{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:09.087Z", "seo": { "title": "The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia exports to Lithuania: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia to Lithuania, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MKD", "country_name": "The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "LTU", "country_name": "Lithuania" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "all_history_lane_count": 33, "current_lane_count": 14, "current_product_count": 14, "first_observed_last_year": 2000, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1787417.3107375072, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 824726.5858359087, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 381017.08327993564, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 889441.247530357, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 5, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 5, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 6, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9473433778358643, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 20.21047820300503, "product_concentration_hhi": 1130.7134139886641, "top1_product_share_pct": 19.33988658872537, "top3_product_share_pct": 48.38582404582697, "top_product_hs6": "850422", "top_product_trade_usd": 345684.48076387885, "top_product_description": "Electrical transformers: liquid dielectric, having a power handling capacity exceeding 650kVA but not exceeding 10,000kVA", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 1439.5325927734375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.6823268912380946, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.6823268912380946, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 5.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 65503.849705, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 23433, "buyer_population_latest": 2795.321, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 9.014668841947326, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.425656534698645, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5432407108000303, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.136, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 21.744, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 65503.849705, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 23433, "buyer_population_2024": 2795.321 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 14266.06904863922, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 50795.97606634352, "yoy_growth_pct": 256.06147631248666, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 41106.49772506022, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.075287240524897, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 47587.70336078062, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.766864107640078, "cagr_3y_pct": 49.41589755590181 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 764.9259561853216, "yoy_growth_pct": -98.39259745235839, "cagr_3y_pct": -75.30570135527329 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 183681.54959314867, "yoy_growth_pct": 23912.9842774805, "cagr_3y_pct": 64.7093876940918 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 110163.50119274974, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.02473224079396, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.28613507822231 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 121918.97847359904, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.670936520328178, "cagr_3y_pct": 442.18892100670723 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 90840.30427718103, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.491252129501685, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.91920707631194 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 395341.83738145174, "yoy_growth_pct": 335.20532050965517, "cagr_3y_pct": 53.10111329640208 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 921714.1989117248, "yoy_growth_pct": 133.14360175404215, "cagr_3y_pct": 96.26445570224205 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 468699.13218091143, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.14919041777721, "cagr_3y_pct": 72.79792499607665 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 428996.7041633919, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.470770541600858, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.7607013665832403 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 753237.0129080774, "yoy_growth_pct": 75.58107220823594, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.507137220945625 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 239798.99963886393, "yoy_growth_pct": -68.16420389207185, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.019446396168817 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 2396505.998104733, "yoy_growth_pct": 899.3811490931399, "cagr_3y_pct": 77.43591137521723 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 3366316.346379718, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.46767873904573, "cagr_3y_pct": 64.71801165327074 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 2750883.091377676, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.282098046545904, "cagr_3y_pct": 125.53204383067578 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 2563199.2759384257, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.822675090320029, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.26678831031375 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 2318793.584519871, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.535181041632978, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.684746192238094 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 1801339.4983272976, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.315659731295888, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.162399861071838 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 2360682.6356018055, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.051511266693876, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.7062197177840863 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 2172832.915497651, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.957432196567426, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.1438600514110173 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 2898391.0221842304, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.39226415025118, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.180082995314706 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 3848030.3462549164, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.76436190983772, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.68839160935558 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 3517132.931351521, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.599137354138598, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.414252372290907 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 3436953.224778479, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.279689398666873, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.845455272345923 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 5363630.900298506, "yoy_growth_pct": 56.05772175279478, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.705219239049459 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 7507222.363853667, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.96530528295417, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.75482086677583 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "export_value_usd": 4942493.806853288, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.16348194705441, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.873199933405456 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "hs_code": "850422", "hs_description": "Electrical transformers: liquid dielectric, having a power handling capacity exceeding 650kVA but not exceeding 10,000kVA", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13420784.85376547, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6417299294737083, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "hs_code": "080711", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: watermelons, fresh", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12696717.163402025, "current_below_peak_pct": 12.086374768128103, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3656277618611117, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "hs_code": "180400", "hs_description": "Cocoa: butter, fat and oil", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22130210.252938434, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "hs_code": "850421", "hs_description": "Electrical transformers: liquid dielectric, having a power handling capacity not exceeding 650kVA", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22860576.07088805, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0150096667435862, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "hs_code": "220421", "hs_description": "Wine: still, in containers holding 2 litres or less", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 74358916.58390857, "current_below_peak_pct": 77.41232890603213, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3576977999879818, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "hs_code": "853649", "hs_description": "Electrical apparatus: relays, for a voltage exceeding 60 volts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10561132.482607068, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6104072206345919, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "hs_code": "620342", "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: men's or boys', of cotton (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29764454.96357463, "current_below_peak_pct": 30.87776674043133, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7099693399027611, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "hs_code": "720852", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: (not in coils), flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, without patterns in relief, of a thickness of 4.75mm or more but not exceeding 10mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30095810.617195267, "current_below_peak_pct": 79.67454036747036, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8467795961873481, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "hs_code": "080610", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: grapes, fresh", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23427229.169032175, "current_below_peak_pct": 61.90598943820841, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9204704086844436, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "hs_code": "940171", "hs_description": "Seats: with metal frames, upholstered, (excluding medical, surgical, dental, veterinary or barber furniture)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20093549.066389777, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7331105917344138, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "LTU", "distance_km": 1439, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 65503.84970499999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23433.3909075201, "importer_population": 2795.321, "importer_biz_entry_days": 5.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 13879.269152, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6720.896285492366, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.6823268912380946, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.6823268912380946, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-LTU/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-LTU/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-LTU/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-LTU/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-LTU/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }