{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:06.155Z", "seo": { "title": "Malawi exports to Brazil: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Malawi to Brazil, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MWI", "country_name": "Malawi" }, "importer": { "iso3": "BRA", "country_name": "Brazil" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "all_history_lane_count": 9, "current_lane_count": 2, "current_product_count": 2, "first_observed_last_year": 2005, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 9396844.040636942, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 779068.7128968665, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0, "access_friction_trade_usd": 9396844.040636942, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0, "access_friction_lane_count": 2, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9451795928460901, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0, "product_concentration_hhi": 8479.32330975051, "top1_product_share_pct": 91.70925143029127, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "240120", "top_product_trade_usd": 8617775.327740075, "top_product_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 8444.9189453125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 28.836599972525246, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 28.836599972525246, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16.6, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1608981.220812, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 7519, "buyer_population_latest": 213993.439, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.134039194863969, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.688169663595019, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.43419756407150345, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.334000000000003, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 16.486, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_product_mix", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1608981.220812, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 7519, "buyer_population_2024": 213993.439 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 2236272.3674934255, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 1455796.0320074067, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.900772680066375, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 1193884.4805119263, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.99095104925714, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 959782.7160480302, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.608410050151214, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.569079226516898 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 48579.203982603285, "yoy_growth_pct": -94.9385206494829, "cagr_3y_pct": -67.80538116834973 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 277350.7546887911, "yoy_growth_pct": 470.9248648621605, "cagr_3y_pct": -38.5263478872372 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 1544848.883705454, "yoy_growth_pct": 457.00186770318805, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.19372527179459 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 1429179.3467432302, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.4874337666465, "cagr_3y_pct": 208.70626675855496 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 2035087.0186796573, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.39549594088039, "cagr_3y_pct": 94.32016804148591 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 2744773.4395875437, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.87253441222988, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.117481905689537 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 2729549.9323496446, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.5546362048805986, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.07037759187731 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 1659664.3146380752, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.19641128494005, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.571561439904716 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 3151623.5347717316, "yoy_growth_pct": 89.89524007805214, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.7150917210105 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 356052.65094387846, "yoy_growth_pct": -88.70256402722076, "cagr_3y_pct": -49.28445929637692 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 3685944.466043509, "yoy_growth_pct": 935.224553523825, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.46965396179968 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 2049912.231283891, "yoy_growth_pct": -44.38569950880823, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.356967541519783 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 2376894.0836735326, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.951017189884652, "cagr_3y_pct": 88.29200009953458 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 6930914.67941906, "yoy_growth_pct": 191.5954365415899, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.42806531621564 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 1792549.6490595534, "yoy_growth_pct": -74.13689632650618, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.37341597066313 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 2661330.6005663346, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.46621414154861, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.8395982796638695 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 857394.1990733584, "yoy_growth_pct": -67.78325102146634, "cagr_3y_pct": -50.17316181813651 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 1287361.6704479088, "yoy_growth_pct": 50.148166600525656, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.447758581097212 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 1129999.9275980068, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.223584596483406, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.83888813784668 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 3015263.190602601, "yoy_growth_pct": 166.83746759276517, "cagr_3y_pct": 52.07163958539609 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 1321917.3858474842, "yoy_growth_pct": -56.1591376179902, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8868541317314405 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 607458.0373107347, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.04720114780153, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.68962656631116 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 1681878.9677294174, "yoy_growth_pct": 176.87162971375437, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.682942478761955 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 1493601.3088237306, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.194483224905705, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.154200686609388 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 1204185.6526993504, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.377035519090857, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.620077005840326 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "export_value_usd": 9397360.208012076, "yoy_growth_pct": 680.3913115013935, "cagr_3y_pct": 77.44770144476232 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "hs_code": "240120", "hs_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 45456404.45647646, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9115035576182712, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "hs_code": "240130", "hs_description": "Tobacco refuse", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12154134.425747124, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3176916713292377, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MWI", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "distance_km": 8446, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1608981.2208119999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7518.834354599067, "importer_population": 213993.439, "importer_biz_entry_days": 16.6, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 4.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 12626.718073999999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 642.6569485048616, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 28.836599972525246, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 28.836599972525246, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-BRA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-BRA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-BRA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-BRA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MWI-BRA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }