{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:12.467Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Myanmar exports to Guatemala: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Myanmar to Guatemala, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "MMR",
    "country_name": "Myanmar"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "GTM",
    "country_name": "Guatemala"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
    "importer_iso3": "GTM",
    "all_history_lane_count": 11,
    "current_lane_count": 6,
    "current_product_count": 6,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2003,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 171287.16721176964,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 12739.780042548782,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 12739.780042548782,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 98514.87425291058,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 171287.16721176964,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 6,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.5095431614296787,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 26.47568750707975,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2184.4165040529683,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 36.52694558209337,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 67.32929085130598,
    "top_product_hs6": "640219",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 62565.97035655237,
    "top_product_description": "Sports footwear: (other than ski-boots, snowboard boots or cross-country ski footwear), with outer soles and uppers of rubber or plastics",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 16460.9375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.896681036969698,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.896681036969698,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 85986.321551,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 5026,
    "buyer_population_latest": 17109.747,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.963421520392089,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.390193560081858,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4787339957434753,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 17.206,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 4.184,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 85986.321551,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 5026,
    "buyer_population_2024": 17109.747
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 2189.0432667771947,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 69.94935139281297,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -96.80456971982123,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 12.664108239205351,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -81.89531713012204,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 29213.545747645374,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 230579.84887563207,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 137.19742796569912
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 110.6060928115866,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.62138764747343,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.501572240316207
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 14.554675062349775,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -86.84098254230612,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.747250842687212
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 235715.34017310542,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1619416.3352210931,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 100.57087001344449
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 8235.273999225694,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -96.5062630233663,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 320.69401551111474
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 71.26652744306206,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.13461862410695,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 69.80912646091572
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 2864.1977308491837,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3918.994377321831,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -77.01003113484354
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 98015.52551458443,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3322.093539803363,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 128.31736298931048
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 2170.4156074927487,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -97.78564100320025,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 212.28594276908504
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 1799.4704387424702,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.090974072877785,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.352654601937498
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 13422.77085039736,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 645.9289445053423,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -48.45548774185979
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 58724.34955427701,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 337.4979667669628,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 200.20996493572616
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 9700.949568719536,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -83.4805329606022,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 75.3435695475888
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 99923.89673710716,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 930.0424306844067,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 95.25810131750218
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 53270.68589157789,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -46.68874250197692,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.196730771121825
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 476380.0995874009,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 794.2631235441194,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 266.19559964085516
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 769007.8870057178,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 61.42737441630448,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 97.43333307866786
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 862276.858391985,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.128480469742398,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 152.96056001214623
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 690101.0994386794,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.967572743908157,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.149603424553892
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "hs_code": "640219",
      "hs_description": "Sports footwear: (other than ski-boots, snowboard boots or cross-country ski footwear), with outer soles and uppers of rubber or plastics",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10923559.728083694,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 41.44045489419634,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.20372034571227582,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "hs_code": "640411",
      "hs_description": "Sports footwear: tennis shoes, basketball shoes, gym shoes, training shoes and the like, with outer soles of rubber or plastics and uppers of textile materials",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16761113.496647222,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 31.95060108234947,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.39314553318650275,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "hs_code": "610910",
      "hs_description": "T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of cotton, knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20208575.20135172,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6668967367188228,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "hs_code": "420292",
      "hs_description": "Cases and containers: n.e.c. in heading 4202, with outer surface of sheeting of plastics or of textile materials",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19533817.40798993,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.46090024411236946,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "hs_code": "611030",
      "hs_description": "Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, waistcoats and similar articles: of man-made fibres, knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12059067.783794481,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6794229298952901,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "hs_code": "650500",
      "hs_description": "Hats and other headgear: knitted or crocheted, or made up from lace, felt or other textile fabric, in the piece (but not in strips), whether or not lined or trimmed: hair-nets of any material, whether or not lined or trimmed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12378500.388925841,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 84.38764038497212,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7647223676765127,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
    "importer_iso3": "GTM",
    "distance_km": 16454,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 85986.321551,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5025.575278874668,
    "importer_population": 17109.747,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 15,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 17.3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 65067.808984999996,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1187.2384625118248,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.896681036969698,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.896681036969698,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MMR-GTM/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MMR-GTM/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MMR-GTM/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MMR-GTM/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MMR-GTM/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}