{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.221Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Mongolia exports to Iran: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Mongolia to Iran, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "MNG",
    "country_name": "Mongolia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "IRN",
    "country_name": "Iran"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
    "importer_iso3": "IRN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 5,
    "current_lane_count": 3,
    "current_product_count": 3,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2019,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 16340258.753260523,
    "attention_trade_usd": 15220491.241537752,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 15587871.945809577,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 15972878.048988696,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 2,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1635059723511703,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 30.11087327942005,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 8702.654614959889,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 93.14718616986812,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "020442",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 15220491.241537752,
    "top_product_description": "Meat: of sheep (including lamb), cuts with bone in (excluding carcasses and half-carcasses), frozen",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "020442",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 4688.80029296875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121213,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121213,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 72.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 231547.57124000002,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2757,
    "buyer_population_latest": 85028.763,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.431909337919595,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.360726244823533,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.0166815769729887,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 39.459999999999994,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 40.714000000000006,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 93.14718616986812,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 231547.57124000002,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2757,
    "buyer_population_2024": 85028.763
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 34270.40175058964,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 5029.07106550449,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -85.325322118764,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 571571.3290749727,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11265.346037670986,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 684553.2014158776,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.766889379100604,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 171.32886828933636
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 2281031.6086758,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 233.2146579634553,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 668.3300932813064
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 5252153.651268651,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 130.2534358266814,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 109.454162568036
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 4965232.326377047,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.462927095103131,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 93.57270670569827
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 690577.6181181322,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -86.09173604124136,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.852930259224934
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 83444.73795691265,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -87.91667500254282,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -74.86066159563498
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 9581440.771606402,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11382.378645078681,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.498393769173155
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 9262607.897787282,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.3276088786557856,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 137.59662125828615
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 13832971.160263576,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 49.34207852594186,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 449.33698397695974
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 2420864.5885065924,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -82.49931587032626,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -36.78115464853943
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 2863558.445586925,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.28660137300062,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.382736528905845
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 8565080.380751967,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 199.10618356512848,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.767481022893204
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 24963131.50434818,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 191.45239034121656,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 117.65877917475235
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 16773350.766610714,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.807505485884,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 80.26216904932748
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "020442",
      "hs_description": "Meat: of sheep (including lamb), cuts with bone in (excluding carcasses and half-carcasses), frozen",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21561412.04894184,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 28.99561300213403,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1913289115268262,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "020421",
      "hs_description": "Meat: of sheep, carcasses and half-carcasses (excluding carcasses and half-carcasses of lamb), fresh or chilled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23824436.84750279,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 45.75940495034288,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6734543862543662,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "760110",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, (not alloyed)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14642477.820274662,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 44.268014459698335,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0144223295512063,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "MNG",
    "importer_iso3": "IRN",
    "distance_km": 4695,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 231547.57124,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2723.167585538084,
    "importer_population": 85028.763,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 72.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 15098.022829,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4534.918588752769,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121213,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121213,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNG-IRN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNG-IRN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNG-IRN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNG-IRN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNG-IRN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}