{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.178Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Malawi exports to Egypt: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Malawi to Egypt, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "MWI",
    "country_name": "Malawi"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "EGY",
    "country_name": "Egypt"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
    "importer_iso3": "EGY",
    "all_history_lane_count": 34,
    "current_lane_count": 3,
    "current_product_count": 3,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 39750231.58942141,
    "attention_trade_usd": 34550712.43365334,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 723341.4200046073,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 5199519.155768067,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 35274053.853657946,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8896172456568643,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 45.96085492124259,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 7685.119862117814,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 86.91952487353106,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "240120",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 34550712.43365334,
    "top_product_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "240120",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 4906.748046875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 29.021859561616164,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 33.73637314060606,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 33.73637314060606,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 12.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 404142.766093,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3876,
    "buyer_population_latest": 104258.324,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.071702156521417,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.415004099572471,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6176321736395494,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 17.274,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 5.094,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 86.91952487353106,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 404142.766093,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3876,
    "buyer_population_2024": 104258.324
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 5854809.583060514,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 13393453.13889184,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 128.7598417827726,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 9682582.824310873,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.706598709823094,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 17640014.64040077,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 82.18294602252725,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 44.431544482245044
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 15565477.124845672,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.760406994242533,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.13725283535853
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 13857734.07604897,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.971350477081076,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.693880640869605
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 44535697.8587,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 221.37792235220707,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.16634291672376
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 31510713.064574145,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.246167502417254,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.50235130421821
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 28964151.2176798,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.081574801800706,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.856514521065368
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 21042645.674383387,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.349344656304318,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.11317028023865
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 20668074.131159995,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.780059166606518,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.114508973229178
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 26181849.372843243,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.67774078364886,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.3103834478698246
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 29855777.703644227,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.032348435293173,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.368008007701082
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 9904638.858725846,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -66.82505156274367,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.744859027617423
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 44955386.15638017,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 353.8821333881862,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.745849923030057
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 96325022.203234,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 114.26803424212903,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 47.76454577270495
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 65420197.983327806,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.08390043731399,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 87.62515745296153
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 40379889.682504125,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -38.27611207658703,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.514704367122501
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 12830783.385538056,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -68.22481812995788,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -48.92935394982513
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 59383463.289534435,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 362.82024647432854,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.1756575968944323
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 55461806.03289375,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.603955107030323,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.158572222129903
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 25058718.790381357,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -54.818062045222035,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.997663891967647
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 39074632.797622465,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 55.93228498426277,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.021924453677725
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 56860429.10422865,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 45.51750082649115,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8336237394566126
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 91981648.74822883,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 61.76741927082687,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 54.25790984222787
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 36499885.18380446,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -60.31829644224844,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.2465266392686867
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 45219636.82766811,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.88980568008123,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.3513748391828
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 28325100.724832047,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.361061008121496,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.47103538166358
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 11327073.232387258,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -60.01047501145498,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.29687162881037
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 40049751.021309085,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 253.57545766364157,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.9661698878075025
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "240120",
      "hs_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 359643626.7156157,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 39.478347775482554,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9038714289073647,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "240110",
      "hs_description": "Tobacco, (not stemmed or stripped)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 69485462.03897521,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 89.52657590081165,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7542988235092842,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "090240",
      "hs_description": "Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content exceeding 3kg",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 234137633.59763443,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 86.00740714390274,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0461368626176635,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
    "importer_iso3": "EGY",
    "distance_km": 4877,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 404142.76609299995,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3876.3597052739883,
    "importer_population": 104258.324,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 12.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 20.3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 12626.718073999999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 642.6569485048616,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 29.021859561616164,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 33.73637314060606,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 33.73637314060606
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-EGY/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-EGY/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-EGY/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-EGY/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-EGY/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}