{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:06.078Z", "seo": { "title": "Montenegro exports to Türkiye: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Montenegro to Türkiye, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MNE", "country_name": "Montenegro" }, "importer": { "iso3": "TUR", "country_name": "Türkiye" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "all_history_lane_count": 47, "current_lane_count": 12, "current_product_count": 12, "first_observed_last_year": 2006, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 24743269.360496286, "attention_trade_usd": 2542446.9446236435, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 8056006.312429297, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 96215.82455947777, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1097564.3307189292, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 2, "high_volatility_lane_count": 6, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.957990365600471, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 4.113492951261892, "product_concentration_hhi": 3780.576839248877, "top1_product_share_pct": 55.56390276624457, "top3_product_share_pct": 86.25539253804388, "top_product_hs6": "720449", "top_product_trade_usd": 13748326.12865614, "top_product_description": "Ferrous waste and scrap: n.e.s. in heading no. 7204", "top_attention_product_hs6": "842121", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.971825898533333, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.256978245925925, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.344429201525926, "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.9125490443999995, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 11.86543006803118, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 11.08568690227736, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7019294631897877, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.79, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.340000000000003, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 10.27530722630685, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null, "buyer_population_2024": null }, "history": [ { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 789980.2072594399, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 900925.2678367887, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.044030414664931, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 864502.2690374275, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.0428435187322975, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 4164672.5517783016, "yoy_growth_pct": 381.7422349180668, "cagr_3y_pct": 74.04232784994251 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 6329997.448507592, "yoy_growth_pct": 51.99268057232265, "cagr_3y_pct": 91.53063821020298 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 14097957.363455806, "yoy_growth_pct": 122.71663579863916, "cagr_3y_pct": 153.5887707142635 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 15371757.170008808, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.035350112881591, "cagr_3y_pct": 54.54236409968451 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 11668344.62082859, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.092317541977515, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.612638320805445 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 6990104.756771193, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.09343241119653, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.85153489543925 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 15265258.290016238, "yoy_growth_pct": 118.38382715550932, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.23147598765920208 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 15073021.216223247, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.2593109801405489, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.908979262930572 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 22695244.803453192, "yoy_growth_pct": 50.56865161860229, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.07567775062298 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 15639058.330130363, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.091034859642473, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8096594156498993 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 14040130.336815024, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.223940339392612, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.338450694004579 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 16816164.492064178, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.772139493392295, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.510672961949428 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 22888145.709098957, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.10800322451797, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.535933918123778 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 26674339.385485865, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.54215996572297, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.853279588560117 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 16622450.265608147, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.683741571299, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.38546811254231983 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 30703016.484712537, "yoy_growth_pct": 84.70812662461134, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.286785523517006 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "hs_code": "720449", "hs_description": "Ferrous waste and scrap: n.e.s. in heading no. 7204", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 6759135504.141641, "current_below_peak_pct": 6.812119299806955, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6818430307320837, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "hs_code": "282990", "hs_description": "Perchlorates: bromates and perbromates: iodates and periodates", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16055984.953284396, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.537237160314131, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "hs_code": "842121", "hs_description": "Machinery: for filtering or purifying water", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 122581142.0769022, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4140530596979808, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "hs_code": "220860", "hs_description": "Vodka", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28500740.517784275, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.881299039075975, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "hs_code": "420212", "hs_description": "Cases and containers: trunks, suit-cases, vanity-cases, executive-cases, brief-cases, school satchels and similar containers, with outer surface of plastics or of textile materials", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 47190513.048311256, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9999919073616601, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "hs_code": "842199", "hs_description": "Machinery: parts for filtering or purifying liquids or gases", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 209390016.90620035, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "hs_code": "620520", "hs_description": "Shirts: men's or boys', of cotton (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 65410679.74680234, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2742116751144281, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "hs_code": "611030", "hs_description": "Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, waistcoats and similar articles: of man-made fibres, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 150934208.20441467, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4139421533947916, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "hs_code": "220421", "hs_description": "Wine: still, in containers holding 2 litres or less", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30872088.01491772, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8646635649352995, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "hs_code": "440712", "hs_description": "Wood: coniferous species, of fir (Abies spp.) and spruce (Picea spp.), sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or finger-jointed, of a thickness exceeding 6mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 34653985.933246866, "current_below_peak_pct": 77.02563458687935, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4815429916496188, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "distance_km": 821, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 815271.751724, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9586.612900959013, "importer_population": 85042.732, "importer_biz_entry_days": 7, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 5809.170962, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9367.016883998498, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.971825898533333, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.256978245925925, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.344429201525926, "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.9125490443999995 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNE-TUR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNE-TUR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNE-TUR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNE-TUR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNE-TUR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }