{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.133Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Mongolia exports to Nepal: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Mongolia to Nepal, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "MNG",
    "country_name": "Mongolia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "NPL",
    "country_name": "Nepal"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
    "importer_iso3": "NPL",
    "all_history_lane_count": 2,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2020,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 12156.023263680734,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 12156.023263680734,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 12156.023263680734,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7070204706563851,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 66.98699437334396,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "510810",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 12156.023263680734,
    "top_product_description": "Yarn: of fine animal hair, carded, not put up for retail sale",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 2919.77685546875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.188381769090913,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.188381769090913,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 22.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 36288.830373000004,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1223,
    "buyer_population_latest": 29674.919,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.652648953830973,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.7645171101378105,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.8559109302753942,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 33.006,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 10.022,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 36288.830373000004,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1223,
    "buyer_population_2024": 29674.919
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 160619.81392932133,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 167509.01582002357,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.289135768600594,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 171257.78537594186,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.23795091718888,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 49016.84872178399,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -71.37832384426605,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.67411211122351
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 377731.4844179992,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 670.6156031408204,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.133906606190887
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 858045.2071458228,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 127.15744981329289,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 71.11442229559319
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 253849.64149539094,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -70.41535348238945,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 73.0123303294058
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 94459.19578479015,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -62.78931290651233,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -36.99809432846659
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 78561.3760451528,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.830356862086703,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -54.92874642785115
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 84086.60527863514,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.0330097455354235,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -30.808923366551255
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 181855.62196076976,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 116.271808521893,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.402038217980838
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 77701.17563636746,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -57.27315174609817,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.3663204710939838
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 67734.52491618645,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.826898227156548,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.954703716374933
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 129163.85243983386,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 90.69130934284846,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.77810985843911
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 234426.79190773482,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 81.49566421219416,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 44.49735079554531
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 186988.8125227533,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.2357328694973,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.28196636454109
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 69385.75358187652,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -62.8930989796871,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.7088801140574
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 71927.29094728445,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.662909508374601,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.553075206841044
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 101663.78265344394,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 41.342432496106916,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.382451304487645
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 132340.23941986173,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.174420000669343,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.014900413543128
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 113686.6458552097,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.09517894664809,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.4855130106077
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 26320.07045175597,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -76.84858212346506,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -36.265645116927345
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 47761.854730895415,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 81.46552767950106,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.802771341258826
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 271767.7696131951,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 469.00589632545893,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.709674699662685
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 678172.9069715054,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 149.54133006159762,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 195.35962600433746
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 423947.2234124371,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.48685341830532,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 107.05077986639968
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 238139.94114278915,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.827927630719564,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.30745671625179
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 353298.9486982066,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 48.35770387898428,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.536181904378225
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 670879.9278928286,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 89.89015686709688,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.531767686073383
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "export_value_usd": 482516.61366816045,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.07705319434728,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.53966385107054
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "NPL",
      "hs_code": "510810",
      "hs_description": "Yarn: of fine animal hair, carded, not put up for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10515035.592058746,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 66.98699437334396,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7070204706563851,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
    "importer_iso3": "NPL",
    "distance_km": 2918,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 36288.830373000004,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1222.8788349177971,
    "importer_population": 29674.919,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 22.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 20.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 15098.022829,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4534.918588752769,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.188381769090913,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.188381769090913,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNG-NPL/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNG-NPL/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNG-NPL/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNG-NPL/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNG-NPL/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}