314815948477, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.326120292266786 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 18201664.36813974, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.418937887743798, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.371864811016291 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 35581974.94638454, "yoy_growth_pct": 95.48747975304587, "cagr_3y_pct": 56.353704245802284 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 22116120.15668751, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.844596344041015, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.28273863584175 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 23670288.233147938, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.0273088835180575, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.151778099928553 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 16908201.902128935, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.56782420397128, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.965055614750174 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 7569716.00052539, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.2305085760049, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.04959793905583 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 2569361.529980383, "yoy_growth_pct": -66.05735895769337, "cagr_3y_pct": -52.29756406085764 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 2369858.4077832974, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.764696399054783, "cagr_3y_pct": -48.055250298879294 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 4100736.4336691312, "yoy_growth_pct": 73.03719159765545, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.480640840674166 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 4943229.844475812, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.544929537274868, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.373692727231177 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 1528353.4178245969, "yoy_growth_pct": -69.08188642022036, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.602641521222447 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 8978434.1229269, "yoy_growth_pct": 487.4579804785257, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.851283848852027 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 15071645.057693895, "yoy_growth_pct": 67.86496232352657, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.00510245854572 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "hs_code": "240120", "hs_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 74770496.76179749, "current_below_peak_pct": 35.09666469901629, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9239458809365806, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "hs_code": "240110", "hs_description": "Tobacco, (not stemmed or stripped)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11406695.144764153, "current_below_peak_pct": 81.0399396520266, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1060635972856891, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "distance_km": 7345, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 249886.46435499997, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 24262.180935281518, "importer_population": 10299.423, "importer_biz_entry_days": 6.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.9, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 12626.718073999999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 642.6569485048616, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.9159724444842423, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868689, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.6058515285368647, "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.314561598331824 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-PRT/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-PRT/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-PRT/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-PRT/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-PRT/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }