{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.129Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Mongolia exports to Italy: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Mongolia to Italy, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "MNG",
    "country_name": "Mongolia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "ITA",
    "country_name": "Italy"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
    "importer_iso3": "ITA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 36,
    "current_lane_count": 11,
    "current_product_count": 11,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1999,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 97973594.96997707,
    "attention_trade_usd": 88457149.99776794,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 49812981.288560584,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 828052.4335871029,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 88457149.99776794,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 2,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 4,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9026871550639457,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 1.2699552769465172,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 4132.846269414429,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 49.239890025046556,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 93.66184691274499,
    "top_product_hs6": "510531",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 48242090.41680125,
    "top_product_description": "Hair: fine animal hair, carded or combed, of kashmir (cashmere) goats",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "510531",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 6987.7724609375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.6469039804494952,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868686,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.2798701694324766,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.640542957436209,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 11,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 2099880.198259,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 35551,
    "buyer_population_latest": 59066.223,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.3456337761183397,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.6164129413341017,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.26132844935394806,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 21.387999999999998,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.601999999999997,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 90.28672472912183,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 2099880.198259,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 35551,
    "buyer_population_2024": 59066.223
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "export_value_usd": 14388898.259291705,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "export_value_usd": 11290333.445308639,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.534413254900542,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "export_value_usd": 9303338.365719495,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.599082340785777,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "export_value_usd": 10353867.460136306,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.29195836075092,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.389612949413696
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "export_value_usd": 13188220.855436064,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.374827871926865,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.3157070178333266
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "export_value_usd": 15817311.540571455,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.935142988234865,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.352435049666195
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "export_value_usd": 15454763.088791387,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.292099076699161,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.284302901440938
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "export_value_usd": 10467044.18183586,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.27302080465333,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.413866331308272
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "export_value_usd": 13187206.810091242,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.987877580337894,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.881849828435803
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "export_value_usd": 14236709.660713425,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.958492391421901,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.6993461368658545
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "export_value_usd": 28494341.21628866,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 100.14695737540778,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.62982308535543
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "export_value_usd": 44444611.20563249,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 55.97697405345148,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 49.93007725176697
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "export_value_usd": 56280413.64256165,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.630455562246436,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 58.11845087913168
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "export_value_usd": 53901507.916426316,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.226880316203474,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.67467129647953
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "export_value_usd": 31938677.638912197,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -40.74622608251932,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.429305855795402
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "export_value_usd": 53265091.96074228,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 66.77300345035964,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.818770396867675
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "export_value_usd": 54068289.98296401,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.507925721434411,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.10303381669358735
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "export_value_usd": 48154179.55874276,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.938223543013258,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.667150128676031
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "export_value_usd": 49883574.797896415,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.591370998324206,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.162586578367398
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "export_value_usd": 59769614.61338112,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.818226451368105,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.398111582421315
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "export_value_usd": 55924839.495869674,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.432658370614086,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.11311815132931
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "export_value_usd": 39303508.9268367,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.72083732177817,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.638441600877299
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "export_value_usd": 43656121.60333486,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.074361540086741,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.94215199625561
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "export_value_usd": 49511556.68240485,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.412632327427598,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.978767033533448
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "export_value_usd": 35684514.44696355,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.926898611036975,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.1686123444280456
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "export_value_usd": 17278908.6672509,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -51.57869194792648,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.57842111187373
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "export_value_usd": 26895721.953833003,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 55.65636969196475,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.405877703286976
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "export_value_usd": 68774035.9386813,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 155.7062273945767,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.44618089282549
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "export_value_usd": 85595619.04147659,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.459205968068165,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 70.468867534085
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "export_value_usd": 103347274.32711285,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.738976462141643,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 56.628915260596926
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "hs_code": "510531",
      "hs_description": "Hair: fine animal hair, carded or combed, of kashmir (cashmere) goats",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 58710510.70711876,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1659292874249614,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "hs_code": "510211",
      "hs_description": "Hair: fine animal hair, not carded or combed, of kashmir (cashmere) goats",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 153790528.37596914,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5994668288133773,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "hs_code": "050400",
      "hs_description": "Animal products: guts, bladders and stomachs of animals (other than fish), whole and pieces thereof",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 108960093.98000763,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 14.810391134650747,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7803987789671395,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "hs_code": "390140",
      "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, ethylene-alpha-olefin copolymers, having a specific gravity of less than 0.94",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 504542890.7647611,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7795447595100066,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "hs_code": "610690",
      "hs_description": "Blouses, shirts and shirt-blouses: women's or girls', of textile materials (other than cotton or man-made fibres), knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10875223.05064785,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 2.2879834052472425,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6346983303343972,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "hs_code": "390110",
      "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of less than 0.94",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1008224108.964463,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.29317964200320445,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "hs_code": "611012",
      "hs_description": "Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, waistcoats and similar articles: knitted or crocheted, of fibres from kashmir (cashmere) goats",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 182357436.1480211,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 87.94878304186872,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9369570678785398,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "hs_code": "510219",
      "hs_description": "Hair: fine animal hair, not carded or combed, other than of kashmir (cashmere) goats",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13142821.333148867,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 93.11262095012235,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0678925789542482,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "hs_code": "080290",
      "hs_description": "Nuts, edible: n.e.c. in heading no. 0801 and 0802, fresh or dried, whether or not shelled or peeled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 81179271.7594929,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 67.71769541303995,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5119180197569323,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "hs_code": "511119",
      "hs_description": "Fabrics, woven: of carded wool or of carded fine animal hair, containing 85% or more by weight of wool or of fine animal hair, of a weight exceeding 300g/m2",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12444889.27982049,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 31.971361536912557,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1933066529573242,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
    "importer_iso3": "ITA",
    "distance_km": 7001,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 2099880.198259,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35551.286193786254,
    "importer_population": 59066.223,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 11,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 13.8,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 15098.022829,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4534.918588752769,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.6469039804494952,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868686,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.2798701694324766,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.640542957436209
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNG-ITA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNG-ITA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNG-ITA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNG-ITA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNG-ITA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}