{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:09.115Z", "seo": { "title": "Malawi exports to Spain: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Malawi to Spain, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MWI", "country_name": "Malawi" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ESP", "country_name": "Spain" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "all_history_lane_count": 9, "current_lane_count": 4, "current_product_count": 4, "first_observed_last_year": 1998, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1171562.6070526838, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 29691.645905053687, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 358932.8624535718, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1108902.1294634615, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7801093218146513, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 25.721433759831225, "product_concentration_hhi": 5363.997849708647, "top1_product_share_pct": 69.36289530812662, "top3_product_share_pct": 97.46563728422936, "top_product_hs6": "080450", "top_product_trade_usd": 812629.744599112, "top_product_description": "Fruit, edible: guavas, mangoes and mangosteens, fresh or dried", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 7186.5146484375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.01080000028014183, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.9159724444842423, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868689, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.6058515285368647, "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.314561598331824, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 12.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1425276.586283, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 30116, "buyer_population_latest": 47326.687, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.219593086678142, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.4705637441098336, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7239057326687615, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.381999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.082, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1425276.586283, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 30116, "buyer_population_2024": 47326.687 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "export_value_usd": 10033627.409258006, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "export_value_usd": 5836956.488592648, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.82605900626826, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "export_value_usd": 7109420.086246086, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.800121349889356, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "export_value_usd": 9568170.944991237, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.58440813621155, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.57086874381146 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "export_value_usd": 9941203.827825962, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.8986853911718633, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.421954348223203 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "export_value_usd": 12579560.937093193, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.53961386328614, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.951270724495963 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "export_value_usd": 6323133.0137120765, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.734867175951, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.896729090898928 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "export_value_usd": 6262114.024942727, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.9650119432412119, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.277663951259157 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "export_value_usd": 8604079.002373412, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.39895134618065, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.892481708252568 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "export_value_usd": 9596176.483776206, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.530548256578378, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.918152732775901 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "export_value_usd": 12863260.747517237, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.045687563838925, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.11887302390299 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "export_value_usd": 6118564.130163156, "yoy_growth_pct": -52.43380158219904, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.74174838727867 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "export_value_usd": 8571323.33368417, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.08716998534767, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.694767535108956 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "export_value_usd": 8901963.787934694, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.85751932786329, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.547200370020583 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "export_value_usd": 5744834.93699052, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.46553239435999, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.0789610233562517 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "export_value_usd": 18157996.04662216, "yoy_growth_pct": 216.07515700241126, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.432029782125134 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "export_value_usd": 30547896.75985305, "yoy_growth_pct": 68.23385510944485, "cagr_3y_pct": 50.833739037174944 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "export_value_usd": 23060627.55312753, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.509933582614142, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.92706225594373 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "export_value_usd": 7588155.099058586, "yoy_growth_pct": -67.09475888469711, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.236533924391335 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "export_value_usd": 13933454.155728674, "yoy_growth_pct": 83.62110386301023, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.02332291701226 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "export_value_usd": 8370492.205883911, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.925218023253606, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.666539711317228 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "export_value_usd": 5705348.062365001, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.839754198032544, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.068299036886229 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "export_value_usd": 5789551.06371488, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.4758609015516289, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.37883381997944 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "export_value_usd": 4554016.409874282, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.340767880675948, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.364097505645894 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "export_value_usd": 5541733.649295377, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.688925786026346, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.96519865344602 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "export_value_usd": 18045913.634140164, "yoy_growth_pct": 225.63661078216336, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.07570643226258 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "export_value_usd": 14121595.886391506, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.746295739354736, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.824242577495355 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "export_value_usd": 2077217.7526968461, "yoy_growth_pct": -85.29048862884832, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.89830756225642 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "export_value_usd": 1109892.0114151086, "yoy_growth_pct": -46.568335940026564, "cagr_3y_pct": -60.52695615582455 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "export_value_usd": 1522610.47090732, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.18546085992607, "cagr_3y_pct": -52.40423141516508 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "hs_code": "080450", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: guavas, mangoes and mangosteens, fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 143237967.8687349, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8332081161121649, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "hs_code": "090421", "hs_description": "Spices: fruits of the genus Capsicum or Pimenta, dried, neither crushed nor ground", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 94839481.45342688, "current_below_peak_pct": 78.68763139612028, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5709268831712656, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "hs_code": "240120", "hs_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30526726.8688082, "current_below_peak_pct": 99.22180151148652, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8770357034909521, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "hs_code": "240110", "hs_description": "Tobacco, (not stemmed or stripped)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14401216.740476964, "current_below_peak_pct": 99.03046829051422, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.000403477161784, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "distance_km": 7158, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1425276.586283, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 30115.705886680804, "importer_population": 47326.687, "importer_biz_entry_days": 12.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 3.9, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 12626.718073999999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 642.6569485048616, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.9159724444842423, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868689, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.6058515285368647, "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.314561598331824 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-ESP/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-ESP/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-ESP/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-ESP/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-ESP/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }