{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:12.464Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Malawi exports to Congo, Rep. of the: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Malawi to Congo, Rep. of the, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "MWI",
    "country_name": "Malawi"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "COG",
    "country_name": "Congo, Rep. of the"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
    "importer_iso3": "COG",
    "all_history_lane_count": 3,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2008,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 182643.4606464197,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 182643.4606464197,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 182643.4606464197,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.628658805703567,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "020714",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 182643.4606464197,
    "top_product_description": "Meat and edible offal: of fowls of the species Gallus domesticus, cuts and offal, frozen",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 2309.265625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 18.93313733575757,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 18.93313733575757,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 49.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 12523.961677,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2214,
    "buyer_population_latest": 5657.017,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.378765721360643,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -0.04968454334934869,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.429657428908505,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.43,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 38.572,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 12523.961677,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2214,
    "buyer_population_2024": 5657.017
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "COG",
      "export_value_usd": 6383,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "COG",
      "export_value_usd": 99108,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1452.6868243772522,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "COG",
      "export_value_usd": 76130,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.184808491746377,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "COG",
      "export_value_usd": 70427.85402609802,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.490011787602757,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 122.62462640249309
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "COG",
      "export_value_usd": 13627.377440944747,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -80.65058544039276,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -48.38595958273182
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "COG",
      "export_value_usd": 331577.35271644447,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2333.1706827183702,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 63.30883349792651
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "COG",
      "export_value_usd": 5170620.262092276,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1459.4009119537313,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 318.72870061143306
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "COG",
      "export_value_usd": 1634897.6288356297,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -68.38101531412649,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 393.20343543369523
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "COG",
      "export_value_usd": 452010.9429127162,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -72.3523396853516,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.880377629419558
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "COG",
      "export_value_usd": 520396.29158874904,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.12913564334617,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -53.48455467557661
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "COG",
      "export_value_usd": 490598.16450822516,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.726045239398491,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -33.05084215849491
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "COG",
      "export_value_usd": 1602108.344310213,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 226.5622377360837,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 52.46879845406318
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "COG",
      "export_value_usd": 964793.0008090995,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.7797905344229,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.847592651865135
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "COG",
      "export_value_usd": 471807.0713311659,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -51.09758560276694,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.2934038890698218
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "COG",
      "export_value_usd": 1923930.0278767988,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 307.77897254667766,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.291645447400285
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "COG",
      "export_value_usd": 1173616.3928252284,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -38.99900849718521,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.749047258975405
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "COG",
      "export_value_usd": 2836246.270782856,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 141.66723369935252,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 81.82761019230702
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "COG",
      "export_value_usd": 2671378.102131858,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.812900323549519,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.561761491578526
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "COG",
      "export_value_usd": 22380.35920162403,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.16221671564337,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -73.28345493877748
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "COG",
      "export_value_usd": 5549.565366576999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -75.20341243596174,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -87.49246641342133
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "COG",
      "export_value_usd": 12204.433191635278,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 119.91691935260577,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -83.40690431529868
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "COG",
      "export_value_usd": 415550.9572484382,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3304.9181205174696,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 164.8006691036366
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "COG",
      "export_value_usd": 31871.577392534455,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -92.33028420784507,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 79.0804576858213
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "COG",
      "export_value_usd": 594486.3444473856,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1765.2554817906098,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 265.2089591671184
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "COG",
      "export_value_usd": 3128888.6837619194,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 426.31800763572267,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 95.99964067243391
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "COG",
      "export_value_usd": 1230839.3055388154,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -60.66209347981805,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 238.01237413747828
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "COG",
      "export_value_usd": 3403289.004195365,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 176.50148877115458,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 78.8898290821753
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "COG",
      "export_value_usd": 402222.08467804006,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -88.18137148557746,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -49.53093410603192
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "COG",
      "hs_code": "020714",
      "hs_description": "Meat and edible offal: of fowls of the species Gallus domesticus, cuts and offal, frozen",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 88496706.33126341,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.628658805703567,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
    "importer_iso3": "COG",
    "distance_km": 2297,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 12523.961677,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2213.880862829297,
    "importer_population": 5657.017,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 49.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 62.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 12626.718073999999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 642.6569485048616,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 18.93313733575757,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 18.93313733575757,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-COG/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-COG/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-COG/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-COG/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-COG/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}