{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:00.243Z", "seo": { "title": "Malawi exports to Pakistan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Malawi to Pakistan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MWI", "country_name": "Malawi" }, "importer": { "iso3": "PAK", "country_name": "Pakistan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "all_history_lane_count": 16, "current_lane_count": 2, "current_product_count": 2, "first_observed_last_year": 1998, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 8917188.000817653, "attention_trade_usd": 4486094.662927325, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 4486094.662927325, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.5542223140712391, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 20.270381566038367, "product_concentration_hhi": 5000.190221877047, "top1_product_share_pct": 50.308400613690964, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "090240", "top_product_trade_usd": 4486094.662927325, "top_product_description": "Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content exceeding 3kg", "top_attention_product_hs6": "090240", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 6743.580078125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.004000000189989805, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 40.08605510242425, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 40.08605510242425, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 346343.170486, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1538, "buyer_population_latest": 225199.936, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.97495743635785, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.2398006628906222, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.713907734019493, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 16.71, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 7.442, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 50.308400613690964, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 346343.170486, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1538, "buyer_population_2024": 225199.936 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 2069782, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 1674025.5000000002, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.120685173607644, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 971154.7108757765, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.986862752343, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 2267773.8627019837, "yoy_growth_pct": 133.51314031694605, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.092019346995767 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 1890282.5801207896, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.645896171121077, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.1329617978151045 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 2088614.3353854339, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.49217494518575, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.079302839953304 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 1234655.5443400617, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.88637986331651, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.345143141129626 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 1168613.397324104, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.349034175459677, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.811420556735422 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 1366988.779394322, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.97527878119991, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.176844637982676 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 1537018.078234472, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.438236611970254, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.574925722806336 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 2004662.611898659, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.425441332567573, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.708083135477384 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 3673361.203458694, "yoy_growth_pct": 83.24086964337478, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.02713133487718 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 5999346.619845983, "yoy_growth_pct": 63.32035668578499, "cagr_3y_pct": 57.449635525483835 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 5465573.989253784, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.897179383275944, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.7005649531865 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 9074657.852602303, "yoy_growth_pct": 66.03302545065846, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.183039872750555 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 5568633.273985549, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.63533629106849, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.452782045106827 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 2796616.005948859, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.779131281394626, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.01675491875211 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 2463186.697083357, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.922598889380719, "cagr_3y_pct": -35.252596510849365 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 2109124.3947025877, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.374156161204176, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.647891445214434 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 2763864.4903304167, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.043218563699515, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.39190467191320133 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 136967.6229659082, "yoy_growth_pct": -95.04434376413535, "cagr_3y_pct": -61.831344438948776 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 190709.79705401746, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.23713716013448, "cagr_3y_pct": -55.11613269959689 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 369812.6633586525, "yoy_growth_pct": 93.91382565097335, "cagr_3y_pct": -48.85282193739824 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 2673000.299624732, "yoy_growth_pct": 622.798477301573, "cagr_3y_pct": 169.23221832138285 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 575411.7811902477, "yoy_growth_pct": -78.47318680543991, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.500244472153064 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 26068.322131990895, "yoy_growth_pct": -95.46962314917012, "cagr_3y_pct": -58.69108702620625 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 310934.93264203257, "yoy_growth_pct": 1092.7692586722144, "cagr_3y_pct": -51.18460179508061 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 2904239.6144738677, "yoy_growth_pct": 834.0345228489998, "cagr_3y_pct": 71.53440159746283 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 8119301.206473881, "yoy_growth_pct": 179.56719431859875, "cagr_3y_pct": 577.8524831403889 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 11384261.316719478, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.21232895809184, "cagr_3y_pct": 232.05634241010702 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "090240", "hs_description": "Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content exceeding 3kg", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 607243711.3984448, "current_below_peak_pct": 40.29224010059658, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7546637295494467, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "230400", "hs_description": "Oil-cake and other solid residues: whether or not ground or in the form of pellets, resulting from the extraction of soya-bean oil", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 110431899.94433147, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3512929023801507, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "distance_km": 5618, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 346343.170486, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1537.9363628504764, "importer_population": 225199.936, "importer_biz_entry_days": 16.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.7, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 12626.718073999999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 642.6569485048616, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 40.08605510242425, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 40.08605510242425, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-PAK/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-PAK/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-PAK/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-PAK/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-PAK/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }