{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:09.105Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia exports to Libya: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia to Libya, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "MKD",
    "country_name": "The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "LBY",
    "country_name": "Libya"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
    "importer_iso3": "LBY",
    "all_history_lane_count": 15,
    "current_lane_count": 6,
    "current_product_count": 6,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 1310884.5134231765,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 80356.30089006708,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 313518.41019351454,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 25163.109242358478,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 1310884.5134231765,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6739234302632994,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 41.28538899546529,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 4676.788256295635,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 65.54474767414557,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 88.91986964051041,
    "top_product_hs6": "220299",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 859215.9466226719,
    "top_product_description": "Non-alcoholic beverages: other than non-alcoholic beer, n.e.c. in item no. 2202.10, not including fruit, nut or vegetable juices of heading no. 2009",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 1267.14306640625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 10.921912361285715,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 10.921912361285715,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 35,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 41879.579677,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 6018,
    "buyer_population_latest": 6958.538,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -6.881549959886857,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -7.99269776368906,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.2076734963365698,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 10.702,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -16.1,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 41879.579677,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 6018,
    "buyer_population_2024": 6958.538
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 5595,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 11601.999999999998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 107.36371760500445,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 4686332,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 40292.449577659034,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 1531172,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -67.32685605714661,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 549.2440266660288
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 44330.40999999999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -97.10480533865562,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 56.33502794977379
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 235378.0020873755,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 430.9628358667911,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -63.10414264961235
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 603817.6345423593,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 156.53103908929177,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.667931082037978
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 59016.08510495997,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -90.22617397557642,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.007648885067223
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 230010.98431092338,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 289.7428707814986,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7659077213814425
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 65097.499982930036,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -71.69809077685925,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -52.405930634461306
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 88922.82350562407,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36.59944472359391,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.643019415630931
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 1281373.079839145,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1340.9945943271837,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 77.27289607285066
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 997379.8650283149,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.163195035007355,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 148.36978542495612
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 1004041.322405803,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.667895714668254,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 124.34313319739157
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 172074.98506892764,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -82.8617626357633,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -48.790871886047405
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 123126.17276538457,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.44621040294484,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -50.20757691072777
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 757408,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 515.1478463017215,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.96827614566501
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 362830.99827792123,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -52.09570029918865,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.231743658130192
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 1038119.8701463176,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 186.11664247913535,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 103.53184737691112
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 589193.7792724315,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.24414778908069,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.030726683708577
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 403819.283475534,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.46239867396564,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.6320820083816097
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 759816.7396578072,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 88.1576167235812,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.880151865545972
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 1966463.3303187084,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 158.80758183931687,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 49.44311099603911
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 2371957.6095521343,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.6204851614348,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 80.42911675058886
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 2337448.476953816,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.4548798199152446,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 45.4379451159115
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 1591490.285671644,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.913353326799808,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.809270105852406
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 1553548.0785635514,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.38406777909298,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.156112055533352
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 1737218.6334369832,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.822650190733587,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.418923560797587
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "export_value_usd": 1591647.9761653305,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.379524284957151,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.0033026756371068444
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "hs_code": "220299",
      "hs_description": "Non-alcoholic beverages: other than non-alcoholic beer, n.e.c. in item no. 2202.10, not including fruit, nut or vegetable juices of heading no. 2009",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33689016.67766355,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 39.45285126100488,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6164047018315281,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "hs_code": "190590",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: bakers' wares n.e.c. in heading no. 1605, whether or not containing cocoa: communion wafers, empty cachets suitable for pharmaceutical use, sealing wafers, rice papers and similar products",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 56151612.29413191,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 57.34655219672554,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7723033003474263,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "hs_code": "853710",
      "hs_description": "Boards, panels, consoles, desks and other bases: for electric control or the distribution of electricity, (other than switching apparatus of heading no. 8517), for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29186243.244919136,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.029223553489633,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "hs_code": "190532",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: waffles and wafers, whether or not containing cocoa",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 54624004.39651859,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 64.72553335724834,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5853874583254444,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "hs_code": "190531",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: sweet biscuits, whether or not containing cocoa",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 49889804.259503275,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 33.48440916892103,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.801318525149318,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
      "importer_iso3": "LBY",
      "hs_code": "080810",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: apples, fresh",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24173115.47665292,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 51.29892430294552,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5460585449282209,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "MKD",
    "importer_iso3": "LBY",
    "distance_km": 1247,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 41879.579677,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6018.445207455935,
    "importer_population": 6958.538,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 35,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 24.6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 13879.269152,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6720.896285492366,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 10.921912361285715,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 10.921912361285715,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-LBY/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-LBY/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-LBY/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-LBY/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-LBY/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}