{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:06.077Z", "seo": { "title": "Montenegro exports to Greece: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Montenegro to Greece, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MNE", "country_name": "Montenegro" }, "importer": { "iso3": "GRC", "country_name": "Greece" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "all_history_lane_count": 30, "current_lane_count": 12, "current_product_count": 12, "first_observed_last_year": 2006, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 9992665.639807152, "attention_trade_usd": 2554395.506212055, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 3912960.474391419, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 2022125.8724868465, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 5483766.396771027, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 8, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 4, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0263700311286923, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 38.718270361043466, "product_concentration_hhi": 3342.178417204633, "top1_product_share_pct": 50.364386564899924, "top3_product_share_pct": 85.96392259733115, "top_product_hs6": "260600", "top_product_trade_usd": 5032744.750970404, "top_product_description": "Aluminium ores and concentrates", "top_attention_product_hs6": "220860", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.09984533697407405, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.235452101481481, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.17433836514562964, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.061113736335852, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.329374957214838, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.9563802531924495, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.5973960748884899, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 20.778, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 14.094, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 25.56270366974225, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null, "buyer_population_2024": null }, "history": [ { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 70197959.36816864, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 76419659.38199624, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.863078171826233, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 86680756.76136829, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.427300595623247, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 59874394.73715846, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.925389931709546, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.164220934176522 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 77845041.5908681, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.01390984008885, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6179085468070111 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 65056274.54966896, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.42849278495263, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.122682630793388 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 35003917.67448711, "yoy_growth_pct": -46.1944018208998, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.383528074820962 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 37043182.40423592, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.82581855183355, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.92851412440452 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 27382270.31071188, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.080135308297127, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.057745390493093 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 8891318.233433416, "yoy_growth_pct": -67.52892242848412, "cagr_3y_pct": -36.66897744749259 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 613107.0702727096, "yoy_growth_pct": -93.10443002740263, "cagr_3y_pct": -74.51550621044383 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 266728.6221310694, "yoy_growth_pct": -56.495588606990175, "cagr_3y_pct": -78.64333726269312 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 5412981.604773089, "yoy_growth_pct": 1929.3966060054743, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.246664530586063 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 2537100.1811885484, "yoy_growth_pct": -53.129340418386604, "cagr_3y_pct": 60.54634787806017 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 7644058.173185009, "yoy_growth_pct": 201.29114450671858, "cagr_3y_pct": 206.02115785079764 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 15768266.677144125, "yoy_growth_pct": 106.28135369846414, "cagr_3y_pct": 42.81784259620611 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 9457934.414081376, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.019187855374646, "cagr_3y_pct": 55.05516134866604 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 17179596.52172789, "yoy_growth_pct": 81.64216169812062, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.987441310537722 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "export_value_usd": 10134194.712764634, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.01028682514508, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.701794960470892 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "hs_code": "260600", "hs_description": "Aluminium ores and concentrates", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 53114431.05570476, "current_below_peak_pct": 45.54148530328538, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8341246992085252, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "hs_code": "220860", "hs_description": "Vodka", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31780457.77329065, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3465991728201956, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "hs_code": "760120", "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, alloys", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 467801889.3830304, "current_below_peak_pct": 86.77505014199167, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.823644630032877, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "hs_code": "440712", "hs_description": "Wood: coniferous species, of fir (Abies spp.) and spruce (Picea spp.), sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or finger-jointed, of a thickness exceeding 6mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31657474.32747083, "current_below_peak_pct": 62.06824569716628, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2281150635397569, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "hs_code": "890391", "hs_description": "Sailboats: with or without auxiliary motor, for pleasure or sports, other than inflatable", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 114510579.9555637, "current_below_peak_pct": 88.52157916198942, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3130281566451691, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "hs_code": "440131", "hs_description": "Wood: for fuel, sawdust and wood waste and scrap, agglomerated in wood pellets", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13615904.068744086, "current_below_peak_pct": 64.66682552314323, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.252616323754322, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "hs_code": "847490", "hs_description": "Machines, for sorting, screening, separating, washing, crushing etc mineral substances, for agglomerating, shaping or moulding solid fuels, ceramic pastes etc, for forming foundry moulds of sand: parts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17142756.03569611, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.72100107466391, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "hs_code": "220300", "hs_description": "Beer: made from malt", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33007172.630045746, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1899120138057258, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "hs_code": "760429", "hs_description": "Aluminium: alloys, bars, rods and profiles, other than hollow", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25817792.563031625, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3916250701081891, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "hs_code": "220421", "hs_description": "Wine: still, in containers holding 2 litres or less", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38671639.38255641, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5452165392586195, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "distance_km": 628, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 216240.589485, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 20276.544674383436, "importer_population": 10664.568, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 5809.170962, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9367.016883998498, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.09984533697407405, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.235452101481481, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.17433836514562964, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.061113736335852 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNE-GRC/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNE-GRC/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNE-GRC/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNE-GRC/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNE-GRC/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }