{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:09.064Z", "seo": { "title": "Montenegro exports to the United Arab Emirates: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Montenegro to the United Arab Emirates, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MNE", "country_name": "Montenegro" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ARE", "country_name": "United Arab Emirates" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "all_history_lane_count": 23, "current_lane_count": 3, "current_product_count": 3, "first_observed_last_year": 2006, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 2657240.2030906803, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 238306.49823322607, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6649153077225682, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 10.711963433194846, "product_concentration_hhi": 6980.550517768438, "top1_product_share_pct": 82.6422222392993, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "220860", "top_product_trade_usd": 2196002.354070208, "top_product_description": "Vodka", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.044621905925926, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.044621905925926, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.943547237156554, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.819807045643529, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.0679101465127756, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.395999999999997, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 61.2, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null, "buyer_population_2024": null }, "history": [ { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 86817.54515215724, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 3908.6759705627146, "yoy_growth_pct": -95.49782712271772, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 2027.9670819513128, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.11626501596766, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 372558.4292561425, "yoy_growth_pct": 18271.029420145533, "cagr_3y_pct": 62.50334216686755 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 2830548.564836912, "yoy_growth_pct": 659.7596356867944, "cagr_3y_pct": 798.008223885653 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 264927.6572067908, "yoy_growth_pct": -90.64041293981278, "cagr_3y_pct": 407.4058452301985 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 105356.45130749166, "yoy_growth_pct": -60.23199222825759, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.361963657035375 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 45593.64265293252, "yoy_growth_pct": -56.72439410486252, "cagr_3y_pct": -74.74516356363299 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 1028116.6377283477, "yoy_growth_pct": 2154.956125253179, "cagr_3y_pct": 57.14661458507795 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 1943629.6638524372, "yoy_growth_pct": 89.04758395379547, "cagr_3y_pct": 164.23121893805254 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 1695772.8748833972, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.752264157039406, "cagr_3y_pct": 233.80112627187955 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 2099797.9200131595, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.82542209006282, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.875676612986133 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 4864531.964070259, "yoy_growth_pct": 131.6666721929019, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.77167657378193 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 956761.9075061599, "yoy_growth_pct": -80.33188157518825, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.368545518322808 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 7183390.267450467, "yoy_growth_pct": 650.8022854060187, "cagr_3y_pct": 50.67827983047528 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 13785358.82355262, "yoy_growth_pct": 91.9060264067391, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.51169661657097 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 3514275.2109351945, "yoy_growth_pct": -74.50719088333798, "cagr_3y_pct": 54.292197449164824 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 3304709.7781846076, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.96326184410636, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.802846320487824 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "220860", "hs_description": "Vodka", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 56534681.33744695, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6212036775404914, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "842240", "hs_description": "Machinery: for packing or wrapping", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 123612987.19723566, "current_below_peak_pct": 93.14835030267584, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8717539744733441, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "440792", "hs_description": "Wood: beech (Fagus spp.), sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or end-jointed, thicker than 6mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37036880.34783945, "current_below_peak_pct": 28.10911381356313, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.874396137774365, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MNE", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "distance_km": 3800, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 358868.765175, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35918.90540545004, "importer_population": 9991.083, "importer_biz_entry_days": 3.8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 17.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 5809.170962, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9367.016883998498, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.044621905925926, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.044621905925926, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNE-ARE/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNE-ARE/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNE-ARE/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNE-ARE/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MNE-ARE/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }