{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.132Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Mozambique exports to Afghanistan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Mozambique to Afghanistan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "MOZ",
    "country_name": "Mozambique"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "AFG",
    "country_name": "Afghanistan"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
    "importer_iso3": "AFG",
    "all_history_lane_count": 2,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2013,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 14319.299999999997,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 14319.299999999997,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 14319.299999999997,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 14319.299999999997,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 1,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.5633020912371108,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "240210",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 14319.299999999997,
    "top_product_description": "Cigars, cheroots and cigarillos: containing tobacco including the weight of every band, wrapper or attachment thereto",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 7760.65771484375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.049065472323233,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.049065472323233,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 20116.137326,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 517,
    "buyer_population_latest": 39835.426,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -1.8172621057140348,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -3.58436239429053,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.4121484487080735,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 21.442,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 3.722,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 20116.137326,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 517,
    "buyer_population_2024": 39835.426
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 11743.937314108889,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 159.0170362624339,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -98.64596487524338,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 11166.205390369554,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6922.018302454964,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 4783.676896980456,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -57.15933273888905,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -25.871927999698173
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 65087.169221384705,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1260.6096444864181,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 642.4785466501503
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 17660.06209460222,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -72.86706073429919,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.50973239895146
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 114911.9251038845,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 550.688114732095,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 188.53671783525394
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 6059.351528124518,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -94.72696021527214,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -54.67787597004978
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 74807.69433775965,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1134.5825125104438,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 61.80229638836232
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 34739.620303395495,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -53.56143427366607,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.88493903811266
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 5926.527032642755,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -82.94015023513803,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7360909803587168
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 1991.282507973099,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -66.40051590070708,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -70.14189760260017
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 797.4704492574606,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -59.95191811988568,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -71.579622393853
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 111639.95496620197,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13899.259166299138,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 166.0764643587289
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 45911.24819667103,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -58.87561204179072,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 184.61781075636492
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 44271.38472847628,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.571811990756668,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 281.47800467162574
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 14265.310000000001,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -67.77758344923814,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -49.632098885122
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 10434.74,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.852343201795136,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -38.973165410337415
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 37000,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 254.58478122119,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.805356673709872
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 137460.9999999998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 271.51621621621564,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 112.79729108263132
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "hs_code": "240210",
      "hs_description": "Cigars, cheroots and cigarillos: containing tobacco including the weight of every band, wrapper or attachment thereto",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10389383.674999993,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5633020912371108,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "MOZ",
    "importer_iso3": "AFG",
    "distance_km": 7735,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 20116.137326,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 504.9811021476211,
    "importer_population": 39835.426,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.8,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 16095.828897000001,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 500.4448240968734,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.049065472323233,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.049065472323233,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MOZ-AFG/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MOZ-AFG/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MOZ-AFG/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MOZ-AFG/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MOZ-AFG/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}