{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:09.072Z", "seo": { "title": "Montenegro exports to the United Kingdom: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Montenegro to the United Kingdom, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MNE", "country_name": "Montenegro" }, "importer": { "iso3": "GBR", "country_name": "United Kingdom" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "all_history_lane_count": 27, "current_lane_count": 5, "current_product_count": 5, "first_observed_last_year": 2006, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 2320268.092129808, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 178261.7990178322, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1267342.8437537379, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 178261.7990178322, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 1, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7127913030202465, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 39.77667572368294, "product_concentration_hhi": 3557.7125374294565, "top1_product_share_pct": 54.620534930962464, "top3_product_share_pct": 84.8982700006786, "top_product_hs6": "848330", "top_product_trade_usd": 1267342.8437537379, "top_product_description": "Bearing housings, not incorporating ball or roller bearings and plain shaft bearings", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.090346724339945, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.290378476461543, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7670585336488678, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 17.965999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 15.626, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_product_mix" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null, "buyer_population_2024": null }, "history": [ { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 2716400.177830553, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 4093391.9283119407, "yoy_growth_pct": 50.69178546369846, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 8280447.956138658, "yoy_growth_pct": 102.28817814553621, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 2893199.5982399844, "yoy_growth_pct": -65.05986616225117, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.12409367290749 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 5046817.120102599, "yoy_growth_pct": 74.43722594088295, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.228791879282159 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 5863577.136874932, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.18366581025881, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.86746255506622 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 5886636.321318256, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.3932613813214525, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.71545962779358 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 8060126.545970393, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.922447829517104, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.88930172688492 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 4419510.542049232, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.168223887765926, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.993898518027166 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 5368316.238662107, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.46856959804726, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.0256311055196994 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 5969092.099333877, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.191141392622118, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.526344104618333 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 12308243.48681024, "yoy_growth_pct": 106.19959085878041, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.69347883797394 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 9190902.076170074, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.327264722872698, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.629976060497924 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 7915432.597242859, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.877522231840745, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.864012993700456 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 5946018.464945335, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.88068855495681, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.534865264225513 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 3200255.4436120973, "yoy_growth_pct": -46.178178515940424, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.648153287566714 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 2994181.1288669654, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.439308310730906, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.678436811484573 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 3066573.5698682168, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.4177709325369223, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.805907298115464 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "export_value_usd": 3053519.9294309276, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.42567511066921027, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.5523460234038944 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "848330", "hs_description": "Bearing housings, not incorporating ball or roller bearings and plain shaft bearings", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 254708055.2749216, "current_below_peak_pct": 72.82366563044212, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.43715586901518166, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "847350", "hs_description": "Machines: parts and accessories equally suitable for use with machines of two or more of heading no. 8469 to 8472", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29112501.46649368, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9865047982996201, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "220860", "hs_description": "Vodka", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 168062962.7056084, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9997199012799154, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "847290", "hs_description": "Office machines: not elsewhere classified", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 78980205.82960674, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7284819881968223, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "declining_buyer_demand", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "090961", "hs_description": "Spices: seeds of anise, badian, caraway or fennel: juniper berries, neither crushed nor ground", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11653912.824469937, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5479827474517147, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "distance_km": 1778, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 3186859.739185, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 47334.35531498716, "importer_population": 67326.569, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 5809.170962, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9367.016883998498, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNE-GBR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNE-GBR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNE-GBR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNE-GBR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNE-GBR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }