{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.679Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Mozambique exports to China: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Mozambique to China, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "MOZ",
    "country_name": "Mozambique"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "CHN",
    "country_name": "China"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
    "importer_iso3": "CHN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 77,
    "current_lane_count": 34,
    "current_product_count": 34,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 1338240094.3905795,
    "attention_trade_usd": 1262851678.2141368,
    "critical_trade_usd": 63971811.61716165,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 859527902.2794387,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 91043412.39725976,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 84314826.64598285,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 1338240094.3905795,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 2,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 16,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 24,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 14,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 16,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 34,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8332322217208477,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 8.026779638015425,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2017.8521391155168,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 29.61433350363352,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 71.12304965503327,
    "top_product_hs6": "261400",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 396310884.63216627,
    "top_product_description": "Titanium ores and concentrates",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "261400",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 11347.111328125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 28.810068624848483,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 30.189875567878776,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.3584323595704655,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 27.83144320830831,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 17734062.645370997,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 12556,
    "buyer_population_latest": 1412359.985,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.1812362915018895,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.16286575688667,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.01746865158438471,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 44.900000000000006,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 46.43,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 94.36660009721398,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 4.780294050769249,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 17734062.645370997,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 12556,
    "buyer_population_2024": 1412359.985
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 755287.1505768899,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 177743.80386700903,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -76.46672477729193,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 749903.7393354336,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 321.90148011939954,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 645169.2324248415,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.96639347383546,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.117267365457378
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 2693517.1094544413,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 317.49001255546085,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 147.46194541058543
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 6326729.832241607,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 134.88730812343178,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 103.57506871550682
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 8687095.44190005,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.30782998872182,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 137.9032171239217
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 12867979.726999832,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 48.127527929926075,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 68.42124619080612
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 14520403.10321963,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.841358249521107,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.906580270439953
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 31297227.382565748,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 115.53965933374238,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 53.300565675951205
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 54103206.37746604,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 72.86900758373393,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 61.40025330359373
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 59685506.37555857,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.317872769214587,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 60.18803349445066
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 86127171.25009085,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 44.30165123866694,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.13440464888658
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 93624157.7745864,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.704554457879787,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.057226600259035
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 139296809.89738896,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 48.782977821564,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.6449628949115
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 154734907.87559748,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.082879779932341,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.56709506925212
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 203680751.81496805,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.632063256677444,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.574842161848224
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 324349586.69474655,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 59.244103237304934,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.543182050288586
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 325701783.59664804,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.41689490517959893,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.157475935086328
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 969034533.7677778,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 197.52202246698124,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 68.18854816806305
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 349134628.6443483,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -63.97087859326839,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.484894665649895
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 370431880.82606435,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.1000114094700075,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.382911590901806
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 476127406.8097154,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.53305329658713,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.09073911157946
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 510803146.0792184,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.28286983138553,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.523789339042992
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 551760387.1781274,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.018204549694996,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.20384353127857
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 429783417.44396925,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.106873303824138,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.3558676800096277
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 867849865.9075848,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 101.92725700514633,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.32469851317522
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 852752227.5231758,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.739660162143375,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.617643905135182
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 1348885333.2818158,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 58.180218092148706,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 46.41147836946642
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "export_value_usd": 1382695686.0229437,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.5065401711254376,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.79582957665817
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "261400",
      "hs_description": "Titanium ores and concentrates",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1045712414.8839828,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 3.9434206528382907,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1834033896673333,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "271111",
      "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, natural gas",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 39691641680.73332,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.025002534845334393,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "120740",
      "hs_description": "Oil seeds: sesamum seeds, whether or not broken",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1803373596.8572254,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1080041449083242,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "270112",
      "hs_description": "Coal: bituminous, whether or not pulverised, but not agglomerated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31436788328.444065,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.234334344603174,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "261510",
      "hs_description": "Zirconium ores and concentrates",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1124704320.2144713,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 29.838411901585626,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6883512479255797,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "440349",
      "hs_description": "Wood, tropical: (as specified in subheading note 1, chapter 44, customs tariff), n.e.s. in item no. 4403.41, in the rough, whether or not stripped of bark or sapwood, or roughly squared, untreated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 830047834.1885823,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 77.730576340386,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6994979515938489,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "271121",
      "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: in gaseous state, natural gas",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19120876970.054707,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "720241",
      "hs_description": "Ferro-alloys: ferro-chromium, containing by weight more than 4% of carbon",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3592310472.176402,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 58.752495969324606,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0050349005933374,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "261000",
      "hs_description": "Chromium ores and concentrates",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 4313121140.585656,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7845083817908363,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "030633",
      "hs_description": "Crustaceans: live, fresh or chilled, crabs, whether in shell or not",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1652803472.438128,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 13.528636336437948,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5056218531208019,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
    "importer_iso3": "CHN",
    "distance_km": 11372,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 17734062.645370997,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12556.33325336033,
    "importer_population": 1412359.985,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 16095.828897000001,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 500.4448240968734,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 28.810068624848483,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 30.189875567878776,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.3584323595704655,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 27.83144320830831
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MOZ-CHN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MOZ-CHN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MOZ-CHN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MOZ-CHN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MOZ-CHN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}