{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:00.253Z", "seo": { "title": "The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia exports to Montenegro: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia to Montenegro, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MKD", "country_name": "The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MNE", "country_name": "Montenegro" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "all_history_lane_count": 41, "current_lane_count": 31, "current_product_count": 31, "first_observed_last_year": 2007, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 20184730.31953814, "attention_trade_usd": 3927351.0320230885, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 5201200.097124146, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1827757.7337645125, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 13575108.303634003, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 2, "high_volatility_lane_count": 12, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 9, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 16, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7061838048736876, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 13.77359768714086, "product_concentration_hhi": 916.5583576584557, "top1_product_share_pct": 19.28873909154529, "top3_product_share_pct": 44.72920981736568, "top_product_hs6": "160100", "top_product_trade_usd": 3893379.9676677478, "top_product_description": "Meat preparations: sausages and similar products, of meat, meat offal or blood, and food preparations based on these products", "top_attention_product_hs6": "271320", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.0852894367481483, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.2478250977777785, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.0020828552933333335, "tariff_advantage_pp": 6.245742242484445, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.565059222520688, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.67723581432076, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.10321995306518117, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.522, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 1.8219999999999998, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 19.4570399002138, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null, "buyer_population_2024": null }, "history": [ { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 10349069.46333114, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 29731110.974889446, "yoy_growth_pct": 187.28293959406517, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 41468633.01540546, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.478921761212995, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 26691716.838893764, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.63396018147529, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.13818657193213 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 29005098.619653914, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.667040021154481, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.8206929795590678 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 35816280.31529845, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.482704833933134, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.767119557023635 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 32944886.06760284, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.017008529132873, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.268078300685343 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 31763026.13369966, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.587385099702589, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.0740107015270857 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 32728741.38848861, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.0403754690248253, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.9602636244981273 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 28691664.58837288, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.334958904150394, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.503106324898598 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 28661256.861566704, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.10598104795389585, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.367224603268837 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 36487239.37735216, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.30509186524792, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.690085793538511 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 35332629.646053925, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.164420633080045, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.186495562448325 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 34345903.72249525, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.7926761564119107, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.216806286272236 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 29234643.05654377, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.881718376808351, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.120700791505108 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 36460099.669119135, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.715391936205087, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.0525545678967019 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 37031171.63622856, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.566292940205849, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.540988938798394 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 40785939.71265444, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.139479553362252, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.73885731183082 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "export_value_usd": 46364311.75368793, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.677193857329994, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.339956101433765 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "160100", "hs_description": "Meat preparations: sausages and similar products, of meat, meat offal or blood, and food preparations based on these products", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21408237.676301185, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.48456996050354784, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 119342805.32952392, "current_below_peak_pct": 2.7595249943077786, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.21539604066729007, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "271320", "hs_description": "Petroleum bitumen: obtained from bituminous minerals", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22653230.7128671, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9736800448336707, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "721070", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, painted, varnished or coated with plastics", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10536661.971409414, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6680838620635456, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "854449", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 80 volts, not fitted with connectors", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22330547.818158295, "current_below_peak_pct": 32.052731834886586, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2327028285517037, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "090121", "hs_description": "Coffee: roasted, not decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10290186.582906205, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.2879372220620948, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "210500", "hs_description": "Ice cream and other edible ice: whether or not containing cocoa", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11129853.33384523, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.48911442507236924, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "190590", "hs_description": "Food preparations: bakers' wares n.e.c. in heading no. 1605, whether or not containing cocoa: communion wafers, empty cachets suitable for pharmaceutical use, sealing wafers, rice papers and similar products", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23662557.280912023, "current_below_peak_pct": 22.592555877421, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3058493846179992, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "240220", "hs_description": "Cigarettes: containing tobacco", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31761158.620727204, "current_below_peak_pct": 62.76792475404829, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0140379268712885, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 324916946.5000554, "current_below_peak_pct": 10.064833931469828, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.194175940295768, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "MNE", "distance_km": 186, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 5809.170962, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9367.016883998498, "importer_population": 620.173, "importer_biz_entry_days": 12, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 13879.269152, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6720.896285492366, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.0852894367481483, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.2478250977777785, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.0020828552933333335, "tariff_advantage_pp": 6.245742242484445 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-MNE/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-MNE/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-MNE/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-MNE/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-MNE/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }