{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:00.171Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Malawi exports to the Netherlands: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Malawi to the Netherlands, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "MWI",
    "country_name": "Malawi"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "NLD",
    "country_name": "Netherlands"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
    "importer_iso3": "NLD",
    "all_history_lane_count": 18,
    "current_lane_count": 4,
    "current_product_count": 4,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 10496014.490519399,
    "attention_trade_usd": 9702494.875666365,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 10496014.490519399,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 5623916.445644198,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 10496014.490519399,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 3,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 4,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 1,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 4,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.5989899638802425,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 75.94320036651435,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3692.5560266080256,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 53.58144704091292,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 92.43980069225526,
    "top_product_hs6": "240120",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 5623916.445644198,
    "top_product_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "240120",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 7887.34423828125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.03480000048875809,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.9159724444842423,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868689,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.6058515285368647,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.314561598331824,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1018007.05695,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 58061,
    "buyer_population_latest": 17533.405,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.515439704237579,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.743525072332222,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7369568967363849,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.17,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 30.663999999999998,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 92.43980069225528,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1018007.05695,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 58061,
    "buyer_population_2024": 17533.405
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "export_value_usd": 33741813.19698112,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "export_value_usd": 29660218.073737793,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.09654946346661,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "export_value_usd": 53587131.334410876,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 80.67005172109243,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "export_value_usd": 44337920.38244406,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.26013451671269,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.530642230302222
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "export_value_usd": 32881114.81868567,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.839744996914206,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.4961190298973044
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "export_value_usd": 23587730.79719485,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.263591647475337,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.93085212879327
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "export_value_usd": 19850862.3026556,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.842424719310655,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.49884022260146
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "export_value_usd": 17421882.607733794,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.2361419765471,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.081184579581524
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "export_value_usd": 29928743.69407318,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 71.78822959573516,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.25985510002103
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "export_value_usd": 19667076.399613447,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.28699647186281,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.3095684533451992
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "export_value_usd": 34804304.84759908,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 76.967354681569,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.944525240591787
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "export_value_usd": 23893959.270043194,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.34768996344003,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.231640357814384
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "export_value_usd": 31280401.888419654,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.913431026213956,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.728661727837935
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "export_value_usd": 54025355.45485922,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 72.7131117035296,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.785690425313037
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "export_value_usd": 51047482.7139433,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.511991019483564,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.793932519098497
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "export_value_usd": 49136439.7648079,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.7436575665138694,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.245759838499673
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "export_value_usd": 29050841.55593853,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -40.87719481714447,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.68193642400431
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "export_value_usd": 36278953.71082522,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.88090453754559,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.759880964719192
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "export_value_usd": 40424110.94969531,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.425790478718323,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.298704143265843
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "export_value_usd": 22158976.493879296,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -45.18376292442292,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.63139525358797
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "export_value_usd": 13914548.980854813,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.205813703993684,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.344004084270512
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "export_value_usd": 19047327.006886978,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36.887850501618225,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.184785269548478
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "export_value_usd": 16877611.520597395,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.391180954183621,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.675543450070922
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "export_value_usd": 27246507.214810558,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 61.435800211179114,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.106699735879936
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "export_value_usd": 25707733.322991528,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.647600551833632,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.512121487485881
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "export_value_usd": 17531739.34637474,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.803636181742434,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.2755645852568165
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "export_value_usd": 16974639.57803264,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.177663991777857,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.592388841525128
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "export_value_usd": 10684837.994546546,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.05410977695163,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -25.372071772386274
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "export_value_usd": 5124182.496791445,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -52.04248768763002,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -33.63590222448386
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "export_value_usd": 11888609.554092987,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 132.00987789832138,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.193756291975554
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "hs_code": "240120",
      "hs_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 141268105.92414498,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 84.74246742068658,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6221445498279271,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "declining_buyer_demand",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "hs_code": "080262",
      "hs_description": "Nuts, edible: macadamia, fresh or dried, shelled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25107141.410078257,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 53.75081477563843,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7580458237207603,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "hs_code": "090240",
      "hs_description": "Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content exceeding 3kg",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18795921.548224412,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 68.24567757456292,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.31720459063912537,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "hs_code": "240110",
      "hs_description": "Tobacco, (not stemmed or stripped)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36157782.27622499,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 94.56087025736792,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6235947726966607,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
    "importer_iso3": "NLD",
    "distance_km": 7858,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1018007.05695,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 58061.00166795897,
    "importer_population": 17533.405,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 3.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 4,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 12626.718073999999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 642.6569485048616,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.9159724444842423,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868689,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.6058515285368647,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.314561598331824
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-NLD/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-NLD/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-NLD/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-NLD/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-NLD/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}