{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:06.138Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Myanmar exports to Bulgaria: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Myanmar to Bulgaria, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "MMR",
    "country_name": "Myanmar"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "BGR",
    "country_name": "Bulgaria"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
    "importer_iso3": "BGR",
    "all_history_lane_count": 41,
    "current_lane_count": 35,
    "current_product_count": 35,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2005,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 26229698.6064844,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 12315930.02933831,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 434735.26996015164,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 23,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.5770166506692005,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 11.703441605844061,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2404.6422368133262,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 46.50812655818733,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 64.07845131270226,
    "top_product_hs6": "100630",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 12198941.423734862,
    "top_product_description": "Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 7371.1826171875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.064288698181816,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 15.100112106666666,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 13.482237510505051,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.6178745961616143,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 23,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 80271.119426,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 11635,
    "buyer_population_latest": 6899.125,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 10.593931268104285,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 11.189451881330982,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.5355909244541324,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.716,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.028,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 80271.119426,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 11635,
    "buyer_population_2024": 6899.125
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 1838.088431348664,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 2961.682292500036,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 61.12838979825119,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 5770.155384765049,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 94.82695356544491,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 4866.41779767436,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.66227470194007,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.33996560559887
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 1210547.4392380104,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24775.53452185149,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 642.1319257006555
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 41290.1485241325,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -96.58913420608093,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 92.70203998218322
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 84913.80236632333,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 105.65148201560595,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 159.37192520371326
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 2695232.4837836823,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3074.080548361602,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.578439132972534
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 10652305.519177943,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 295.22770607987707,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 536.598664163108
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 5882592.385707803,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -44.77634559845245,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 310.7051568619664
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 8501849.168919329,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 44.525552876571986,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 46.65798752537314
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 8967140.086556789,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.4728201876181215,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.578670005866105
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 2522854.6756084375,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -71.8655596850705,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.587878364886116
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 16461169.46886138,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 552.4818741250499,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.6376054535542
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 1822238.6720824859,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -88.93007768658535,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -41.20815335291361
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 1950338.6968112215,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.029815945149531,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.22185665794838
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 8964014.514648607,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 359.61322150376515,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.33913892949791
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 20392940.083324935,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 127.49784764404018,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 123.67881916793122
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 14393963.04827435,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.416930616865187,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 94.69588918555252
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 723741.5195874627,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -94.97190928474538,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -56.77911596780424
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 3912562.788726318,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 440.60222922632715,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -42.32417364295843
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 3736782.654647679,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.4927108795578485,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -36.20707950551781
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 4293012.43883797,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.885259208171275,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 81.01985789705415
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 3398703.883215974,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.831725236371934,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.584850334542212
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 19209491.827975933,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 465.20051431486377,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 72.58617854423954
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 19841597.649253167,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.2905910626779944,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 66.57308557569299
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "export_value_usd": 34950470.16538268,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 76.14745940933949,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 117.46025763482612
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "hs_code": "100630",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29681291.732434243,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 21.903080981610152,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8817241654147826,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "hs_code": "620293",
      "hs_description": "Anoraks (including ski-jackets), wind-cheaters, wind-jackets and similar articles: women's or girls', of man-made fibres, other than those of heading no. 6204 (not knitted or crocheted)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31618004.941960596,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.5740347230727685,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "hs_code": "620193",
      "hs_description": "Anoraks (including ski-jackets), wind-cheaters, wind-jackets and similar articles: men's or boys', of man-made fibres, other than those of heading no. 6203 (not knitted or crocheted)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23874963.044169944,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 3.3230331616624857,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "hs_code": "611030",
      "hs_description": "Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, waistcoats and similar articles: of man-made fibres, knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 50151485.86779652,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 3.09765176574716,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "hs_code": "620463",
      "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: women's or girls', of synthetic fibres (not knitted or crocheted)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17795346.621258996,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.895943412064199,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "hs_code": "610230",
      "hs_description": "Coats: women's or girls' overcoats, car-coats, capes, anoraks, wind-jackets and similar articles, of man-made fibres, knitted or crocheted (excluding those of heading no. 6104)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10100504.799004678,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9222236245098854,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "hs_code": "611020",
      "hs_description": "Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, waistcoats and similar articles: of cotton, knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 62474348.28597357,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9353924004663101,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "hs_code": "610463",
      "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: women's or girls', of synthetic fibres, knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23125536.400163025,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.3473215546053745,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "hs_code": "610462",
      "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: women's or girls', of cotton, knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35079222.3405814,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9620078340590188,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGR",
      "hs_code": "420222",
      "hs_description": "Cases and containers: handbags (whether or not with shoulder strap and including those without handle), with outer surface of plastic sheeting or of textile materials",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20051921.354568675,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9983183366577256,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
    "importer_iso3": "BGR",
    "distance_km": 7368,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 80271.119426,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 11634.971018208831,
    "importer_population": 6899.125,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 23,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 65067.808984999996,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1187.2384625118248,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.064288698181816,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 15.100112106666666,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 13.482237510505051,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.6178745961616143
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MMR-BGR/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MMR-BGR/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MMR-BGR/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MMR-BGR/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MMR-BGR/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}