{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.114Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Myanmar exports to Bangladesh: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Myanmar to Bangladesh, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "MMR",
    "country_name": "Myanmar"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "BGD",
    "country_name": "Bangladesh"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
    "importer_iso3": "BGD",
    "all_history_lane_count": 69,
    "current_lane_count": 25,
    "current_product_count": 25,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1999,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 136818691.54280892,
    "attention_trade_usd": 123870301.32422175,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 95034276.84853111,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 10536962.249890245,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 128001838.80649705,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 11,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 16,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 9,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 22,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9079352036196692,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 33.496517911052536,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1738.7939397277414,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 32.691235476398326,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 64.93194899663399,
    "top_product_hs6": "100630",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 44727720.62798675,
    "top_product_description": "Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "100630",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 979.1782836914062,
    "shares_land_border": 1,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 67.25363404761904,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 67.25363404761904,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 19.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 416264.942893,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2503,
    "buyer_population_latest": 166303.497,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.0864745482300355,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.017573535128394,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.0276157929608232,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.848000000000003,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.520000000000003,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 90.53609556371485,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 416264.942893,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2503,
    "buyer_population_2024": 166303.497
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 23911804.865608048,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 4360896.930767941,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -81.76257729068311,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 5566540.585354593,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.64668997518227,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 10867904.69482148,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 95.23624283661245,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.114492074971782
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 28349311.055208296,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 160.85351179714195,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 86.63319703562125
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 49674566.44187587,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 75.22318741763472,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 107.41949305403367
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 55736234.198753506,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.20275926106047,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 72.4502918591088
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 55700856.83657677,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.06347282460917869,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.24866983001104
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 68286919.60500592,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.595815366639638,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.190533072545383
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 27884819.11153371,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -59.16521162057287,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.614094460659814
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 45975949.2604054,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 64.8780617027164,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.19565765846537
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 51146112.222623736,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.245364251067013,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.184836681443132
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 71989922.02675653,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 40.75345886194812,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 37.18331413707985
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 145615745.3299686,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 102.27240317866651,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 46.856287192029015
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 79862745.36376819,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -45.15514432673652,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.01403610538805
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 79862903.35253476,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.00019782536380130722,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.5200477862617374
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 152553032.04066786,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 91.01864024058925,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.5634633640243756
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 44649693.20493998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -70.73169073883948,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.61943847189642
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 48643913.07128883,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.945682667998579,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.232806810336918
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 72291666.06195772,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 48.61400224116947,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.036894504665426
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 34502948.99963561,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -52.272577353432716,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.23454005802786
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 51902826.83162848,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 50.43011782029598,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.1850831644416147
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 181728173.7935358,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 250.13155330259295,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.970494243992924
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 134120135.53369997,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.197389907150036,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 57.23380433180687
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 50382024.92452812,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -62.435152094020374,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9863959663793276
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 64266686.52275075,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.558760528227566,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -29.283425466187886
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 125318073.49993597,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 94.99694208689708,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.2372876804004793
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 181095781.12853265,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 44.50890926648754,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 53.1831178669524
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 156372200.12049982,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.652212577213641,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.50070039211322
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "export_value_usd": 141278416.72086933,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.652472362734088,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.076825336057044
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "hs_code": "100630",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 139245890.58679363,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 41.426092680809326,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0937724856140731,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "hs_code": "843143",
      "hs_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: parts of the machinery of item no. 8430.41 or 8430.41",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32310330.638106324,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 21.981913430302324,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.10282126601026711,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "hs_code": "100590",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: maize (corn), other than seed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 254667400.89934558,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 21.981913430302345,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3069676683292044,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "hs_code": "030273",
      "hs_description": "Fish: fresh or chilled, carp (Cyprinus carpio, Carassius carassius, Ctenopharyngodon idellus, Hypophthalmichthys spp., Cirrhinus spp., Mylopharyngodon piceus), excluding fillets, livers, roes, and other fish meat of heading 0304",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14031275.172880651,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 21.981913430302328,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1536831005146013,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "hs_code": "730840",
      "hs_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, props and similar equipment for scaffolding, shuttering or pit-propping",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15741850.212512491,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 21.9819134303062,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.10282126601028442,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "hs_code": "071331",
      "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: beans of the species vigna mungo (l.) hepper or vigna radiata (l.) wilczek, shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26852805.55808019,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 84.32259924937604,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4599134210232931,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "hs_code": "731100",
      "hs_description": "Containers for compressed or liquefied gas, of iron or steel",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15000091.052304082,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 21.98191343030234,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.10282126601026739,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "hs_code": "030389",
      "hs_description": "Fish: frozen, n.e.c. in heading 0303, excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20244828.56666348,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 44.97081240972011,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.564299722869919,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "hs_code": "080280",
      "hs_description": "Nuts, edible: areca nuts, fresh or dried, whether or not shelled or peeled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38913860.57580404,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 9.652274113739608,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8802656212824995,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "hs_code": "843149",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of machines handling earth, minerals or ores and n.e.c. in heading no. 8431",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21637940.41014179,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 21.981913430305266,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.10282126601028162,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "MMR",
    "importer_iso3": "BGD",
    "distance_km": 972,
    "shares_land_border": 1,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 416264.942893,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2503.0438349291,
    "importer_population": 166303.497,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 19.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 8.7,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 65067.808984999996,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1187.2384625118248,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 67.25363404761904,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 67.25363404761904,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MMR-BGD/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MMR-BGD/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MMR-BGD/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MMR-BGD/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MMR-BGD/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}