{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:06.089Z", "seo": { "title": "Mozambique exports to Ukraine: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Mozambique to Ukraine, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MOZ", "country_name": "Mozambique" }, "importer": { "iso3": "UKR", "country_name": "Ukraine" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "all_history_lane_count": 7, "current_lane_count": 2, "current_product_count": 2, "first_observed_last_year": 1998, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 2380337.298312054, "attention_trade_usd": 2135493.5778819923, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 244843.7204300619, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 2135493.5778819923, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 244843.7204300619, "access_friction_trade_usd": 2380337.298312054, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 2, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9527116400282432, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 77.59444172278737, "product_concentration_hhi": 8154.388736910581, "top1_product_share_pct": 89.71390648696361, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "240120", "top_product_trade_usd": 2135493.5778819923, "top_product_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped", "top_attention_product_hs6": "240120", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 8503.8876953125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.742568300996169, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.742568300996169, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 6.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 200085.537744, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4567, "buyer_population_latest": 43814.583, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.388047577338883, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.285640541163119, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -3.37794288946095, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.714000000000002, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 10.852, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 89.71390648696361, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 200085.537744, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4567, "buyer_population_2024": 43814.583 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 427600.771308215, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 38173.84508435744, "yoy_growth_pct": -91.07254999387227, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 24508.957987354803, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.79646500583228, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 1310170.7631428246, "yoy_growth_pct": 5245.681215083875, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.243422699012626 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 158226.54005862103, "yoy_growth_pct": -87.92321241552752, "cagr_3y_pct": 60.63412362639864 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 399802.5424611237, "yoy_growth_pct": 152.67729567555585, "cagr_3y_pct": 153.61420105024638 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 738376.7094111985, "yoy_growth_pct": 84.68534613758673, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.39936959816348 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 511945.01223789336, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.666148361297562, "cagr_3y_pct": 47.904479769205224 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 947306.4622516753, "yoy_growth_pct": 85.0406664009993, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.31580807997368 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 768481.6944119345, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.877182302196903, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.340998538303162 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 1612357.1599922834, "yoy_growth_pct": 109.81074392749304, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.58155057872786 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 2202323.1766595854, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.590281068378516, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.473857619294044 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 2583757.8530150466, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.31965046719479, "cagr_3y_pct": 49.80952520056681 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 11899091.64304195, "yoy_growth_pct": 360.53431938897165, "cagr_3y_pct": 94.69323122307134 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 5345227.904585476, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.078689492141834, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.38838222749896 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 5009792.919232987, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.27541035368635, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.696995151385725 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 6043868.945739563, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.641093218377883, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.212704725386953 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 9641915.398343083, "yoy_growth_pct": 59.53217193995992, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.730394606867677 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 8215107.665797718, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.797969838965342, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.922812397605714 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 10799922.20076409, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.4641589632213, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.348719000067938 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 11198343.696769664, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.6891145010043314, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.114708926501166 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 16020378.524742857, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.060250324020544, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.935685645824314 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 7970541.309940855, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.247484492138184, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.63039236508616 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 4162705.913817845, "yoy_growth_pct": -47.773861875276644, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.09805379636566 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 5767183.201181086, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.54409416810536, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.862763259534674 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 6514963.016521026, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.966118627665569, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.500767505857619 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 8764310.049402695, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.525860349132344, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.16831289195003 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 3527905.6462468216, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.746909609989714, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.111067684327606 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 1659764.2947501785, "yoy_growth_pct": -52.95326856272571, "cagr_3y_pct": -36.6064867368509 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "export_value_usd": 2618073.5991846137, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.73767440747821, "cagr_3y_pct": -33.152058314479824 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "hs_code": "240120", "hs_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 75306832.98777342, "current_below_peak_pct": 86.49098535694982, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8950282137807954, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "hs_code": "030617", "hs_description": "Crustaceans: frozen, shrimps and prawns, excluding cold-water varieties, in shell or not, smoked, cooked or not before or during smoking: in shell, cooked by steaming or by boiling in water", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25977499.854159538, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4558186263348012, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MOZ", "importer_iso3": "UKR", "distance_km": 8465, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 200085.537744, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4566.642520459455, "importer_population": 43814.583, "importer_biz_entry_days": 6.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 16095.828897000001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 500.4448240968734, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.742568300996169, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.742568300996169, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MOZ-UKR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MOZ-UKR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MOZ-UKR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MOZ-UKR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MOZ-UKR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }