{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:09.135Z", "seo": { "title": "The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia exports to the Philippines: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia to the Philippines, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MKD", "country_name": "The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "PHL", "country_name": "Philippines" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "all_history_lane_count": 9, "current_lane_count": 3, "current_product_count": 3, "first_observed_last_year": 2004, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 890809.1776593403, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 31240.534421061253, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 31240.534421061253, "access_friction_trade_usd": 890809.1776593403, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 3, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9011692964572654, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 2.4101093626594796, "product_concentration_hhi": 5504.227145600491, "top1_product_share_pct": 68.69738983274523, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "240110", "top_product_trade_usd": 611962.6534425091, "top_product_description": "Tobacco, (not stemmed or stripped)", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 9696.853515625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.65384756111111, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.65384756111111, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 33, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 394086.419343, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3549, "buyer_population_latest": 111046.913, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.14271163092057, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.220520105972713, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.893418793085976, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 21.322000000000003, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 15.036000000000001, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 394086.419343, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3549, "buyer_population_2024": 111046.913 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 3659.8734544715126, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 19632.889735258064, "yoy_growth_pct": 436.43629976526233, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 27366.991533594908, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.393598714342204, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 106790.93952254075, "yoy_growth_pct": 290.21804567538, "cagr_3y_pct": 207.86201863232537 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 3356.469999999813, "yoy_growth_pct": -96.85697118593909, "cagr_3y_pct": -44.49916537404348 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 287776.69192349026, "yoy_growth_pct": 8473.79008075467, "cagr_3y_pct": 119.0834237878585 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 165169.85862388217, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.604851866253625, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.646403168439015 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 17411.92392761893, "yoy_growth_pct": -89.45817107752777, "cagr_3y_pct": 73.10967077054444 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 5269.259350024877, "yoy_growth_pct": -69.73763857498403, "cagr_3y_pct": -73.64287803122454 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 21774.8159383151, "yoy_growth_pct": 313.2424405758714, "cagr_3y_pct": -49.10506486607027 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 82310.53736017234, "yoy_growth_pct": 278.00795925598715, "cagr_3y_pct": 67.8299861115948 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 101902.30775642766, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.80226277776094, "cagr_3y_pct": 168.41790448987916 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 108218.18702843763, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.197974718204158, "cagr_3y_pct": 70.65352120111375 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 35337.566991264124, "yoy_growth_pct": -67.345999816114, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.561379877846623 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 54421.305526630254, "yoy_growth_pct": 54.00410996060896, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.867477509994156 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 276104.2633089494, "yoy_growth_pct": 407.34590182486875, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.644121507651526 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 396247.52486260346, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.513729239022524, "cagr_3y_pct": 123.82571089906355 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 508141.19078504766, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.23832551666858, "cagr_3y_pct": 110.57419462510758 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 682497.8197766223, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.3126343924617, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.21017822699768 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 199739.25861797083, "yoy_growth_pct": -70.73408107247224, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.414803965374762 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 145938.542688334, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.9354739283068, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.022599350054826 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 925709.4073926402, "yoy_growth_pct": 534.3145479872188, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.694098988187694 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 638100.4350447973, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.069034197019185, "cagr_3y_pct": 47.27935348015404 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 1177033.8269276444, "yoy_growth_pct": 84.45902279396063, "cagr_3y_pct": 100.5424484668053 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "hs_code": "240110", "hs_description": "Tobacco, (not stemmed or stripped)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17511803.96079183, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9236341613588428, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "hs_code": "491199", "hs_description": "Printed matter: n.e.c. in heading no. 4911", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27870677.775161613, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8628593536518209, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "hs_code": "482110", "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: labels or all kinds, printed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30084992.969661646, "current_below_peak_pct": 68.7231373984554, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7647475896582272, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "distance_km": 9705, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 394086.419343, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3548.828226706311, "importer_population": 111046.913, "importer_biz_entry_days": 33, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 23.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 13879.269152, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6720.896285492366, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.65384756111111, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.65384756111111, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-PHL/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-PHL/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-PHL/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-PHL/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-PHL/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }