{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:09.106Z", "seo": { "title": "The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia exports to Estonia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia to Estonia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "MKD", "country_name": "The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "EST", "country_name": "Estonia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "all_history_lane_count": 9, "current_lane_count": 7, "current_product_count": 7, "first_observed_last_year": 2015, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1296530.4899030104, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1021446.1416918664, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 829876.4305335867, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 294601.3595948492, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 4, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.08947123658194, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 61.116197852993125, "product_concentration_hhi": 3891.752908534104, "top1_product_share_pct": 58.84130372434216, "top3_product_share_pct": 85.12884238685326, "top_product_hs6": "854442", "top_product_trade_usd": 762895.4434425317, "top_product_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts, fitted with connectors", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 1951.640625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.3204054904277778, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.0212263745079366, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.09813442011178573, "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.923091954396151, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 36262.924354, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 27281, "buyer_population_latest": 1329.254, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.235608076538068, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.522533158466936, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.6757560652948857, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 30.938, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 31.318, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 36262.924354, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 27281, "buyer_population_2024": 1329.254 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 42493.613927236605, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 16596.839044350447, "yoy_growth_pct": -60.942745249274786, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 29750.476646999556, "yoy_growth_pct": 79.25387218312873, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 97390.21250659342, "yoy_growth_pct": 227.35681401734982, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.8450659774123 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 92603.19054161938, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.915300872405382, "cagr_3y_pct": 77.36456412132343 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 129549.50071510566, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.89744841121994, "cagr_3y_pct": 63.29790201295753 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 141666.63644491768, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.353286321387678, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.305438636327915 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 121045.24298848714, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.556280839242252, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.33870491611788 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 107106.57637789434, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.515253525426472, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.144412770602237 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 132980.88246371332, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.157532581873433, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.086958216862045 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 140458.17919283596, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.622835847222607, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.0831547689578205 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 167694.2378322769, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.39086694413743, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.118299593830155 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 305941.78683923563, "yoy_growth_pct": 82.44025006108441, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.01294798508876 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 335210.9683219715, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.566911988428718, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.6360802992069 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 172001.6989061543, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.68852300174558, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8489851389600789 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 280076.66874047916, "yoy_growth_pct": 62.833664156591574, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.9014574625283673 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 485191.8085673463, "yoy_growth_pct": 73.2353540012032, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.11800744872027 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 1055375.9242359458, "yoy_growth_pct": 117.51725927777201, "cagr_3y_pct": 83.07321794001643 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 946529.3442554721, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.313536388398736, "cagr_3y_pct": 50.06717834546082 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 722781.6509783907, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.638748722901816, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.208357626567448 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 480979.9829829623, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.45431745093619, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.044451135557352 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 1104631.6876229749, "yoy_growth_pct": 129.66271502032635, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.283699820916121 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 4551127.094080261, "yoy_growth_pct": 312.0040322103832, "cagr_3y_pct": 84.65905767120006 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 3883202.7464837, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.676020550279578, "cagr_3y_pct": 100.61082064288316 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 2180663.905168379, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.84367627616137, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.446075507815635 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 1577545.3632643444, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.65756522472752, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.754102726108677 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 1572087.240966405, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.3459882945391235, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.023202654261656 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 2445959.557350081, "yoy_growth_pct": 55.58675712211001, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.9011080123449338 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 2375801.180983998, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.8683375469254146, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.624137058460974 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "export_value_usd": 2464623.302514993, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.7386176184240894, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.169281277307856 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "854442", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts, fitted with connectors", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26112423.44980554, "current_below_peak_pct": 79.00970196573314, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1095406666084022, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "853400", "hs_description": "Circuits: printed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 50774571.0655317, "current_below_peak_pct": 48.44998240299239, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4193428658997813, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "080610", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: grapes, fresh", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12143062.833457971, "current_below_peak_pct": 17.5286190196993, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8908572697921668, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "060290", "hs_description": "Plants, live: n.e.s. in heading no. 0602", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23856242.68740594, "current_below_peak_pct": 13.912922764689178, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7203522410683904, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "180631", "hs_description": "Chocolate and other food preparations containing cocoa: in blocks, slabs or bars, filled, weighing 2kg or less", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18063318.308385946, "current_below_peak_pct": 55.0493967897944, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.37978039118583323, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "940490", "hs_description": "Bedding and similar furnishing articles: n.e.c. in heading no. 9404 (e.g. quilts, eiderdowns, cushions, pouffes and pillows)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15722794.808009662, "current_below_peak_pct": 37.51400188029695, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0657165572569613, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "hs_code": "190531", "hs_description": "Food preparations: sweet biscuits, whether or not containing cocoa", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16233653.575529952, "current_below_peak_pct": 77.43505476583228, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.574932055202134, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "MKD", "importer_iso3": "EST", "distance_km": 1953, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 36262.924354, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 27280.658439997173, "importer_population": 1329.254, "importer_biz_entry_days": 3.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 13879.269152, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6720.896285492366, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.3204054904277778, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.0212263745079366, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.09813442011178573, "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.923091954396151 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-EST/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-EST/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-EST/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-EST/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/MKD-EST/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }