{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:06.119Z", "seo": { "title": "The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia exports to Japan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia to Japan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MKD", "country_name": "The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "JPN", "country_name": "Japan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "all_history_lane_count": 18, "current_lane_count": 3, "current_product_count": 3, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 2258051.4644367984, "attention_trade_usd": 1276780.4967309027, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1276780.4967309027, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 1276780.4967309027, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0, "access_friction_trade_usd": 2258051.4644367984, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 2258051.4644367984, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 1, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0, "access_friction_lane_count": 3, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.719696071982078, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 51.201131974454036, "product_concentration_hhi": 4434.17031519003, "top1_product_share_pct": 56.54346310700037, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "240120", "top_product_trade_usd": 1276780.4967309027, "top_product_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped", "top_attention_product_hs6": "240120", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 9352.0458984375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.169927532765477, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.132065920761905, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.642094932478572, "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.4899709882833327, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 11.1, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 4937421.880462, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 39285, "buyer_population_latest": 125681.595, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -4.67885267787802, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -4.27363742210356, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.4233058113377264, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.977999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 24.869999999999997, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted", "attention_trade_share_pct": 56.54346310700037, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_product_mix", "market_access_friction", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 4937421.880462, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 39285, "buyer_population_2024": 125681.595 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 4120936.146101831, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 6328278.934121176, "yoy_growth_pct": 53.5641104293102, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 7475105.087659627, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.122244064731863, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 6768707.180903601, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.45000636743143, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.987667002854344 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 2512315.9940205826, "yoy_growth_pct": -62.883370090103426, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.504138792009435 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 4140486.0915349973, "yoy_growth_pct": 64.8075362092001, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.874503301534993 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 3888407.0940568573, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.088149842925494, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.870468409510487 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 5349174.956702052, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.567256393443735, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.648337964389015 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 5252825.2707795, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.801206479549411, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.254811517303606 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 5221828.911045549, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.5900892973991989, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.327464421416144 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 12765275.750136487, "yoy_growth_pct": 144.45986200609812, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.633230088956935 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 3742874.0553525817, "yoy_growth_pct": -70.67925418444202, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.682322924383115 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 3723012.919911985, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.5306386254753659, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.664521420460172 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 7940668.257453449, "yoy_growth_pct": 113.286078460377, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.635830927148607 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 10374297.082954753, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.647657685699148, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.470293203790675 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 7118236.56307203, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.385842277762766, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.11548191005717 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 7124784.815839981, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.09199262640302575, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.549407499485302 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 9575287.24890025, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.39405534904376, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.6361563574982094 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 10385758.442859324, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.46419718690068, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.419727655448366 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 9571920.483391613, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.836095591336045, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.342404438539464 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 7848924.43711549, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.000526114542215, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.412155322255641 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 3591843.7957680356, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.23775799416344, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.807117908186807 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 4964342.364920996, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.21153277239002, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.655858556457506 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 2718295.7527083997, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.24358811518715, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.7743901307151 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 3889705.330621347, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.09352934631201, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.6911664219098963 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 9439713.160714518, "yoy_growth_pct": 142.68453156081634, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.88888880379241 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 10055341.490706133, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.521684711286468, "cagr_3y_pct": 54.655975949462565 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 7899134.3871939415, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.44340006259472, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.635149324832884 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 6463191.875227605, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.17847933178961, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.862089491259574 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 6310898.9077971475, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.356312026170415, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.382054999495486 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "240120", "hs_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 57691171.89161681, "current_below_peak_pct": 80.97045038188399, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.943610146707606, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "851230", "hs_description": "Sound signalling equipment: electrical, used on cycles or motor vehicles (excluding articles of heading no. 8539)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 55444510.05269525, "current_below_peak_pct": 16.015584003752632, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4455672337579604, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "180690", "hs_description": "Chocolate and other food preparations containing cocoa: n.e.c. in chapter 18", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 180109095.27380103, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.36786791871804375, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "distance_km": 9362, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4937421.880461999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 39285.162481125415, "importer_population": 125681.595, "importer_biz_entry_days": 11.1, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 7.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 13879.269152, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6720.896285492366, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.169927532765477, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.132065920761905, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.642094932478572, "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.4899709882833327 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-JPN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-JPN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-JPN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-JPN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-JPN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }