{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.168Z", "seo": { "title": "Mozambique exports to the United States: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Mozambique to the United States, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MOZ", "country_name": "Mozambique" }, "importer": { "iso3": "USA", "country_name": "United States" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "all_history_lane_count": 65, "current_lane_count": 19, "current_product_count": 19, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 153634348.13590893, "attention_trade_usd": 41952885.52142495, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 33058988.28471189, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 11076956.13320784, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 21304634.889864214, "access_friction_trade_usd": 153634348.13590893, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 7, "high_volatility_lane_count": 7, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 7, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 8, "access_friction_lane_count": 19, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.926802623168176, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 24.434116385444817, "product_concentration_hhi": 1987.0420949406778, "top1_product_share_pct": 30.451930459057213, "top3_product_share_pct": 70.02611151513467, "top_product_hs6": "710391", "top_product_trade_usd": 46784624.85557285, "top_product_description": "Stones: rubies, sapphires and emeralds, worked (other than simply sawn or roughly shaped), not strung, mounted or set", "top_attention_product_hs6": "710399", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 13211.033203125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.9937695116808078, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.674475463696969, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.5240757665959594, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.15039969710101, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4.2, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 22996100, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 69288, "buyer_population_latest": 331893.738, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.1023377268677015, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.47830267128826, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5916240968762754, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.094, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 17.618, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 27.306970108215868, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 22996100, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 69288, "buyer_population_2024": 331893.738 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 22717963.160786252, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 29653815.012458153, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.53025397824378, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 29378124.805252098, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.9296955791024963, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 24312677.085564133, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.242243176740757, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.2871622901936783 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 11949284.712661244, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.85162908795331, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.138105116640798 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 21392438.232268434, "yoy_growth_pct": 79.02693547506988, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.03393230864349 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 6800886.760017396, "yoy_growth_pct": -68.20892183407634, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.60002426203219 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 8654590.16365996, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.256789725430195, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.194790039324175 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 11888934.542668983, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.37143316837599, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.783140613572044 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 11758461.08399881, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.0974360923757143, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.022217806806797 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 17111619.78895648, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.52601455850691, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.51092733632263 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 13040254.806665711, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.792984138873575, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.1290571389904542 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 4118808.5091003613, "yoy_growth_pct": -68.4146623653782, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.507912487177144 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 17063907.23546587, "yoy_growth_pct": 314.29231773615527, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.09303028925748968 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 39337730.74022628, "yoy_growth_pct": 130.5317896856951, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.491092651023266 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 45958458.91493609, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.830478144331607, "cagr_3y_pct": 123.45905203275822 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 31690718.92305243, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.04486166146614, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.918674964661644 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 46159745.441208184, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.65698415768886, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.475445224401754 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 105859923.74621284, "yoy_growth_pct": 129.33385514667185, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.0652951995928 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 84884588.68083113, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.814235947937853, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.87761588192418 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 75828428.7205048, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.668791710092151, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.992992915958972 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 107453602.30120023, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.70622300148445, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.4993225405732771 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 111869060.24029663, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.109176281237703, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.637817176160702 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 97732111.13823046, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.637050022320528, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.826603370086739 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 122494604.33491652, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.3371107083346, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.463681367952543 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 101728993.7831856, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.95226550138893, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.1175930971970245 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 130612037.04606973, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.3921448436248, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.149359010735303 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 158061331.03258705, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.015899152415308, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.868663604139094 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 162825048.53923848, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.0138411941307286, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.974758117116153 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 166297676.34780374, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.1327356200532055, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.384620017380428 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "710391", "hs_description": "Stones: rubies, sapphires and emeralds, worked (other than simply sawn or roughly shaped), not strung, mounted or set", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1415329770.126726, "current_below_peak_pct": 34.93108203510637, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.933614480993406, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "261400", "hs_description": "Titanium ores and concentrates", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 382320268.8843699, "current_below_peak_pct": 27.09156409933672, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5297799662361968, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "170114", "hs_description": "Sugars: cane sugar, raw, in solid form, other than as specified in Subheading Note 2 to this chapter, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1699055543.731111, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5699969209600604, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "710399", "hs_description": "Stones: precious (other than diamonds) and semi-precious stones, (other than rubies, sapphires and emeralds), worked other than simply sawn or roughly shaped, not strung, mounted or set", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 586802940.0426131, "current_below_peak_pct": 11.714432139660484, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.718571476747005, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "261590", "hs_description": "Niobium, tantalum, vanadium ores and concentrates", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 40170017.24539474, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8417824151912224, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "240120", "hs_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 487071113.06874907, "current_below_peak_pct": 21.735468108620402, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3115296768778868, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "250410", "hs_description": "Graphite: natural, in powder or in flakes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 120955864.42028357, "current_below_peak_pct": 67.09250222461732, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3867349218672944, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "710310", "hs_description": "Stones: precious (other than diamonds) and semi-precious stones, unworked or simply sawn or roughly shaped, not strung, mounted or set", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 48830845.30010695, "current_below_peak_pct": 52.731019962914004, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.040908772620572, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "170113", "hs_description": "Sugars: cane sugar, raw, in solid form, as specified in Subheading Note 2 to this chapter, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 85747708.23382153, "current_below_peak_pct": 51.17196371631169, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.508543416839459, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "270112", "hs_description": "Coal: bituminous, whether or not pulverised, but not agglomerated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 364752077.9883487, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "USA", "distance_km": 13183, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 22996100, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 69287.53804930179, "importer_population": 331893.738, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4.2, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 16095.828897000001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 500.4448240968734, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.9937695116808078, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.674475463696969, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.5240757665959594, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.15039969710101 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MOZ-USA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MOZ-USA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MOZ-USA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MOZ-USA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MOZ-USA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }