{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.737Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Mozambique exports to Japan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Mozambique to Japan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "MOZ",
    "country_name": "Mozambique"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "JPN",
    "country_name": "Japan"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
    "importer_iso3": "JPN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 27,
    "current_lane_count": 9,
    "current_product_count": 9,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 56415975.848288104,
    "attention_trade_usd": 55301432.56011897,
    "critical_trade_usd": 12986808.232802037,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 29342707.134615228,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 13141152.179166785,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 4602197.377227671,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 11637502.8215902,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 56415975.848288104,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 56415975.848288104,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 4,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 4,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 2,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 9,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8315818928230211,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 27.248818563137768,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3164.1210901732984,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 46.94379798466235,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 89.86680531633439,
    "top_product_hs6": "120740",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 26483801.733296268,
    "top_product_description": "Oil seeds: sesamum seeds, whether or not broken",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "120740",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 13143.4599609375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.4426770668521005,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.060224438230304,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.9305985408698989,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.1296258973604054,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 11.1,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 4937421.880462,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 39285,
    "buyer_population_latest": 125681.595,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -4.67885267787802,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -4.27363742210356,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.4233058113377264,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.977999999999998,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 24.869999999999997,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 98.02441902065769,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 23.019735168147605,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 4937421.880462,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 39285,
    "buyer_population_2024": 125681.595
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 30305309.738979213,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 18218033.91848065,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.885010001899765,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 19934879.228364844,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.42387810653158,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 18308288.622463204,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.159520743858861,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.463744363600307
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 14400327.766580606,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.345309419514813,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.539346858936103
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 19126366.045740575,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.81896326087708,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.370624164408485
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 24654423.29298362,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.902810047777685,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.42880333611176
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 17359386.23426873,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.589161230921924,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.427533242037753
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 11498796.611985851,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.76035041327461,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.600480059469069
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 15182943.983385857,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.03941678175097,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.921391043607235
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 12572372.354029529,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.19410696774606,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.196287746252342
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 10606181.693776822,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.63897890458621,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.6575610481205603
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 5288238.760697514,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -50.140032356786904,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -29.641211123443746
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 24792147.830301117,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 368.8167261765438,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.400414674961304
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 14945618.170121808,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.71632360204315,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.111872609912488
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 5848750.003747419,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -60.86645639429077,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.4151106920797147
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 3325641.291802051,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.139281219555606,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -48.80976967022788
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 29960148.99693865,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 800.8833595731628,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.08885337868021
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 57745428.1162584,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 92.7407908490671,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 114.52842731422557
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 54803992.37771806,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.093798478068889,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 154.47527819490122
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 63724679.11913996,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.277439570349305,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.604025481816464
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 115649857.87138824,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 81.48362529243767,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.04989820771091
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 152135416.94092175,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.548295640889013,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.541972301631056
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 159470330.68119892,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.82130583907725,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.765913414473594
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 203170547.45292726,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.403352451240927,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.66237866506466
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 44823306.1654511,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -77.93808860221915,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -33.458714610144426
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 138632602.58973745,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 209.28687428370165,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.560425622466335
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 102953420.22234145,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.73650187682275,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.275217574397807
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 161673867.6374632,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 57.03593653159578,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 53.359957777937026
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "export_value_usd": 90483332.06113346,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -44.03342149021084,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.257007032323365
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "120740",
      "hs_description": "Oil seeds: sesamum seeds, whether or not broken",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 325669634.1862518,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 24.799885269434892,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.132432855721397,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "261400",
      "hs_description": "Titanium ores and concentrates",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 280213279.31363803,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 55.92301457835182,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8287746687933191,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "271121",
      "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: in gaseous state, natural gas",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13401998.01314024,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "710391",
      "hs_description": "Stones: rubies, sapphires and emeralds, worked (other than simply sawn or roughly shaped), not strung, mounted or set",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 58017931.93693796,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 44.52752227309826,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7500566233027929,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer demand is declining in both recent and longer-term observations",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "declining_buyer_demand",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "710399",
      "hs_description": "Stones: precious (other than diamonds) and semi-precious stones, (other than rubies, sapphires and emeralds), worked other than simply sawn or roughly shaped, not strung, mounted or set",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 65316359.45555295,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 8.265771568246906,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4463127604228192,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "declining_buyer_demand",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "250410",
      "hs_description": "Graphite: natural, in powder or in flakes",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 49620939.88730037,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 24.75854902613835,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.221511206423651,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "030752",
      "hs_description": "Molluscs: octopus (Octopus spp.), frozen",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 277238024.8574772,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 49.82886415041408,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7072411811265298,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "090240",
      "hs_description": "Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content exceeding 3kg",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 84569044.98716927,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7594820477567781,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "JPN",
      "hs_code": "440729",
      "hs_description": "Wood, tropical: (as specified in subheading note 1, chapter 44, customs tariff), n.e.c. in item no. 4407.2, sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or end-jointed, thicker than 6mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 44504959.79352452,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 51.491209119589776,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3407812723581363,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
    "importer_iso3": "JPN",
    "distance_km": 13134,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4937421.880461999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 39285.162481125415,
    "importer_population": 125681.595,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 11.1,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 7.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 16095.828897000001,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 500.4448240968734,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.4426770668521005,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.060224438230304,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.9305985408698989,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.1296258973604054
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MOZ-JPN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MOZ-JPN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MOZ-JPN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MOZ-JPN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MOZ-JPN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}