{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:00.182Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Mozambique exports to Lesotho: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Mozambique to Lesotho, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "MOZ",
    "country_name": "Mozambique"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "LSO",
    "country_name": "Lesotho"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
    "importer_iso3": "LSO",
    "all_history_lane_count": 6,
    "current_lane_count": 3,
    "current_product_count": 3,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2003,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 8490576.976208664,
    "attention_trade_usd": 8490576.976208664,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 2550574.575137024,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 5940002.40107164,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 8490576.976208664,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 8490576.976208664,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 3,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 2,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9754859241725699,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 39.45804493090429,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 5345.837907890203,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 69.95993814926881,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 99.99999999999997,
    "top_product_hs6": "271600",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 5940002.40107164,
    "top_product_description": "Electrical energy",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "271600",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 625.8595581054688,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 2518.468891,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1166,
    "buyer_population_latest": 2159.067,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -1.015460014361902,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -2.124279296956322,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.1328849224605975,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 100,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 2518.468891,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1166,
    "buyer_population_2024": 2159.067
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "LSO",
      "export_value_usd": 50351.93075562689,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "LSO",
      "export_value_usd": 14591.11110606343,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -71.02174457444642,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "LSO",
      "export_value_usd": 126057.08824041007,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 763.9306994792619,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "LSO",
      "export_value_usd": 119779.58102152258,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.979892290479793,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.492096511457056
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "LSO",
      "export_value_usd": 759864.3136874055,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 534.3855164686787,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 273.43575257209335
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "LSO",
      "export_value_usd": 562232.4204267632,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.008839960070095,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 64.60746925114738
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "LSO",
      "export_value_usd": 34199.27205407652,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -93.91723585983934,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -34.15168127522702
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "LSO",
      "export_value_usd": 275418.99961937056,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 705.335853885641,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.700587840499402
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "LSO",
      "export_value_usd": 714535.612278859,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 159.43584620754132,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.318506817581927
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "LSO",
      "export_value_usd": 654016.4539559588,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.469718973122585,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 167.41798015102884
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "LSO",
      "export_value_usd": 877178.3721226029,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.12175898890637,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 47.12890616115213
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "LSO",
      "export_value_usd": 946118.7111936692,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.859329557367456,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.809669452944703
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "LSO",
      "export_value_usd": 1769810.5585807124,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 87.06009485298453,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.35183835797127
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "LSO",
      "export_value_usd": 1694277.705128738,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.267849634287835,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.537141644746498
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "LSO",
      "export_value_usd": 7901119.616051397,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 366.3414735455684,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 102.88393912136206
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "LSO",
      "export_value_usd": 9653200.072138153,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.175090888731063,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 76.02790027127213
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "LSO",
      "export_value_usd": 5125049.137653346,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -46.90828844990298,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 44.623148661988395
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "LSO",
      "export_value_usd": 6686240.24173301,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.461973381088427,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.413073566464099
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "LSO",
      "export_value_usd": 4657160.287827976,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.347099125159694,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.569805380582928
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "LSO",
      "export_value_usd": 7748254.086018189,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 66.37293129611928,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.771821293301324
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "LSO",
      "export_value_usd": 14416173.563229747,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 86.05705754079354,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.18814880912308
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "LSO",
      "export_value_usd": 8471663.173494466,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.23500846922028,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.071935789952036
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "LSO",
      "export_value_usd": 8498308.467241336,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.31452258194395455,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.1279090280007527
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "LSO",
      "hs_code": "271600",
      "hs_description": "Electrical energy",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 52876178.392324075,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 54.04924243226178,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9000408786458522,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "LSO",
      "hs_code": "520100",
      "hs_description": "Cotton: not carded or combed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18992357.473873742,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 10.705476696969116,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0542464173948005,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "LSO",
      "hs_code": "271012",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 198057326.73944634,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.25273116290084,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
    "importer_iso3": "LSO",
    "distance_km": 616,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 2518.468891,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1166.4616665439282,
    "importer_population": 2159.067,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 15,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 16095.828897000001,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 500.4448240968734,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MOZ-LSO/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MOZ-LSO/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MOZ-LSO/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MOZ-LSO/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MOZ-LSO/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}