{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:09.158Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Malawi exports to Canada: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Malawi to Canada, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "MWI",
    "country_name": "Malawi"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "CAN",
    "country_name": "Canada"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
    "importer_iso3": "CAN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 18,
    "current_lane_count": 4,
    "current_product_count": 4,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 605983.8963178229,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 280737.4011715576,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 436352.48776586633,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 261062.20861960106,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 605983.8963178229,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 2,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 4,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8604840286378661,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 57.571493839891794,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3045.6836060847954,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 41.29951120268813,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 87.62704612191939,
    "top_product_hs6": "090240",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 250268.38714626525,
    "top_product_description": "Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content exceeding 3kg",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 12944.849609375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.03400000184774399,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.476523721007273,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.513050048545457,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.773951631127272,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.739098417418185,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 1.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1990761.6096649999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 52051,
    "buyer_population_latest": 38246.109,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.170733773212577,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.2307679188356975,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.8792515966772338,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.134000000000004,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.016,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1990761.6096649999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 52051,
    "buyer_population_2024": 38246.109
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 1529845.9350902368,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 1299112.9577775656,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.082105460447014,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 2155421.6525642797,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 65.9148759667234,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 1906146.1236265553,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.565047082141177,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.60591987840078
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 1489601.5707772814,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.852708335747806,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.666508162503291
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 1516418.3587993712,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.8002658259884008,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.060312852546506
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 990977.7256760291,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.650110246578734,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.591387612653786
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 674493.9606145718,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.936516519133374,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.210357107066425
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 1044271.3509665589,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 54.82293570354,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.692394272087093
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 1254519.732101012,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.133500831929464,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.177730981093468
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 1017957.4461665177,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.856800724713253,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.705397092667694
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 1033047.9695608881,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.4824316528357029,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.35954356240655017
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 1348511.6662373317,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.537177940588368,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.4375234761274234
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 3524879.1627728953,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 161.39033506533514,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 51.28813528456859
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 5986641.977624713,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 69.83963708177838,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 79.61982380686312
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 65367753.788653165,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 991.8934860806353,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 264.6164720197195
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 136673839.68001878,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 109.08449772025554,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 238.4649648529829
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 220702133.66871956,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 61.480890699659916,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 232.81872184443014
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 250974656.09464633,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.716461151828607,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 56.58690325764712
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 62112243.30085786,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -75.25158744417827,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.11694952118962
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 2630699.4543572012,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -95.76460402240717,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -77.15690736343971
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 4413169.806903332,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 67.7565181227313,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -73.99599404529044
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 2121247.8531895475,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -51.93369061232652,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -67.55572551453278
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 1309739.760383882,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -38.25616566142739,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.742945962766836
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 1600659.217951607,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.21200473309728,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.6846944546857
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 899535.4784055563,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.80218672924594,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.870766089224805
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 932463.959593996,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.660609501117862,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.707356362131026
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 1522694.8933999403,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 63.297988917763284,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.6506855280039257
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 1153664.981050757,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.23531555459525,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.647683489097012
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "export_value_usd": 797742.7825204442,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.85143472120816,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.068514632481502
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "090240",
      "hs_description": "Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content exceeding 3kg",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23570340.60998698,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 82.35744242977128,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.46100521198329814,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "071340",
      "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: lentils, shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 104862090.66847818,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 63.34574768032163,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3535513957891587,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "170199",
      "hs_description": "Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 56973576.30350238,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 26.288543218946902,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1713161356669841,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "hs_code": "170260",
      "hs_description": "Sugars: fructose, other than chemically pure fructose, and fructose syrup (containing in the dry state more than 50% by weight of fructose), excluding invert sugar",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 69152993.12546508,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5777833333120973,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "MWI",
    "importer_iso3": "CAN",
    "distance_km": 12933,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1990761.6096649999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 52051.3501037452,
    "importer_population": 38246.109,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 1.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 12626.718073999999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 642.6569485048616,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.476523721007273,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.513050048545457,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.773951631127272,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.739098417418185
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-CAN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-CAN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-CAN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-CAN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-CAN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}